Wieczysta Kraków v Raków Częstochowa prediction

Ekstraklasa · · Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Wieczysta Kraków v Raków Częstochowa, Ekstraklasa on Fri, 16 Oct 2026 17:00 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.48 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 648 landed (95% range 61.8–69.1%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Wieczysta Kraków host Raków Częstochowa in the Ekstraklasa on Friday 16 October (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Raków Częstochowa have conceded 25 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). 12 of Raków Częstochowa’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Form and the table

Seven of Wieczysta Kraków’s last 10 results went over 2.5 goals (70%). Both teams scored in seven of Wieczysta Kraków’s last 10 results (70%). At home, Wieczysta Kraków have one win, one draw and one defeat in their last 3 home matches — 1.33 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 1.00. Wieczysta Kraków have scored 15 goals, the seventh-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Wieczysta Kraków have conceded 19 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Raków Częstochowa have lost their last three matches. Both teams scored in 11 of Raków Częstochowa’s last 15 results (73%). Away from home, Raków Częstochowa have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.43. Raków Częstochowa have scored 13 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Wieczysta Kraków (15th) and Raków Częstochowa (18th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Wieczysta Kraków the stronger side, 160 rating points above Raków Częstochowa (Wieczysta Kraków 1502, Raków Częstochowa 1342, after at least 10 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Wieczysta Kraków XI (4-3-3): M. Kochalski, A. Milić, M. Wieteska, D. Dujmović, M. Vojtko, M. Maigaard, L. Piazón, T. Christensen, E. Koulouris, L. Semedo, J. de la Rosa — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lucas Piazón (5.8 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and two assists) and T. Christensen (4.5 per match over 10 appearances, three goals) have been Wieczysta Kraków’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Wieczysta Kraków (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lucas Piazón averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 863 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. T. Christensen averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 732 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Raków Częstochowa XI (3-4-3): K. Trelowski, B. Racovitan, F. Tudor, S. Svarnas, J. C. Silva, O. Repka, K. Struski, T. Pieńko, M. Emreli, P. Makuch, A. Basse — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Patryk Makuch (4.8 per match over 11 appearances, six goals) and Mahir Emreli (3.7 per match over 11 appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Raków Częstochowa’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Raków Częstochowa (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Patryk Makuch averages 3.0 shots per 90 over 907 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Mahir Emreli averages 3.0 shots per 90 over 1197 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ekstraklasa · Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana
  • Referee: Pawel Raczkowski
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Wieczysta Kraków 1W 2D 2L · Raków Częstochowa 1W 0D 4L

Wieczysta Kraków v Raków Częstochowa (Ekstraklasa): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.88 / 2.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5.75 / 5
Corners
against 5.38 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 6.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 2.5
Cards
against 0.88 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameWieczysta Kraków for / againstLineRaków Częstochowa for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.25our book
1.5 for · 2.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.75 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
15.63 for · 15.38 against n 8
19.5standard
15.88 for · 17 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 6.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.13 for · 12.13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.63 for · 15.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 2 against n 8
Wieczysta Kraków
Wieczysta Kraków — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Białek n 811.6
4.84/1
11/0
—
K. Pestka n 866.9
2.47/3
15/1
—
T. Mras n 441.8
2.23/1
1.63/0
—
P. Pušić n 829.9
1.94/1
0.82/0
—
Ben Lederman n 851.5
1.76/2
1.34/1
—
Wieczysta Kraków — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
José de la Rosa n 855.4
2.87/5
0.63/0
E. Koulouris n 876.1
2.17/5
14/2
Lisandro Semedo n 861.5
26/4
1.14/2
B. Białek n 811.6
1.92/0
11/0
T. Christensen n 881
1.76/3
13/2
Wieczysta Kraków — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Białek n 811.6
11/0
00/0
Miki Villar n 829.8
0.41/0
0.41/0
Lucas Piazón n 885.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
E. Koulouris n 876.1
0.62/1
00/0
Lisandro Semedo n 861.5
0.52/1
00/0
Wieczysta Kraków — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Dankowski n 566.2
2.75/3
Ben Lederman n 851.5
2.66/2
Lucas Piazón n 885.4
2.48/6
T. Mras n 441.8
2.23/1
K. Pestka n 866.9
1.96/4
Wieczysta Kraków — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Kochalski n 890
47/6
A. Mikułko n 490
3.24/3
N. Čavlina n 390
33/1
Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Didí Gaucho n 863.9
2.56/5
1.14/2
—
I. Brusberg n 830.5
2.24/2
1.84/1
—
K. Struski n 866.5
1.95/4
2.27/4
—
A. Molnar n 413
1.71/0
00/0
—
M. Emreli n 884.8
1.67/4
0.83/1
—
Raków Częstochowa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Molnar n 413
3.52/0
00/0
P. Makuch n 883.3
3.17/7
1.66/4
M. Emreli n 884.8
2.98/6
1.26/3
L. Diaby-Fadiga n 849.5
2.76/4
0.93/1
Adam Basse n 821.1
2.75/0
0.51/0
Raków Częstochowa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Abraham Emmanuel Ojo n 420.3
00/0
1.11/0
L. Diaby-Fadiga n 849.5
0.73/0
0.21/0
M. Bulat n 867.3
0.53/0
0.32/0
J. Jendryka n 348.7
0.61/0
00/0
P. Makuch n 883.3
0.53/1
00/0
Raków Częstochowa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Perović n 822.5
45/2
A. Molnar n 413
3.52/0
Adam Basse n 821.1
3.23/2
Didí Gaucho n 863.9
2.56/5
J. Jendryka n 348.7
2.52/2
Raków Częstochowa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Trelowski n 893.8
3.45/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Wieczysta Kraków v Raków Częstochowa — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Wieczysta KrakówDLDWL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Raków CzęstochowaLWLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Wieczysta Kraków#15 pos8 pts10 pl-4 GD
Raków Częstochowa#18 pos3 pts10 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Wieczysta Kraków scored1.5
Raków Częstochowa scored1.3
Wieczysta Kraków conceded1.9
Raków Częstochowa conceded2.5

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Wieczysta Kraków v Raków Częstochowa?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Wieczysta Kraków v Raków Częstochowa is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.48 at Bet365).
What is the recent form of Wieczysta Kraków and Raków Częstochowa?
Recent form — Wieczysta Kraków 1W 2D 2L; Raków Częstochowa 1W 0D 4L.

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