Free model picks
Ekstraklasa predictions: free model picks, graded
13 Ekstraklasa fixtures kick off in the next 10 days, starting with Gornik Zabrze v Piast Gliwice (Sun, 18 Oct 2026 11:15 BST). 13 of them carry a free TACTIX model pick, shown with the best bookmaker price. Gornik Zabrze lead the table on 25 points after 10 games, 2 points clear of Legia Warszawa.
A free TACTIX model pick for every upcoming Ekstraklasa fixture, with the best bookmaker price. Our model is calibrated to ±0.6% across 8M+ settled predictions — the full win probability, xG and value across 30+ markets are part of Pro.
Updated · picks refresh daily · live track record
Key facts
As of 18 October 2026: After 10 games Gornik Zabrze top the Ekstraklasa with 25 points, Legia Warszawa next at 23 (this season so far).
As of 18 October 2026: J. Sanchez leads the Ekstraklasa scorers with nine goals, one goal ahead of I. Shkurin — this season so far.
As of 18 October 2026: Across 93 matches (this season so far), the Ekstraklasa has produced 2.97 goals per game.
Piast Gliwice have scored in their last 7 (all competitions we cover)
Widzew Łódź are winless in their last 8 (all competitions we cover)
Piast Gliwice have scored in their last 7 (all competitions we cover)
Pogon Szczecin are unbeaten in their last 9 (all competitions we cover)
Raków Częstochowa have scored in their last 5 (all competitions we cover)
Slask Wroclaw are winless in their last 9 (all competitions we cover)
Legia Warszawa are unbeaten in their last 15 (all competitions we cover)
What the data says about Ekstraklasa
TACTIX lists 13 upcoming Ekstraklasa fixtures in the next ten days, 13 of them with a free model pick — the single strongest lean in the 62–80% probability band — shown with the best bookmaker price at build time. Across the whole estate the model runs at ±0.6% mean calibration error across an 8M+-prediction track record; the record is published live, losing predictions included, on the scoreboard and as a hash-chained pre-commitment ledger, so any pick can be checked against what was written before kick-off. In Ekstraklasa specifically, the last 30 days of settled free picks read 18 from 20, every result kept. Expected goals, venue-adjusted team ratings and market prices feed one calibrated probability per market; a prediction is a probability, never a certainty. This page is regenerated daily (figures as of 18 Oct 2026) and every number in this paragraph is computed at build time, never typed in. Scoreboard · Ledger · How accurate is TACTIX?
This matchweek in numbers
13 fixtures in the Ekstraklasa fall inside the next 10 days, starting with Gornik Zabrze v Piast Gliwice (Sun, 18 Oct 2026 11:15 BST). TACTIX’s free pick is posted on 13 of the 13 fixtures in the next 10 days; the remaining markets on every match are Pro. Recent record: the free Ekstraklasa pick landed 18 of 20 over the last 30 days (every pick graded as shown).
The table so far
Gornik Zabrze lead the Ekstraklasa on 25 points from 10 games, two points clear of Legia Warszawa (this season so far). The Ekstraklasa is averaging 2.97 goals a game across 93 matches, this season so far. The scoring race: J. Sanchez on nine goals, I. Shkurin on 8.
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Ekstraklasa at a glance
Long-run averages the model fits for Ekstraklasa — the baseline every Ekstraklasa match starts from before team form.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 9 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 | Legia Warszawa | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 9 | +13 | 23 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | +13 | 22 |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 16 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 | Wisla Krakow | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 7 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Zaglebie Lubin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Cracovia Krakow | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Widzew Łódź | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Wieczysta Kraków | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 6 |
Current Ekstraklasa standings — tap a club for its form, fixtures and model outlook.
Model record · last 30 days
How the free (Bronze) Ekstraklasa pick shown on each match has settled over the last 30 days — every result, win or lose. 1-unit flat stakes at the price shown.
Season leaders
Top scorers
- J. Sanchez9 G
- I. Shkurin8 G
- K. Czubak6 G
- M. Stępiński6 G
- P. Makuch6 G
Top assists
- B. Nowak8 A
- P. Wszołek6 A
- P. Samiec-Talar5 A
- W. Długosz5 A
- Borja Galán3 A
How these picks work
Each card shows the model’s free pick and the best price we can find across UK bookmakers. We surface one pick per match free; the complete forecast — calibrated win probability, expected goals and value vs the market — opens with TACTIX Pro. We lead with calibration, not an inflated accuracy headline, and the live record (losers included) is on the scoreboard.
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Win probability, xG and value across 30+ markets for every fixture.