Lech Poznan v Pogon Szczecin prediction

Ekstraklasa · · Stadion Poznan

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lech Poznan · Pogon Szczecin · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Lech Poznan v Pogon Szczecin, Ekstraklasa on Sat, 28 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Lech Poznan host Pogon Szczecin in the Ekstraklasa on Saturday 28 November (kick-off 17:00 UK).

The key numbers

Lech Poznan have scored 27 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Pogon Szczecin have conceded six goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Pogon Szczecin are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

13 of Lech Poznan’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%). Both teams scored in eight of Lech Poznan’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Lech Poznan have seven wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.63 points per game, scoring 3.13 and conceding 0.88. Lech Poznan have conceded nine goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Five of Pogon Szczecin’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in seven of Pogon Szczecin’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Pogon Szczecin have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 0.71. Pogon Szczecin have scored 15 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Pogon Szczecin have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Lech Poznan (second) and Pogon Szczecin (fourth) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lech Poznan the stronger side, 79 rating points above Pogon Szczecin (Lech Poznan 1852, Pogon Szczecin 1773, after at least 284 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Lech Poznan are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Pogon Szczecin. The most recent meeting, on 18 April 2026, finished Pogon Szczecin 1–2 Lech Poznan.

Team news

Predicted Lech Poznan XI (4-2-3-1): M. Lis, M. Gurgul, J. Pereira, W. Mońka, M. Skrzypczak, R. Murawski, P. Wålemark, P. Rodríguez, A. Sayyad, L. Palma, M. Ishak — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Pablo Rodríguez (6.1 per match over 14 appearances, six goals and six assists) and P. Wålemark (4.5 per match over 14 appearances, seven goals and three assists) have been Lech Poznan’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lech Poznan (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Pablo Rodríguez averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 1024 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. P. Wålemark averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 1028 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Pogon Szczecin XI (4-4-2): V. Cojocaru, D. Keramitsis, B. Mendy, A. Szalai, L. Willen, P. Dziczek, M. Wojciechowski, D. Churlinov, P. Mukairu, J. Sanchez, J. Nsame — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, P. Mukairu (5.2 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and three assists) and Leo Borges (4.4 per match over five appearances, one goal) have been Pogon Szczecin’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Pogon Szczecin (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), P. Mukairu averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 856 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Leo Borges averages 2.5 tackles per 90 over 426 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last five appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ekstraklasa · Stadion Poznan
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lech Poznan 4 · draws 1 · Pogon Szczecin 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lech Poznan 3W 0D 2L · Pogon Szczecin 4W 1D 0L

Lech Poznan v Pogon Szczecin (Ekstraklasa): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.38 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.75 / 0.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 3.13
Corners
against 4.5 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 4.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLech Poznan for / againstLinePogon Szczecin for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
3.13 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
17 for · 12.75 against n 8
19.5standard
13.5 for · 15.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.38 for · 13.88 against n 8
21.5standard
15.5 for · 10 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Gumny n 833.6
2.74/2
0.31/0
—
R. Murawski n 878.8
2.67/6
1.96/4
—
Allahyar Sayyad n 863.4
2.38/2
1.66/3
—
L. Bengtsson n 837.9
1.85/1
00/0
—
Y. Agnero n 827.1
1.72/1
0.41/0
—
Lech Poznan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Agnero n 827.1
4.15/2
0.82/0
M. Ishak n 857
3.67/6
1.65/3
L. Palma n 856.9
36/5
1.23/2
Pablo Rodríguez n 872.5
2.98/4
1.14/3
Allahyar Sayyad n 863.4
2.38/4
1.47/1
Lech Poznan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Pablo Rodríguez n 872.5
0.94/2
0.62/1
P. Wålemark n 858.9
13/2
0.42/0
M. Ishak n 857
0.41/1
0.63/0
Allahyar Sayyad n 863.4
0.95/0
00/0
Joel Pereira n 886.4
00/0
0.54/0
Lech Poznan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Murawski n 878.8
2.66/4
Joel Pereira n 886.4
2.26/4
Allahyar Sayyad n 863.4
1.87/3
Pablo Rodríguez n 872.5
1.75/4
A. Kozubal n 880.6
1.54/2
Lech Poznan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Lis n 890
2.86/3
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Mukairu n 884.6
3.18/7
1.66/4
—
Jan Biegański n 850.4
3.16/4
0.21/0
—
F. Cuic n 856.3
2.25/3
0.82/1
—
A. Riccio n 845.1
2.25/3
0.72/1
—
P. Dziczek n 890
2.17/4
15/2
—
Pogon Szczecin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Grosicki n 819.6
2.95/0
0.61/0
D. Churlinov n 866.8
2.46/5
1.75/4
F. Čuić n 865.1
2.26/4
0.73/1
J. Nsame n 856.3
2.26/4
1.64/3
N. Lawa n 846.4
2.27/2
0.73/0
Pogon Szczecin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Nsame n 856.3
0.62/1
0.21/0
K. Acosta n 829.5
0.41/0
0.41/0
J. Sanchez n 884.3
0.75/0
0.11/0
K. Grosicki n 819.6
00/0
0.61/0
D. Churlinov n 866.8
0.53/0
00/0
Pogon Szczecin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Leo Borges n 874.4
3.37/5
P. Dziczek n 890
2.98/6
P. Mukairu n 884.6
2.57/3
M. Juwara n 832.8
2.43/3
M. Wojciechowski n 876.6
2.15/2
Pogon Szczecin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Valentin Cojocaru n 890
3.68/7

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Lech Poznan v Pogon Szczecin — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Lech PoznanLWWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 3 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Pogon SzczecinDWWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lech Poznan 4 · 1 draw · Pogon Szczecin 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-04-18 Pogon Szczecin 1–2 Lech Poznan
  • 2025-10-19 Lech Poznan 2–2 Pogon Szczecin
  • 2025-03-01 Pogon Szczecin 0–3 Lech Poznan
  • 2024-08-25 Lech Poznan 2–0 Pogon Szczecin
  • 2024-04-07 Lech Poznan 1–0 Pogon Szczecin
  • 2023-10-01 Pogon Szczecin 5–0 Lech Poznan
League standing · 2026/27
Lech Poznan#2 pos25 pts10 pl+18 GD
Pogon Szczecin#4 pos21 pts10 pl+9 GD
Goals per game
Lech Poznan scored2.7
Pogon Szczecin scored1.5
Lech Poznan conceded0.9
Pogon Szczecin conceded0.6

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Lech Poznan and Pogon Szczecin?
In their last 6 meetings, Lech Poznan won 4, Pogon Szczecin won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lech Poznan and Pogon Szczecin?
Recent form — Lech Poznan 3W 0D 2L; Pogon Szczecin 4W 1D 0L.

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