Aalesund v Sandefjord prediction

Eliteserien · · Color Line Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Aalesund · Sandefjord · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Aalesund v Sandefjord, Eliteserien on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Aalesund host Sandefjord in the Eliteserien on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 14 of Aalesund’s last 15 results in all competitions (93%).

Sandefjord have scored 22 goals, the fewest of the 16 clubs (2026 so far).

Aalesund have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Aalesund’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). At home, Aalesund have two wins, four draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 2.25 and conceding 2.63. Aalesund have scored 39 goals, the seventh-most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Aalesund have conceded 51 goals, the second-most of the 16 clubs.

Eight of Sandefjord’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Sandefjord’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Sandefjord have one win, one draw and five defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.57 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.86. Sandefjord have conceded 30 goals, the third-fewest of the 16 clubs (2026 so far).

Aalesund (14th) and Sandefjord (13th) are level on points, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Aalesund the stronger side, 13 rating points above Sandefjord (Aalesund 1561, Sandefjord 1548, after at least 145 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Sandefjord are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Aalesund. The most recent meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Sandefjord 1–0 Aalesund.

Team news

Predicted Aalesund XI (5-3-2): L. Podlech, U. Charles, Ó. Guðmundsson, K. Nessø, C. Diop, M. Andresen, E. Hagen, M. Christensen, E. Osenbroch, H. M. Reed, I. Skotheim — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mathias Christensen (5.8 per match over 22 appearances, nine goals and four assists) and Uba Charles (5.1 per match over 22 appearances, one goal and four assists) have been Aalesund’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Aalesund (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Mathias Christensen averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 1822 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Uba Charles averages 2.8 tackles per 90 over 1709 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Sandefjord XI (5-4-1): E. Hadaya, X. Lambrix, F. Pedersen, R. Holten, V. Egeli, G. Højbjerg, S. Mörk, E. Pettersen, E. Patoulidis, E. Gigović, O. Kapskarmo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Zinedin Smajlović (4.3 per match over 10 appearances, one assist) and O. Kapskarmo (3.7 per match over six appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Sandefjord’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Sandefjord (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Zinedin Smajlović averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 1172 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last 10 appearances. O. Kapskarmo averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 423 minutes, with a shot in four of the last six appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Eliteserien · Color Line Stadion
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Aalesund 1 · draws 1 · Sandefjord 4 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Aalesund 3W 0D 2L · Sandefjord 1W 2D 2L

Aalesund v Sandefjord (Eliteserien): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.25 / 1.13
Goals
against 2 / 1.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.25 / 4.38
Corners
against 7.5 / 5.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.25 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 6.5 / 5.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 2.5
Cards
against 1.38 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAalesund for / againstLineSandefjord for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 2 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
6.25 for · 7.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.38 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
17.25 for · 17.25 against n 8
19.5standard
15.25 for · 16.38 against n 8
Shots on target
6.25 for · 6.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.75 for · 5.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.13 for · 10.75 against n 8
21.5standard
13.5 for · 14.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 2.5 against n 8
Aalesund
Aalesund — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Ngongo n 440.5
2.84/1
2.22/1
—
Mathias Christensen n 890
2.17/5
0.84/2
—
S. Vecchia n 810.8
2.11/1
6.34/2
—
I. Skotheim n 573
24/1
1.74/3
—
Sander Erik Kartum n 840.4
26/1
1.43/1
—
Aalesund — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. M. Reed n 876.6
3.47/6
1.66/4
P. Ngongo n 440.5
2.83/2
1.73/0
I. Skotheim n 573
2.75/4
1.53/2
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson n 841.5
2.75/3
0.83/0
Kristian Lonebu n 857.6
2.37/4
1.87/2
Aalesund — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. M. Reed n 876.6
0.63/1
0.63/1
P. Ngongo n 440.5
1.12/0
00/0
Mathias Christensen n 890
0.64/1
0.42/1
Kristian Lonebu n 857.6
0.63/0
0.42/0
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch n 868.3
0.32/0
0.53/0
Aalesund — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jakob Nyland Örsahl n 836.1
4.45/3
Hakon Butli Hammer n 848.4
35/4
Uba Charles n 881.3
2.98/7
P. Ngongo n 440.5
2.23/1
S. Vecchia n 810.8
2.12/0
Aalesund — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Luca Podlech n 890
4.38/7
Sandefjord
Sandefjord — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Foster Apetorgbor n 829
3.55/4
1.23/0
—
J. Vester n 858.1
2.15/3
1.55/3
—
G. Højbjerg n 837.5
2.14/2
0.93/0
—
Jakob Maslo Dunsby n 867.4
26/3
2.88/4
—
Xander Lambrix n 889
1.86/5
1.16/2
—
Sandefjord — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Bendik Berntsen n 846.6
2.77/3
13/1
Sebastian Holm Mathisen n 832.8
2.45/1
1.43/1
Jakob Maslo Dunsby n 867.4
26/4
0.73/1
O. Kapskarmo n 866.5
26/3
0.83/2
J. Dunsby n 839.9
24/2
0.82/1
Sandefjord — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Foster Apetorgbor n 829
0.41/0
0.82/0
E. Gigović n 481.3
0.31/0
0.31/0
M. Sauer n 833.1
0.31/0
0.31/0
O. Kapskarmo n 866.5
0.21/0
0.32/0
Sebastian Holm Mathisen n 832.8
0.31/0
00/0
Sandefjord — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Evangelos Patoulidis n 856.4
38/6
Martin Hellan n 832.4
2.83/3
G. Højbjerg n 837.5
2.14/1
Xander Lambrix n 889
28/6
Vetle Walle Egeli n 867
1.86/4
Sandefjord — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Elias Hadaya n 882.6
4.26/5
Alf Grønneberg n 356
1.61/1

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Aalesund v Sandefjord — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AalesundWLWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
SandefjordDLWDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Aalesund 1 · 1 draw · Sandefjord 4 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-05-03 Sandefjord 1–0 Aalesund
  • 2023-11-06 Aalesund 0–3 Sandefjord
  • 2023-04-30 Sandefjord 4–0 Aalesund
  • 2022-10-23 Aalesund 1–0 Sandefjord
  • 2022-07-12 Sandefjord 2–2 Aalesund
  • 2020-12-02 Aalesund 0–1 Sandefjord
League standing · 2026
Aalesund#14 pos24 pts23 pl-12 GD
Sandefjord#13 pos24 pts23 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
Aalesund scored1.7
Sandefjord scored0.96
Aalesund conceded2.22
Sandefjord conceded1.3

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Aalesund and Sandefjord?
In their last 6 meetings, Aalesund won 1, Sandefjord won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Aalesund and Sandefjord?
Recent form — Aalesund 3W 0D 2L; Sandefjord 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →