Pogon Szczecin v Radomiak Radom prediction

Ekstraklasa · · Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Pogon Szczecin · Radomiak Radom · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Pogon Szczecin v Radomiak Radom, Ekstraklasa on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 16:30 BST.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 195 landed (95% range 71.1–82.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Pogon Szczecin host Radomiak Radom in the Ekstraklasa on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 16:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Pogon Szczecin to win.

The key numbers

Pogon Szczecin are unbeaten in their last nine matches. Pogon Szczecin have conceded six goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Pogon Szczecin have scored in five consecutive matches.

Form and the table

Five of Pogon Szczecin’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in seven of Pogon Szczecin’s last 15 results (47%). At home, Pogon Szczecin have four wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches — 1.88 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 0.75. Pogon Szczecin have scored 15 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Radomiak Radom are winless in their last four matches. 10 of Radomiak Radom’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of Radomiak Radom’s last 15 results (60%). Away from home, Radomiak Radom have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches — 0.71 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 2.71. Radomiak Radom have scored nine goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Radomiak Radom have conceded 23 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs.

Pogon Szczecin (fourth) and Radomiak Radom (16th) are 13 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Pogon Szczecin the stronger side, 389 rating points above Radomiak Radom (Pogon Szczecin 1773, Radomiak Radom 1384, after at least 180 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Radomiak Radom are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Pogon Szczecin. The most recent meeting, on 6 December 2025, finished Pogon Szczecin 2–2 Radomiak Radom.

Team news

Predicted Pogon Szczecin XI (4-2-3-1): V. Cojocaru, D. Keramitsis, B. Mendy, A. Szalai, L. Willen, P. Dziczek, M. Wojciechowski, D. Churlinov, P. Mukairu, J. Biegański, J. Sanchez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, P. Mukairu (5.2 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and three assists) and Leo Borges (4.4 per match over five appearances, one goal) have been Pogon Szczecin’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Pogon Szczecin (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), P. Mukairu averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 856 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Leo Borges averages 2.5 tackles per 90 over 426 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last five appearances.

Predicted Radomiak Radom XI (4-1-4-1): F. Majchrowicz, K. Szcześniak, Z. Ouattara, J. Grzesik, F. Koperski, Luquinhas, R. Wolski, C. Donis, R. Lumungo, I. Camará, F. Gouré — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, R. Wolski (4.3 per match over 10 appearances, three goals) and Guilherme Luiz (4.2 per match over five appearances, one goal) have been Radomiak Radom’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Radomiak Radom (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), R. Wolski averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 750 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Guilherme Luiz averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 299 minutes, with a shot in three of the last five appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ekstraklasa · Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Pogon Szczecin 1 · draws 1 · Radomiak Radom 4 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Pogon Szczecin 4W 1D 0L · Radomiak Radom 1W 1D 3L

As of 17 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Pogon Szczecin v Radomiak Radom across 246 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 0.75
Goals
against 0.63 / 2.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 6.63
Corners
against 4.25 / 5.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 6 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.63
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gamePogon Szczecin for / againstLineRadomiak Radom for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 0.63 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 2.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.13 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
6.63 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
13.5 for · 15.13 against n 8
19.5standard
14.38 for · 17.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 6 against n 8
Fouls committed
15.5 for · 10 against n 8
21.5standard
12.88 for · 14.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 2.75 against n 8
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Mukairu n 884.6
3.18/7
1.66/4
—
Jan Biegański n 850.4
3.16/4
0.21/0
—
F. Cuic n 856.3
2.25/3
0.82/1
—
A. Riccio n 845.1
2.25/3
0.72/1
—
P. Dziczek n 890
2.17/4
15/2
—
Pogon Szczecin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Grosicki n 819.6
2.95/0
0.61/0
D. Churlinov n 866.8
2.46/5
1.75/4
J. Nsame n 856.3
2.26/4
1.64/3
N. Lawa n 846.4
2.27/2
0.73/0
P. Mukairu n 884.6
1.77/4
0.54/0
Pogon Szczecin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Nsame n 856.3
0.62/1
0.21/0
K. Acosta n 829.5
0.41/0
0.41/0
J. Sanchez n 884.3
0.75/0
0.11/0
K. Grosicki n 819.6
00/0
0.61/0
D. Churlinov n 866.8
0.53/0
00/0
Pogon Szczecin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Leo Borges n 874.4
3.37/5
P. Dziczek n 890
2.98/6
P. Mukairu n 884.6
2.57/3
M. Juwara n 832.8
2.43/3
M. Wojciechowski n 876.6
2.15/2
Pogon Szczecin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Valentin Cojocaru n 890
3.68/7
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Tapsoba n 846.4
2.76/3
1.95/2
—
E. F. Goncalves n 814.1
2.42/1
1.62/0
—
R. Alves n 835.8
2.25/2
1.94/1
—
I. Camará n 835.6
2.24/2
00/0
—
Conrado n 869.5
2.17/5
2.17/4
—
Radomiak Radom — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Elves n 851.4
3.37/6
1.35/1
Guilherme Luiz n 842.3
2.74/3
1.33/1
Ronaldo Lumungo n 871.3
2.27/6
1.36/2
A. Tapsoba n 846.4
1.75/1
00/0
J. Grzesik n 890
1.57/2
0.11/0
Radomiak Radom — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Elves n 851.4
0.21/0
0.41/1
R. Alves n 835.8
0.62/0
00/0
K. Karasek n 819
0.61/0
00/0
R. Wolski n 873.1
0.52/1
00/0
Adrián Diéguez n 884.4
00/0
0.31/1
Radomiak Radom — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Camará n 835.6
2.55/2
Adrián Diéguez n 884.4
2.48/5
E. F. Goncalves n 814.1
2.42/1
R. Wolski n 873.1
28/4
Z. Ouattara n 888
1.87/6
Radomiak Radom — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Majchrowicz n 890
3.48/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Pogon Szczecin v Radomiak Radom — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Pogon SzczecinDWWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Radomiak RadomWDLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Pogon Szczecin 1 · 1 draw · Radomiak Radom 4 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2025-12-06 Pogon Szczecin 2–2 Radomiak Radom
  • 2025-07-20 Radomiak Radom 5–1 Pogon Szczecin
  • 2025-05-10 Radomiak Radom 2–0 Pogon Szczecin
  • 2024-11-08 Pogon Szczecin 0–1 Radomiak Radom
  • 2024-02-16 Radomiak Radom 0–4 Pogon Szczecin
  • 2023-08-13 Pogon Szczecin 0–2 Radomiak Radom
League standing · 2026/27
Pogon Szczecin#4 pos21 pts10 pl+9 GD
Radomiak Radom#16 pos8 pts10 pl-14 GD
Goals per game
Pogon Szczecin scored1.5
Radomiak Radom scored0.9
Pogon Szczecin conceded0.6
Radomiak Radom conceded2.3

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Pogon Szczecin v Radomiak Radom?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Pogon Szczecin v Radomiak Radom is Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Pogon Szczecin and Radomiak Radom?
In their last 6 meetings, Pogon Szczecin won 1, Radomiak Radom won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Pogon Szczecin and Radomiak Radom?
Recent form — Pogon Szczecin 4W 1D 0L; Radomiak Radom 1W 1D 3L.

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