Kristiansund BK v Aalesund prediction

Eliteserien · · Nordmøre stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund, Eliteserien on Sat, 17 Oct 2026 15:00 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.55 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 648 landed (95% range 61.8–69.1%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Kristiansund BK host Aalesund in the Eliteserien on Saturday 17 October (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Kristiansund BK have scored in five consecutive matches.

Aalesund have scored in 15 consecutive matches — every result checked. Aalesund have conceded 50 goals, the most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far).

Form and the table

Kristiansund BK have lost their last three matches. 11 of Kristiansund BK’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Kristiansund BK’s last 15 results (67%). At home, Kristiansund BK have two wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 6 home matches — 1.17 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 1.33. Kristiansund BK have scored 22 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Kristiansund BK have conceded 43 goals, the fifth-most of the 16 clubs.

11 of Aalesund’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 14 of Aalesund’s last 15 results (93%). Away from home, Aalesund have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 2.14. Aalesund have scored 35 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026 so far).

Kristiansund BK (15th) and Aalesund (14th) are two points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Kristiansund BK the stronger side, 21 rating points above Aalesund (Kristiansund BK 1476, Aalesund 1455, after at least 144 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Aalesund 1–1 Kristiansund BK.

Team news

Kristiansund BK have three names on the availability list: I. H. Aalberg (out, Groin Injury), Z. Bytyqi (out, Groin Injury) and S. Svendsen (doubtful, Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-16. Predicted Kristiansund BK XI (4-4-2): M. Lansing, D. Ulvestad, J. Isaksen, J. Júlíusson, M. Elvius, W. Igor, H. Bruseth, T. Svendsen, D. Tufekcic, L. Alvheim, L. Alvheim — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Leander Alvheim (5.3 per match over six appearances, five goals) and Wilfred George Igor (3.7 per match over 21 appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Kristiansund BK’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Kristiansund BK (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Leander Alvheim averages 2.1 shots per 90 over 514 minutes, with a shot in five of the last six appearances. Wilfred George Igor averages 0.4 key passes per 90 over 1811 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Aalesund have six names on the availability list: A. Kjelsen (out, Injury), H. Hammer (out, Injury), I. Djantou (out, Inactive), J. Seehusen (out, Injury), S. Haram (out, Elbow Injury) and P. Aukland (doubtful, Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-16. Predicted Aalesund XI (5-3-2): L. Podlech, U. Charles, Ó. Guðmundsson, K. Nessø, C. Diop, M. Andresen, E. Hagen, M. Christensen, H. Hammer, H. M. Reed, I. Skotheim — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Mathias Christensen (5.5 per match over 21 appearances, eight goals and two assists) and Uba Charles (5.1 per match over 21 appearances, one goal and four assists) have been Aalesund’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Aalesund (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Mathias Christensen averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 1732 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Uba Charles averages 2.6 tackles per 90 over 1642 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Eliteserien · Nordmøre stadion
  • Referee: Mischa Kellerhals
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Kristiansund BK 3 · draws 2 · Aalesund 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Kristiansund BK 1W 1D 3L · Aalesund 2W 0D 3L

Kristiansund BK v Aalesund (Eliteserien): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 2
Goals
against 2.5 / 2.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
3.88 / 6.38
Corners
against 6.25 / 7.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 5.63
Shots on target
against 7.13 / 6.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.25 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameKristiansund BK for / againstLineAalesund for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.25our book
2 for · 2.63 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 6.25 against n 8
9.5standard
6.38 for · 7.5 against n 8
Shots
13 for · 17.63 against n 8
19.5standard
18 for · 16.88 against n 8
Shots on target
3.63 for · 7.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.63 for · 6.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.88 for · 13.38 against n 8
21.5standard
12.88 for · 11.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
Kristiansund BK
Kristiansund BK — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Julius Mar Juliusson n 887.9
1.98/5
0.54/0
—
J. Júlíusson n 678.8
1.76/2
14/1
—
Tobias Hammer Svendsen n 840.1
1.74/1
1.14/0
—
Leander Alvheim n 886.4
1.65/4
0.84/1
—
Jesper Isaksen n 883.4
1.57/3
2.38/5
—
Kristiansund BK — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Leander Alvheim n 886.4
2.17/5
16/2
Leander Alvheim n 880.9
2.16/5
1.16/2
Sander Hestetun Kilen n 858.9
2.16/3
13/1
David Tufekcic n 854.1
1.26/0
0.84/0
Z. Bytyqi n 847.5
1.23/1
0.52/0
Kristiansund BK — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Sander Hestetun Kilen n 858.9
0.63/0
0.21/0
Leander Alvheim n 880.9
0.74/1
00/0
Z. Bytyqi n 847.5
0.21/0
0.52/0
Alexander Munksgaard n 889.9
0.11/0
0.32/0
Leander Alvheim n 886.4
0.43/0
00/0
Kristiansund BK — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jesper Isaksen n 883.4
2.68/5
Wilfred George Igor n 874.3
2.37/5
J. Júlíusson n 678.8
2.15/5
G. Christensen n 744
24/3
Alexander Munksgaard n 889.9
1.98/4
Kristiansund BK — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Michael Lansing n 890
4.58/8
Aalesund
Aalesund — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Mathias Christensen n 889
2.47/5
0.53/1
—
Ulrik Syversen n 856.8
2.45/4
0.62/1
—
S. Vecchia n 89.8
2.31/1
5.83/2
—
Henrik Melland n 831.3
2.23/2
0.72/0
—
Elias Heggland Myrlid n 816.8
23/0
0.71/0
—
Aalesund — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. M. Reed n 877.1
3.47/6
1.66/4
Sander Erik Kartum n 834.9
2.94/3
1.63/2
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson n 841.5
2.75/3
0.83/0
I. Skotheim n 471.3
2.54/3
0.92/1
Kristian Lonebu n 853.1
2.37/3
1.56/1
Aalesund — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. M. Reed n 877.1
0.43/0
0.63/1
Kristian Lonebu n 853.1
0.42/0
0.42/0
Mathias Christensen n 889
0.64/1
0.11/0
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch n 872.6
0.32/0
0.32/0
Sander Erik Kartum n 834.9
0.31/0
0.31/0
Aalesund — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jakob Nyland Örsahl n 835.9
4.45/3
Hakon Butli Hammer n 848.4
35/4
Henrik Melland n 831.3
2.95/3
S. Vecchia n 89.8
2.32/0
Uba Charles n 884.1
2.18/6
Aalesund — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Luca Podlech n 890
4.17/7

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Kristiansund BK v Aalesund — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Kristiansund BKDWLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 3.2 conceded per game
AalesundLWLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Kristiansund BK 3 · 2 draws · Aalesund 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-04-26 Aalesund 1–1 Kristiansund BK
  • 2022-10-30 Kristiansund BK 4–0 Aalesund
  • 2022-04-03 Aalesund 1–0 Kristiansund BK
  • 2020-10-04 Aalesund 1–2 Kristiansund BK
  • 2020-06-21 Kristiansund BK 7–2 Aalesund
  • 2017-10-21 Aalesund 1–1 Kristiansund BK
League standing · 2026
Kristiansund BK#15 pos19 pts22 pl-21 GD
Aalesund#14 pos21 pts22 pl-15 GD
Goals per game
Kristiansund BK scored1
Aalesund scored1.59
Kristiansund BK conceded1.95
Aalesund conceded2.27

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Kristiansund BK v Aalesund is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.55 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Kristiansund BK and Aalesund?
In their last 6 meetings, Kristiansund BK won 3, Aalesund won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kristiansund BK and Aalesund?
Recent form — Kristiansund BK 1W 1D 3L; Aalesund 2W 0D 3L.

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