Korona Kielce v Lech Poznan prediction

Ekstraklasa · · Exbud Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Korona Kielce · Lech Poznan · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Korona Kielce v Lech Poznan, Ekstraklasa on Sat, 10 Apr 2027 17:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Korona Kielce host Lech Poznan in the Ekstraklasa on Saturday 10 April (kick-off 17:00 UK).

The key numbers

Lech Poznan have scored 27 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). 13 of Lech Poznan’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%).

Lech Poznan are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Korona Kielce.

Form and the table

Four of Korona Kielce’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in nine of Korona Kielce’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Korona Kielce have two wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.14. Korona Kielce have scored 13 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Korona Kielce have conceded 18 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs.

Both teams scored in eight of Lech Poznan’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Lech Poznan have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 2.43 and conceding 1.71. Lech Poznan have conceded nine goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Korona Kielce (ninth) and Lech Poznan (second) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lech Poznan the stronger side, 302 rating points above Korona Kielce (Lech Poznan 1852, Korona Kielce 1550, after at least 221 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 18 October 2026, finished Lech Poznan 6–1 Korona Kielce.

Team news

Predicted Korona Kielce XI (4-5-1): X. Dziekoński, S. Rubežić, A. Mosor, W. Długosz, M. Pięczek, P. Hellebrand, K. Jakubczyk, M. Remacle, M. Ameyaw, O. Lingr, M. Stępiński — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, W. Długosz (5.6 per match over 11 appearances, six assists) and C. Mena (4.3 per match over five appearances, two goals) have been Korona Kielce’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Korona Kielce (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), W. Długosz averages 3.0 tackles per 90 over 975 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. C. Mena averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 301 minutes, with a key pass in one of the last five appearances.

Predicted Lech Poznan XI (4-4-2): M. Lis, M. Gurgul, J. Pereira, W. Mońka, M. Skrzypczak, R. Murawski, P. Wålemark, P. Rodríguez, A. Sayyad, M. Ishak, Y. Agnero — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Pablo Rodríguez (6.1 per match over 14 appearances, six goals and six assists) and P. Wålemark (4.5 per match over 14 appearances, seven goals and three assists) have been Lech Poznan’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lech Poznan (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Pablo Rodríguez averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 1024 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. P. Wålemark averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 1028 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ekstraklasa · Exbud Arena
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Korona Kielce 1 · draws 1 · Lech Poznan 4 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Korona Kielce 2W 0D 3L · Lech Poznan 3W 0D 2L

Korona Kielce v Lech Poznan (Ekstraklasa): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 2.38
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 5.63
Corners
against 5.13 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 5.25
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 4.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.88
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameKorona Kielce for / againstLineLech Poznan for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
13.63 for · 14.38 against n 8
19.5standard
17 for · 12.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.25 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
12 for · 14.75 against n 8
21.5standard
10.38 for · 13.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.38 against n 8
Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Daniel Bak n 815.9
54/3
2.13/0
—
N. Barczak n 542.8
2.93/2
0.81/1
—
Nono n 835.9
2.85/2
2.85/3
—
M. Faßbender n 843.4
2.66/3
0.31/0
—
K. Sotiriou n 880.6
27/3
0.32/0
—
Korona Kielce — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Stępiński n 874.6
2.97/6
1.56/3
M. Faßbender n 843.4
2.97/2
1.86/1
Daniel Bak n 815.9
2.83/1
00/0
M. Remacle n 866.6
27/3
0.85/0
Ondrej Lingr n 862.8
1.44/3
0.52/1
Korona Kielce — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Stępiński n 874.6
0.84/1
00/0
D. Błanik n 863.5
0.42/0
0.21/0
C. Mena n 871.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
W. Długosz n 887.5
00/0
0.53/1
M. Faßbender n 843.4
0.31/0
00/0
Korona Kielce — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
W. Długosz n 887.5
3.18/7
Nono n 835.9
2.86/2
N. Barczak n 542.8
2.53/2
Kamil Jakubczyk n 884.4
25/4
S. Rubežić n 890
1.98/6
Korona Kielce — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
X. Dziekoński n 890
2.35/5
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Gumny n 833.6
2.74/2
0.31/0
—
R. Murawski n 878.8
2.67/6
1.96/4
—
Allahyar Sayyad n 863.4
2.38/2
1.66/3
—
L. Bengtsson n 837.9
1.85/1
00/0
—
Y. Agnero n 827.1
1.72/1
0.41/0
—
Lech Poznan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Agnero n 827.1
4.15/2
0.82/0
M. Ishak n 857
3.67/6
1.65/3
L. Palma n 856.9
36/5
1.23/2
Pablo Rodríguez n 872.5
2.98/4
1.14/3
Allahyar Sayyad n 863.4
2.38/4
1.47/1
Lech Poznan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Pablo Rodríguez n 872.5
0.94/2
0.62/1
P. Wålemark n 858.9
13/2
0.42/0
M. Ishak n 857
0.41/1
0.63/0
Allahyar Sayyad n 863.4
0.95/0
00/0
Joel Pereira n 886.4
00/0
0.54/0
Lech Poznan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Murawski n 878.8
2.66/4
Joel Pereira n 886.4
2.26/4
Allahyar Sayyad n 863.4
1.87/3
Pablo Rodríguez n 872.5
1.75/4
A. Kozubal n 880.6
1.54/2
Lech Poznan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Lis n 890
2.86/3

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Korona Kielce v Lech Poznan — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Korona KielceWLWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Lech PoznanLWWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 3 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Korona Kielce 1 · 1 draw · Lech Poznan 4 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2026-10-18 Lech Poznan 6–1 Korona Kielce
  • 2026-02-22 Korona Kielce 1–2 Lech Poznan
  • 2025-08-16 Lech Poznan 1–1 Korona Kielce
  • 2025-04-05 Lech Poznan 2–0 Korona Kielce
  • 2024-09-29 Korona Kielce 2–3 Lech Poznan
  • 2024-05-25 Lech Poznan 1–2 Korona Kielce
League standing · 2026/27
Korona Kielce#9 pos15 pts11 pl-5 GD
Lech Poznan#2 pos25 pts10 pl+18 GD
Goals per game
Korona Kielce scored1.18
Lech Poznan scored2.7
Korona Kielce conceded1.64
Lech Poznan conceded0.9

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Korona Kielce and Lech Poznan?
In their last 6 meetings, Korona Kielce won 1, Lech Poznan won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Korona Kielce and Lech Poznan?
Recent form — Korona Kielce 2W 0D 3L; Lech Poznan 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →