Sarpsborg 08 FF v Valerenga result

Full-time · Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–2 Valerenga

Eliteserien · · Sarpsborg Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Sarpsborg 08 FF · Valerenga · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–2 Valerenga — this Eliteserien match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.36 at Betvictor
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 643 landed (95% range 61.9–69.2%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 391 of 597 times (65.5%), against an average rating of 68.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Sarpsborg 08 FF and Valerenga drew 2–2 at Sarpsborg Stadion in the Eliteserien on Sunday 6 September. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Sarpsborg 08 FF out-shot Valerenga 19 to 12 and created the better chances, 2.04 xG to 1.29 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Sarpsborg 08 FF led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Sarpsborg 08 FF: Claus Niyukuri (28’, assisted by V. Halvorsen) and Sondre Sörli (81’); Valerenga: Petter Strand (84’) and Gabriel Rajkovic (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Gabriel Rajkovic’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

Marius Grotta, Norway showed two yellow cards — against 3.1 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sarpsborg 08 FF: P. Reinhardsen (90+4’); Valerenga: Magnus Westergaard (80’).

What it changes

Sarpsborg 08 FF move down from eighth to ninth (19 league matches played).

Valerenga stay 11th after this result (19 league matches played).

Sarpsborg 08 FF are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Valerenga are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Claus Niyukuri (Sarpsborg 08 FF) 7.3, Aaron Kiil Olsen (Valerenga) 6.6 and Odin Thiago Holm (Valerenga) 5.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 65.6% of the time in the last 90 days (422 of 643).

Next up

Sarpsborg 08 FF next host Aalesund on 25 October 2026.

Valerenga next travel to Bodo/Glimt on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sarpsborg 08 FF: Sarpsborg 08 FF v Aalesund, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Valerenga: Bodo/Glimt v Valerenga, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–2 Valerenga · Eliteserien
  • Venue: Sarpsborg Stadion · Sarpsborg
  • Referee: Marius Grotta, Norway
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sarpsborg 08 FF 2 · draws 2 · Valerenga 2 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1W 2D 2L · Valerenga 1W 1D 3L

Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–2 Valerenga (Eliteserien): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 20 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 2.63
Goals
against 1 / 2.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 6
Corners
against 5.75 / 6.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 7
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 6.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 2.13
Cards
against 2 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.1 yellows
Referee · Marius Grotta, Norway
1.2 home / 1.9 away
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSarpsborg 08 FF for / againstLineValerenga for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1 against n 8
3.5our book
2.63 for · 2.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
6 for · 6.25 against n 8
Shots
13.38 for · 14.13 against n 8
19.5standard
18.38 for · 15.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
7 for · 6.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.63 for · 10.5 against n 8
21.5standard
12.88 for · 10.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 0.75 against n 8

Referee: Marius Grotta, Norway — 3.1 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 24.4 fouls over 10 matches (1.2 to the home side, 1.9 to the away side).

Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sarpsborg 08 FF — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Camil Mmaee n 313.3
4.52/0
00/0
—
M. Opoku n 636.3
2.14/1
1.22/1
—
Daniel Karlsbakk n 888.1
1.97/4
1.57/4
—
Aimar Sher n 862.6
1.85/4
2.76/5
Magnus Westergaard
Bop Guèye n 813.1
1.72/0
00/0
—
Sarpsborg 08 FF — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Camil Mmaee n 313.3
4.52/0
2.31/0
M. Opoku n 636.3
2.53/2
0.82/0
Sondre Sörli n 885
1.97/4
0.86/0
Jo Inge Berget n 821.5
1.62/1
00/0
Daniel Karlsbakk n 888.1
1.56/4
0.84/2
Sarpsborg 08 FF — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Sondre Sörli n 885
0.32/0
0.32/0
Claus Niyukuri n 869.4
00/0
0.53/0
Daniel Karlsbakk n 888.1
0.43/0
00/0
O. Skarsem n 856.8
00/0
0.41/1
M. Opoku n 636.3
00/0
0.41/0
Sarpsborg 08 FF — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Eirik Wichne n 828.9
3.95/4
Anders Hiim n 889.3
2.67/6
Claus Niyukuri n 869.4
2.65/4
O. Skarsem n 856.8
2.46/5
Menno Koch n 860.3
2.15/3
Sarpsborg 08 FF — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Leander Øy n 890
4.37/5
Mamour Ndiaye n 890
3.57/7
Valerenga
Valerenga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ambina Fidèle Brice n 858
3.35/4
1.75/3
—
Magnus Westergaard n 837.9
2.16/1
1.24/0
Aimar Sher
Gabriel Rajkovic n 827.8
25/0
0.41/0
—
O. Saeter n 622
22/1
0.71/0
—
Mathias Grundetjern n 879.9
1.86/4
15/2
—
Valerenga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Filip Thorvaldsen n 847.1
3.67/4
2.46/3
Mathias Grundetjern n 879.9
2.88/6
1.55/3
Gabriel Rajkovic n 827.8
2.85/2
0.41/0
Lucas Haren n 862.9
2.78/5
1.86/3
O. Saeter n 622
2.72/2
00/0
Valerenga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Lucas Haren n 862.9
1.15/1
0.21/0
Henrik Bjørdal n 869.5
0.32/0
0.83/1
M. Ofkir n 855.1
0.62/1
0.41/1
Mathias Grundetjern n 879.9
0.42/1
0.43/0
Gabriel Rajkovic n 827.8
0.41/0
0.41/0
Valerenga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ambina Fidèle Brice n 858
3.55/4
Petter Strand n 855.4
3.34/3
Kolbeinn Finnsson n 890
3.27/7
Hakon Sjatil n 853.5
3.26/5
Magnus Westergaard n 837.9
35/2
Valerenga — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Oscar Hedvall n 890
3.68/6

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Sarpsborg 08 FFValerenga
40%Possession60%
2.04Expected goals (xG)1.29
19Shots12
8Shots on target5
8Shots off target5
3Blocked shots2
16Shots inside the box9
7Corners8
0Offsides2
9Fouls14
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
4Saves6
417Passes614
82%Pass accuracy87%

Sarpsborg 08 FF player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Sander Christiansen9000101307
Bjorn Utvik9000310107.2
Leander Øy9000000007.3
Anders Hiim9000000106.5
Daniel Karlsbakk9000531005.7
Marius Lode9000000106.9
Aimar Sher9000003307.5
O. Skarsem8900111307.2
V. Halvorsen7001004107.2
Claus Niyukuri6910221108.7
M. Opoku6300302207.2
Sondre Sörli sub2710112107.7
P. Reinhardsen sub21000000Y6.2
Andreas Hansen sub2000000106.5
Eirik Wichne sub10000000–

Valerenga player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Magnus Westergaard90000002Y6.5
Hakon Sjatil9000101006.2
Aaron Kiil Olsen9001002007.9
Sebastian Jarl9000000107.3
Lucas Haren9000421206.9
Kolbeinn Finnsson9000001006
Oscar Hedvall9000000007.7
Carl Lange8800001206.7
Odin Thiago Holm7000101507.5
D. Gjengaar7000000006
G. Zahid6400111006.7
O. Sæter2001201006.8
Petter Strand sub2610110007.2
Gabriel Rajkovic sub2010110007.5
O. Saeter sub2001101006.3
Kevin Tshiembe sub800000006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Sarpsborg 08 FF v Valerenga — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Sarpsborg 08 FFWDLLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
ValerengaWLLDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 2.4 scored / 3.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sarpsborg 08 FF 2 · 2 draws · Valerenga 2 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-05-16 Valerenga 3–2 Sarpsborg 08 FF
  • 2025-08-17 Valerenga 4–0 Sarpsborg 08 FF
  • 2025-04-06 Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–1 Valerenga
  • 2023-11-05 Sarpsborg 08 FF 3–2 Valerenga
  • 2023-04-16 Valerenga 0–2 Sarpsborg 08 FF
  • 2022-10-29 Valerenga 3–3 Sarpsborg 08 FF
League standing · 2026
Sarpsborg 08 FF#9 pos28 pts22 pl-3 GD
Valerenga#14 pos23 pts22 pl-10 GD
Goals per game
Sarpsborg 08 FF scored1.27
Valerenga scored1.59
Sarpsborg 08 FF conceded1.41
Valerenga conceded2.05

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Sarpsborg 08 FF v Valerenga?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sarpsborg 08 FF v Valerenga was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.36 at Betvictor).
What is the head-to-head record between Sarpsborg 08 FF and Valerenga?
In their last 6 meetings, Sarpsborg 08 FF won 2, Valerenga won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sarpsborg 08 FF and Valerenga?
Recent form — Sarpsborg 08 FF 1W 2D 2L; Valerenga 1W 1D 3L.

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