SC Paderborn 07 v VfB Stuttgart prediction

DFB Pokal · · Home Deluxe Arena

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Team pages: SC Paderborn 07 · VfB Stuttgart

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Away win the free pick for SC Paderborn 07 v VfB Stuttgart, DFB Pokal on Wed, 28 Oct 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick
Away win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 85.6% of 104 landed (95% range 77.6–91.1%); it had given them 76% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

SC Paderborn 07 host VfB Stuttgart in the DFB Pokal on Wednesday 28 October (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is VfB Stuttgart to win, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Nine of SC Paderborn 07’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of SC Paderborn 07’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, SC Paderborn 07 have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.86.

11 of VfB Stuttgart’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of VfB Stuttgart’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, VfB Stuttgart have three wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.22 points per game, scoring 1.78 and conceding 1.78.

VfB Stuttgart are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have VfB Stuttgart the stronger side, 398 rating points above SC Paderborn 07 (VfB Stuttgart 2223, SC Paderborn 07 1825, after at least 25 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 10 October 2026, finished SC Paderborn 07 0–2 VfB Stuttgart.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Santiago Castañeda (5.1 per match over seven appearances, two goals) and Laurin Curda (4.8 per match over seven appearances, one assist) have been SC Paderborn 07’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for SC Paderborn 07 (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Santiago Castañeda averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 630 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances. Laurin Curda averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 607 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last seven appearances.

By TACTIX Impact, Maximilian Mittelstädt (5.6 per match over nine appearances, one goal and one assist) and Julian Chabot (4.3 per match over 10 appearances, one goal) have been VfB Stuttgart’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for VfB Stuttgart (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Maximilian Mittelstädt averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 884 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Julian Chabot averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 866 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · DFB Pokal · Home Deluxe Arena
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): SC Paderborn 07 0 · draws 0 · VfB Stuttgart 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: SC Paderborn 07 1W 1D 3L · VfB Stuttgart 2W 1D 2L

SC Paderborn 07 v VfB Stuttgart (DFB Pokal): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 23 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
6.75 / 6.75
Corners
against 5.88 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 5.5
Shots on target
against 6 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSC Paderborn 07 for / againstLineVfB Stuttgart for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.25our book
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
6.75 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
6.75 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
18.13 for · 16.63 against n 8
19.5standard
17 for · 15.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 6 against n 8
8.5standard
5.5 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.63 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
11.13 for · 12 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1 for · 2.38 against n 8
SC Paderborn 07
SC Paderborn 07 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Pieringer n 869
2.97/5
0.84/1
—
F. Bilbija n 848.4
2.14/3
1.23/2
—
S. Klaas n 837.1
2.14/2
0.31/0
—
M. Baur n 862
1.64/2
0.73/1
—
L. Curda n 890.9
1.55/3
1.46/2
—
SC Paderborn 07 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Tigges n 837.4
5.77/7
1.23/1
R. Philippe n 824.1
3.77/1
1.94/0
S. Marino n 861.6
2.45/5
1.34/3
F. Bilbija n 848.4
1.62/2
0.21/0
M. Baur n 862
1.55/2
1.35/1
SC Paderborn 07 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Tigges n 837.4
0.62/0
0.31/0
S. Klaas n 837.1
0.31/0
0.31/0
M. Baur n 862
0.53/0
00/0
S. Marino n 861.6
0.53/0
00/0
O. Batista Meier n 823.8
00/0
0.51/0
SC Paderborn 07 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jonah Benedict Sticker n 831.6
4.34/4
L. Curda n 890.9
3.17/7
M. Baur n 862
2.96/4
C. Brackelmann n 886.3
2.78/8
T. Scheller n 893.1
2.28/5
SC Paderborn 07 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Schubert n 883.3
4.17/5
N. Noll n 890
46/6
D. Seimen n 893.8
3.58/3
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Y. Spalt n 321.3
4.21/1
4.21/1
—
D. Undav n 870.8
2.15/5
0.32/0
—
A. Karazor n 875
1.87/4
0.93/2
—
M. Mittelstädt n 888
1.47/3
1.55/3
—
E. Demirović n 856.5
1.46/1
14/1
—
VfB Stuttgart — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Demirović n 856.5
36/3
1.44/2
L. Sauer n 829.1
2.35/1
0.82/0
B. El Khannouss n 858.3
2.16/3
0.84/0
D. Pejčinović n 837.4
2.15/2
0.31/0
G. Prömel n 862.8
26/4
0.42/0
VfB Stuttgart — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Sauer n 829.1
0.41/0
0.41/0
E. Demirović n 856.5
0.62/1
00/0
N. Nartey n 833.9
0.31/0
0.31/0
A. Stiller n 881.9
00/0
0.53/1
D. Undav n 870.8
0.21/0
0.31/1
VfB Stuttgart — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Y. Spalt n 321.3
4.22/1
A. Karazor n 875
2.45/5
M. Mittelstädt n 888
2.35/3
B. El Khannouss n 858.3
2.17/3
A. Al Dakhil n 845.3
23/1
VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Seimen n 893.8
3.58/3
F. Bredlow n 890
3.26/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind SC Paderborn 07 v VfB Stuttgart — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SC Paderborn 07LLWLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
VfB StuttgartWWLDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
SC Paderborn 07 0 · 0 draws · VfB Stuttgart 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-10-10 SC Paderborn 07 0–2 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2023-01-31 SC Paderborn 07 1–2 VfB Stuttgart
Goals per game
SC Paderborn 07 scored1
VfB Stuttgart scored1.6
SC Paderborn 07 conceded1.8
VfB Stuttgart conceded1

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win SC Paderborn 07 v VfB Stuttgart?
TACTIX’s free model pick for SC Paderborn 07 v VfB Stuttgart is Away win.
What is the head-to-head record between SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart?
In their last 2 meetings, SC Paderborn 07 won 0, VfB Stuttgart won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart?
Recent form — SC Paderborn 07 1W 1D 3L; VfB Stuttgart 2W 1D 2L.

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