Ham-Kam v Rosenborg prediction

Eliteserien · · Briskeby Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg, Eliteserien on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 17:00 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4315 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Ham-Kam host Rosenborg in the Eliteserien on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Ham-Kam or Rosenborg (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Rosenborg have scored in 12 consecutive matches. Rosenborg are unbeaten in their last four matches.

Form and the table

11 of Ham-Kam’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in eight of Ham-Kam’s last 15 results (53%). At home, Ham-Kam have one win, two draws and three defeats in their last 6 home matches — 0.83 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 2.33. Ham-Kam have scored 33 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Ham-Kam have conceded 48 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 16 clubs.

11 of Rosenborg’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in eight of Rosenborg’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Rosenborg have three wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 6 away matches — 1.50 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.67. Rosenborg have scored 40 goals, the fifth-most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Rosenborg have conceded 31 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs.

Ham-Kam (11th) and Rosenborg (fifth) are eight points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Rosenborg the stronger side, 313 rating points above Ham-Kam (Rosenborg 1808, Ham-Kam 1495, after at least 143 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 5 September 2026, finished Rosenborg 4–0 Ham-Kam.

Team news

Predicted Ham-Kam XI (5-3-2): M. Sandberg, S. Nilsen, E. Amundsen-Day, F. Sjolstad, M. Gjone, A. Andresen, L. Mares, M. Johnsgard, A. Trondsen, D. Benjamin, D. Moreira — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mame Alassane Niang (4.1 per match over 11 appearances, six goals) and Aksel Baran Potur (4.0 per match over 17 appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Ham-Kam’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Ham-Kam (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Mame Alassane Niang averages 1.6 shots per 90 over 900 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. Aksel Baran Potur averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1328 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Rosenborg XI (4-4-2): L. Wahlstedt, M. Ceide, A. Pereira, A. Witry, J. Svensson, M. Bomholt, N. Sahsah, S. Nordli, D. Duris, E. Ceide, M. Kjølø — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Amin Chiakha (5.6 per match over 22 appearances, 14 goals and three assists) and Ole Selnaes (4.8 per match over 19 appearances, one goal and eight assists) have been Rosenborg’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Rosenborg (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Amin Chiakha averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 1859 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Ole Selnaes averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1409 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Eliteserien · Briskeby Arena
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Ham-Kam 2 · draws 0 · Rosenborg 4 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Ham-Kam 1W 0D 4L · Rosenborg 3W 1D 1L

Ham-Kam v Rosenborg (Eliteserien): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 2.63
Goals
against 2.75 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 6.5
Corners
against 5.38 / 5.38 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 7.75
Shots on target
against 6.88 / 4.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1.88
Cards
against 0.63 / 1.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameHam-Kam for / againstLineRosenborg for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 2.75 against n 8
2.5standard
2.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
6.5 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
9.75 for · 19 against n 8
19.5standard
16.25 for · 13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.25 for · 6.88 against n 8
8.5standard
7.75 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
11 for · 10.25 against n 8
21.5standard
15.63 for · 11.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 0.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Isufi n 846.6
3.45/3
2.95/4
—
David Benjamin n 846.8
2.66/4
0.72/1
—
Aksel Baran Potur n 878
1.97/5
4.68/6
—
Anders Trondsen n 842
1.95/1
2.14/2
—
William Osnes-Ringen n 831.4
1.84/1
1.12/1
—
Ham-Kam — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Andresen n 848.9
2.36/2
0.21/0
M. Ofkir n 857.6
25/3
0.83/1
Henrik Udahl n 852.4
1.95/2
0.93/1
Danilo Al-Saed n 823.6
1.92/1
12/0
Markus Johnsgard n 873.8
1.76/3
0.63/1
Ham-Kam — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Ofkir n 857.6
0.83/1
0.41/1
Patrick Metcalfe n 889.9
0.11/0
0.43/0
Viðar Ari Jónsson n 873.1
0.21/0
0.31/1
Danilo Al-Saed n 823.6
0.51/0
00/0
Martin Gjone n 880.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
Ham-Kam — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Isufi n 846.6
3.66/4
William Osnes-Ringen n 831.4
3.26/3
João Barros n 353.7
2.82/2
Viðar Ari Jónsson n 877.4
2.58/6
Viðar Ari Jónsson n 873.1
1.75/2
Ham-Kam — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Marcus Sandberg n 890
46/5
Rosenborg
Rosenborg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Reitan-Sunde n 813.4
54/2
55/1
—
Maciej Soboczynski n 316.3
3.72/0
00/0
—
Amin Chiakha n 887
3.18/5
1.87/4
—
Jonas Mortensen n 825.8
2.66/0
0.41/0
—
Adrian Nilsen Pereira n 879.4
2.37/4
1.76/4
—
Rosenborg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Amin Chiakha n 887
48/8
1.77/4
Maciej Soboczynski n 316.3
3.72/0
00/0
Simen Nordli n 845.9
2.76/4
1.54/2
J. Reitan-Sunde n 813.4
2.52/1
2.52/1
Emil Konradsen Ceide n 885.3
2.27/5
1.67/5
Rosenborg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Amin Chiakha n 887
17/1
0.43/0
Noah Sahsah n 857.6
14/1
00/0
Emil Konradsen Ceide n 885.3
0.43/0
0.32/0
Mads Bomholt n 889.6
0.11/0
0.43/0
Ole Selnaes n 885.8
0.11/0
0.43/0
Rosenborg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Svensson n 856.6
4.28/8
Maciej Soboczynski n 316.3
3.71/1
Ole Selnaes n 885.8
3.48/7
Jonas Mortensen n 825.8
3.15/2
M. Kjølø n 834.1
35/3
Rosenborg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Leopold Wahlstedt n 890
3.17/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Ham-Kam v Rosenborg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Ham-KamLLLWL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.4 scored / 3.2 conceded per game
RosenborgLWWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 3 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Ham-Kam 2 · 0 draws · Rosenborg 4 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-09-05 Rosenborg 4–0 Ham-Kam
  • 2025-09-28 Ham-Kam 4–0 Rosenborg
  • 2025-07-13 Rosenborg 2–0 Ham-Kam
  • 2024-11-10 Ham-Kam 0–2 Rosenborg
  • 2024-04-14 Rosenborg 1–0 Ham-Kam
  • 2023-08-20 Ham-Kam 3–0 Rosenborg
League standing · 2026
Ham-Kam#11 pos26 pts23 pl-15 GD
Rosenborg#5 pos34 pts22 pl+9 GD
Goals per game
Ham-Kam scored1.43
Rosenborg scored1.82
Ham-Kam conceded2.09
Rosenborg conceded1.41

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Ham-Kam v Rosenborg is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Ham-Kam and Rosenborg?
In their last 6 meetings, Ham-Kam won 2, Rosenborg won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ham-Kam and Rosenborg?
Recent form — Ham-Kam 1W 0D 4L; Rosenborg 3W 1D 1L.

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