Bodo/Glimt v Valerenga prediction

Eliteserien · · Aspmyra Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Bodo/Glimt v Valerenga, Eliteserien on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 15:00 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Bodo/Glimt host Valerenga in the Eliteserien on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Bodo/Glimt or Valerenga (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Bodo/Glimt have conceded 20 goals, the fewest of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). 13 of Bodo/Glimt’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%).

Bodo/Glimt have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in nine of Bodo/Glimt’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Bodo/Glimt have seven wins, no draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 3.00 points per game, scoring 3.00 and conceding 1.00. Bodo/Glimt have scored 58 goals, the second-most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far).

12 of Valerenga’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in 11 of Valerenga’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Valerenga have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 2.71. Valerenga have scored 38 goals, the eighth-most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Valerenga have conceded 46 goals, the fifth-most of the 16 clubs.

Bodo/Glimt have won their last three matches in all competitions. Bodo/Glimt (first) and Valerenga (11th) are 30 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bodo/Glimt the stronger side, 473 rating points above Valerenga (Bodo/Glimt 1965, Valerenga 1492, after at least 263 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 8 August 2026, finished Valerenga 1–2 Bodo/Glimt.

Team news

Predicted Bodo/Glimt XI (4-4-2): N. Haikin, F. Sjøvold, O. Bjørtuft, F. Bjørkan, V. Nielsen, P. Berg, S. Auklend, S. Fet, J. Hauge, O. Blomberg, A. Helmersen — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kasper Høgh (5.1 per match over 12 appearances, seven goals and four assists) and Fredrik Sjøvold (4.6 per match over 28 appearances, four goals and three assists) have been Bodo/Glimt’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Bodo/Glimt (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Kasper Høgh averages 2.8 shots per 90 over 1743 minutes, with a shot in four of the last 10 appearances. Fredrik Sjøvold averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 2450 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Valerenga XI (4-4-2): O. Hedvall, H. Sjatil, S. Jarl, A. Olsen, K. Finnsson, C. Lange, L. Haren, P. Strand, M. Westergaard, M. Grundetjern, O. Saeter — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Carl Lange (4.3 per match over 23 appearances, six goals and one assist) and Aaron Kiil Olsen (4.2 per match over seven appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Valerenga’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Valerenga (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Carl Lange averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1937 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Aaron Kiil Olsen averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 623 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Eliteserien · Aspmyra Stadion
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Bodo/Glimt 5 · draws 0 · Valerenga 1 · 5.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bodo/Glimt 4W 0D 1L · Valerenga 1W 2D 2L

Bodo/Glimt v Valerenga (Eliteserien): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2 / 2
Goals
against 1.63 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.25 / 7.25
Corners
against 3.38 / 6.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 5.5
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 5.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.88 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.63 / 1 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBodo/Glimt for / againstLineValerenga for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 2.38 against n 8
Corners won
6.25 for · 3.38 against n 8
9.5standard
7.25 for · 6.75 against n 8
Shots
18.13 for · 10.5 against n 8
19.5standard
18.25 for · 15.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.5 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.75 for · 9.63 against n 8
21.5standard
10.88 for · 9.75 against n 8
Cards shown
0.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1 against n 8
Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Andreas Helmersen n 867.8
2.26/4
0.85/0
—
U. Saltnes n 822
1.53/0
23/1
—
Haitam Aleesami n 862.8
1.45/2
0.42/0
—
Odin Luras Bjørtuft n 884.8
1.24/3
0.74/1
—
Sondre Fet n 873.4
1.14/2
1.15/1
—
Bodo/Glimt — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Brynhildsen n 844.5
46/4
1.83/2
U. Saltnes n 822
3.64/1
00/0
Jens Hauge n 857.8
3.57/6
1.66/2
Andreas Helmersen n 867.8
3.37/6
1.75/3
Sondre Fet n 873.4
1.88/4
00/0
Bodo/Glimt — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Andreas Helmersen n 867.8
14/2
00/0
Jens Hauge n 857.8
0.42/0
0.42/0
Ole Didrik Blomberg n 869.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
Fredrik André Bjørkan n 871.9
0.31/1
0.21/0
Haitam Aleesami n 862.8
0.42/0
00/0
Bodo/Glimt — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Sondre Auklend n 882.4
48/7
Patrick Berg n 883.4
2.67/4
J. Kitolano n 830.5
2.64/3
Sondre Fet n 873.4
2.36/5
Jostein Gundersen n 870.4
1.94/4
Bodo/Glimt — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Nikita Haikin n 884.4
3.16/4
Julian Lund n 884.4
1.64/1
Valerenga
Valerenga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Saeter n 831.5
3.25/4
0.41/0
—
Ambina Fidèle Brice n 863.1
35/4
1.44/3
—
Kevin Tshiembe n 822.4
2.53/1
00/0
—
Gabriel Rajkovic n 828.1
2.45/1
1.63/1
—
Magnus Westergaard n 859.3
2.36/3
1.14/1
—
Valerenga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Sæter n 819.8
4.65/3
1.73/0
Lucas Haren n 879
3.48/7
26/3
Mathias Grundetjern n 877.4
3.28/7
1.65/3
O. Saeter n 831.5
3.24/3
00/0
M. Ofkir n 857.6
2.16/3
0.83/1
Valerenga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Ofkir n 857.6
0.83/1
0.41/1
Gabriel Rajkovic n 828.1
0.82/0
0.41/0
Henrik Bjørdal n 873.6
0.32/0
0.53/0
Lucas Haren n 879
0.63/1
0.11/0
Mathias Grundetjern n 877.4
0.42/1
0.32/0
Valerenga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Odin Thiago Holm n 826.6
3.83/2
Ambina Fidèle Brice n 863.1
3.77/5
Hakon Sjatil n 874.3
3.57/6
Magnus Westergaard n 859.3
37/5
Henrik Bjørdal n 873.6
2.66/6
Valerenga — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Oscar Hedvall n 890
3.16/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Bodo/Glimt v Valerenga — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Bodo/GlimtWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2 scored / 1 conceded per game
ValerengaDLDLW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Bodo/Glimt 5 · 0 draws · Valerenga 1 · 5.33 goals/game
  • 2026-08-08 Valerenga 1–2 Bodo/Glimt
  • 2025-11-01 Valerenga 3–1 Bodo/Glimt
  • 2025-07-26 Bodo/Glimt 7–2 Valerenga
  • 2023-09-28 Valerenga 2–4 Bodo/Glimt
  • 2023-09-24 Bodo/Glimt 4–2 Valerenga
  • 2023-06-04 Valerenga 1–3 Bodo/Glimt
League standing · 2026
Bodo/Glimt#1 pos56 pts23 pl+38 GD
Valerenga#11 pos26 pts23 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
Bodo/Glimt scored2.52
Valerenga scored1.65
Bodo/Glimt conceded0.87
Valerenga conceded2

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Bodo/Glimt v Valerenga?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bodo/Glimt v Valerenga is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Bodo/Glimt and Valerenga?
In their last 6 meetings, Bodo/Glimt won 5, Valerenga won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 5.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bodo/Glimt and Valerenga?
Recent form — Bodo/Glimt 4W 0D 1L; Valerenga 1W 2D 2L.

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