Jagiellonia v Wisla Plock prediction

Ekstraklasa · · Chorten Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Jagiellonia · Wisla Plock · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Jagiellonia v Wisla Plock, Ekstraklasa on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 13:45 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 643 landed (95% range 61.9–69.2%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Jagiellonia host Wisla Plock in the Ekstraklasa on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 13:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

11 of Jagiellonia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of Jagiellonia’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Jagiellonia have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.57. Jagiellonia have scored 13 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Jagiellonia have conceded 16 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Nine of Wisla Plock’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in six of Wisla Plock’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Wisla Plock have three wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.22 points per game, scoring 1.22 and conceding 2.00. Wisla Plock have scored nine goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Wisla Plock have conceded 15 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Jagiellonia (10th) and Wisla Plock (13th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Jagiellonia the stronger side, 69 rating points above Wisla Plock (Jagiellonia 1528, Wisla Plock 1459, after at least 215 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 21 March 2026, finished Jagiellonia 1–2 Wisla Plock.

Team news

Predicted Jagiellonia XI (4-2-3-1): S. Abramowicz, B. Vital, N. Wojtuszek, G. Montóia, Y. Kobayashi, T. Romanczuk, F. Klynge, K. Szmyt, J. Imaz, E. Kozlowski, N. Prelec — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Taras Romanczuk (4.9 per match over nine appearances, one assist) and Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia (3.5 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Jagiellonia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Jagiellonia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Taras Romanczuk averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 755 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last nine appearances. Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 678 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Wisla Plock XI (3-4-3): R. Leszczyński, M. Kamiński, M. Haglind-Sangré, A. Silva, Ž. Rogelj, A. Radwański, P. Kun, S. Tavares, S. Hamulić, Ł. Sekulski, Jime — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Afonso Silva (4.7 per match over six appearances) and A. Radwański (3.5 per match over seven appearances, one assist) have been Wisla Plock’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Wisla Plock (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Afonso Silva averages 1.9 tackles per 90 over 532 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last six appearances. A. Radwański averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 627 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ekstraklasa · Chorten Arena
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Jagiellonia 2 · draws 1 · Wisla Plock 3 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Jagiellonia 1W 0D 4L · Wisla Plock 2W 1D 2L

Jagiellonia v Wisla Plock (Ekstraklasa): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 6.88
Corners
against 6.5 / 3.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 5.5 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.38
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameJagiellonia for / againstLineWisla Plock for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
2.5 for · 6.5 against n 8
9.5standard
6.88 for · 3.75 against n 8
Shots
10.88 for · 16.25 against n 8
19.5standard
15.75 for · 14.13 against n 8
Shots on target
2.75 for · 5.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.75 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.38 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.5 for · 15.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 2.63 against n 8
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Jeremy Agbonifo n 827.4
4.96/4
3.76/3
—
K. Jozwiak n 827.3
4.54/1
2.94/2
—
Eryk Kozlowski n 846.6
3.16/4
0.73/0
—
Dimitris Rallis n 816.5
2.74/0
0.71/0
—
Bernardo Vital n 890.1
2.18/6
14/2
—
Jagiellonia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Jesús Imaz n 868.4
2.86/5
1.24/3
Sergio Lozano n 837.6
2.46/2
0.31/0
A. Cirkovic n 839.4
2.35/1
0.62/0
O. Sow n 849.9
1.86/2
1.45/1
K. Jozwiak n 827.3
1.72/1
0.81/1
Jagiellonia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Nik Prelec n 874.8
0.21/0
0.53/0
Jesús Imaz n 868.4
0.53/0
0.21/0
O. Sow n 849.9
0.73/0
00/0
K. Jozwiak n 827.3
0.41/0
00/0
Y. Sylla n 825.8
0.41/0
00/0
Jagiellonia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Romanczuk n 883.1
4.18/7
Rodrigo Conceição n 867.8
3.37/5
Bartłomiej Wdowik n 838.5
2.95/3
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia n 884.8
2.78/6
N. Wojtuszek n 869.3
2.66/4
Jagiellonia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Sławomir Abramowicz n 890.4
3.67/6
Wisla Plock
Wisla Plock — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Pršir n 847.5
2.45/3
2.45/3
—
K. Pomorski n 839.9
2.35/2
0.31/0
—
Ł. Sekulski n 846.4
1.94/3
1.94/3
—
D. Gallapeni n 874.1
1.85/4
2.37/4
—
Sidnei Tavares n 853.9
1.76/2
1.34/1
—
Wisla Plock — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Gleb Kuchko n 414
4.83/0
3.22/0
S. Hamulić n 853.8
3.67/3
1.75/1
Ł. Sekulski n 846.4
2.46/3
1.23/2
M. Flis n 874.3
26/4
0.63/1
D. Jurić n 828
25/0
0.41/0
Wisla Plock — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Gleb Kuchko n 414
1.61/0
00/0
F. Hiszpański n 824.8
00/0
0.51/0
S. Hamulić n 853.8
0.42/0
00/0
Dani Pacheco n 866.5
00/0
0.32/0
M. Flis n 874.3
0.21/0
00/0
Wisla Plock — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Savvidīs n 845.5
3.76/4
Gleb Kuchko n 414
3.22/0
D. Gallapeni n 874.1
2.97/6
S. Akere n 846
2.46/3
Sidnei Tavares n 853.9
2.34/3
Wisla Plock — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Leszczyński n 890
2.46/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Jagiellonia v Wisla Plock — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
JagielloniaLLLWL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Wisla PlockLDWWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Jagiellonia 2 · 1 draw · Wisla Plock 3 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-03-21 Jagiellonia 1–2 Wisla Plock
  • 2025-09-19 Wisla Plock 0–1 Jagiellonia
  • 2023-04-21 Wisla Plock 2–4 Jagiellonia
  • 2022-10-07 Jagiellonia 1–1 Wisla Plock
  • 2022-03-13 Jagiellonia 0–1 Wisla Plock
  • 2021-09-18 Wisla Plock 3–0 Jagiellonia
League standing · 2026/27
Jagiellonia#10 pos12 pts9 pl-3 GD
Wisla Plock#13 pos11 pts9 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Jagiellonia scored1.44
Wisla Plock scored1
Jagiellonia conceded1.78
Wisla Plock conceded1.67

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Jagiellonia v Wisla Plock?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Jagiellonia v Wisla Plock is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Jagiellonia and Wisla Plock?
In their last 6 meetings, Jagiellonia won 2, Wisla Plock won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Jagiellonia and Wisla Plock?
Recent form — Jagiellonia 1W 0D 4L; Wisla Plock 2W 1D 2L.

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