Valerenga v Molde result

Full-time · Valerenga 3–4 Molde

Eliteserien · · Intility Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Valerenga · Molde · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Valerenga 3–4 Molde — Molde won this Eliteserien match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.26 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Molde won 4–3 at Intility Arena in the Eliteserien on Sunday 30 August. Molde have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Molde led 4–3 at half-time. The goals — Molde: E. Hestad (11’, assisted by E. Breivik), S. Granaas (30’, assisted by O. Spiten-Nysæter), J. Abdulai (40’, assisted by A. Posiadała) and C. Zady Sery (45’); Valerenga: Lucas Haren (19’, assisted by Gabriel Rajkovic), Mathias Grundetjern (21’) and Carl Lange (45’, assisted by Kolbeinn Finnsson).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Abdulai’s goal on 40 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Valerenga 1.82, Molde 1.73, from 21 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

C. Moen showed five yellow cards — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Valerenga: Ivan Näsberg (-5’), Aaron Kiil Olsen (75’) and Mathias Grundetjern (78’); Molde: E. Breivik (70’) and S. Granaas (76’).

What it changes

Valerenga move down from 10th to 11th (18 league matches played).

Molde stay fourth after this result (18 league matches played).

With seven goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 19, across eight matches. Valerenga are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Carl Lange (Valerenga) 9.5, Lucas Haren (Valerenga) 7.5 and Mathias Grundetjern (Valerenga) 6.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Valerenga or Molde (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).

Next up

Valerenga next travel to Bodo/Glimt on 24 October 2026.

Molde next host Fredrikstad on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Valerenga: Bodo/Glimt v Valerenga, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Molde: Molde v Fredrikstad, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Valerenga 3–4 Molde · Eliteserien
  • Venue: Intility Arena · Oslo
  • Referee: C. Moen
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Valerenga 0 · draws 1 · Molde 5 · 3.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Valerenga 2W 1D 2L · Molde 2W 1D 2L

Valerenga 3–4 Molde (Eliteserien): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 13 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.25 / 2.13
Goals
against 2.5 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.75
over 8 matches
6.25 / 7
Corners
against 6.63 / 3.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.5 / 6.75
Shots on target
against 5.75 / 3.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.5
Cards
against 0.63 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.2 yellows
Referee · C. Moen
1.4 home / 1.8 away
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameValerenga for / againstLineMolde for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.75our book
2.13 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
6.25 for · 6.63 against n 8
9.5standard
7 for · 3.5 against n 8
Shots
17.63 for · 15.5 against n 8
19.5standard
17.88 for · 9.5 against n 8
Shots on target
6.5 for · 5.75 against n 8
8.5standard
6.75 for · 3.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.13 for · 10.13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.75 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 0.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: C. Moen — 3.2 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 19.2 fouls over 5 matches (1.4 to the home side, 1.8 to the away side).

Valerenga
Valerenga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ambina Fidèle Brice n 858
3.35/4
1.75/3
—
Magnus Westergaard n 835.5
2.97/2
13/0
D. Daga
Gabriel Rajkovic n 822.1
2.55/0
00/0
O. Spiten-Nysæter
O. Saeter n 523.8
2.32/1
0.81/0
—
Mathias Grundetjern n 879.9
26/4
0.84/2
O. Spiten-Nysæter
Valerenga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Filip Thorvaldsen n 852.8
3.27/4
2.16/3
Gabriel Rajkovic n 822.1
3.14/2
0.51/0
Lucas Haren n 857.3
2.67/4
1.85/3
Mathias Grundetjern n 879.9
2.47/5
1.14/2
Henrik Bjørdal n 873.3
2.27/5
1.15/2
Valerenga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Lucas Haren n 857.3
14/1
0.21/0
Henrik Bjørdal n 873.3
0.21/0
0.83/1
M. Ofkir n 856.3
0.62/1
0.41/1
O. Saeter n 523.8
00/0
0.81/0
Mathias Grundetjern n 879.9
0.31/1
0.43/0
Valerenga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Kolbeinn Finnsson n 890
3.68/8
Ambina Fidèle Brice n 858
3.55/4
Petter Strand n 852.9
3.44/3
Magnus Westergaard n 835.5
2.95/2
Hakon Sjatil n 847.9
2.85/4
Valerenga — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Oscar Hedvall n 890
37/5
Molde
Molde — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
V. Bender n 814.8
4.64/2
0.81/0
—
D. Daga n 660.8
3.75/4
1.23/2
Magnus Westergaard
J. Abdulai n 858.6
3.38/7
14/1
—
F. Gulbrandsen n 850.6
1.86/2
1.15/0
—
O. Spiten-Nysæter n 852.3
1.76/1
1.75/2
Mathias Grundetjern
Molde — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Diop n 323.3
3.92/1
2.62/0
Trent Toure Kone Doherty n 827.6
3.34/3
2.94/3
O. Spiten-Nysæter n 852.3
3.24/3
1.13/1
J. Abdulai n 858.6
2.95/4
13/2
S. Granaas n 887.4
2.27/5
0.85/1
Molde — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Diop n 323.3
1.31/0
00/0
Trent Toure Kone Doherty n 827.6
0.82/0
0.41/0
V. Bender n 814.8
00/0
0.81/0
E. Hestad n 884.5
0.75/0
0.11/0
E. Breivik n 889.4
0.11/0
0.64/1
Molde — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
V. Bender n 814.8
3.84/1
D. Daga n 660.8
3.25/4
S. Kabini n 870
3.17/4
H. Stenevik n 890
38/7
S. Granaas n 887.4
2.77/6
Molde — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Posiadała n 890
1.55/1

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ValerengaMolde
49%Possession51%
1.82Expected goals (xG)1.73
21Shots14
5Shots on target9
7Shots off target4
9Blocked shots1
13Shots inside the box11
5Corners2
1Offsides2
10Fouls9
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
5Saves2
488Passes506
80%Pass accuracy83%

Valerenga player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Oscar Hedvall9000001007
Hakon Sjatil9000000305.9
Aaron Kiil Olsen90000004Y6.2
Kolbeinn Finnsson9001001006.2
Henrik Bjørdal9000107007.2
Mathias Grundetjern90103312Y7.3
Aaron Kiil Olsen90000004Y6.2
Carl Lange8810310408.3
Ivan Näsberg77000001Y6.2
Magnus Westergaard7700000306.9
Lucas Haren7710212307.3
Gabriel Rajkovic5501103107.6
Petter Strand sub3500000006.9
Kevin Tshiembe sub1300000006.7
G. Zahid sub1300000006.7
O. Saeter sub1300200006.3
Odin Thiago Holm sub1000000006.7

Molde player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Posiadała9001001006.5
S. Hansen9000000006.9
B. Risa9000000107.2
S. Kabini9000211206.2
E. Breivik90010051Y6.9
D. Daga9000100307.2
S. Hansen9000000006.9
J. Abdulai8110112007.5
S. Granaas80102110Y7.3
M. Linnes6100001106
O. Spiten-Nysæter6101221006.3
E. Hestad2910220007.2
C. Zady Sery sub6110210107.2
V. Bender sub2900000006.7
M. Møller Dæhli sub2900000006.9
Niklas Odegard sub1000001005.9
Trent Toure Kone Doherty sub900110007

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Valerenga v Molde — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ValerengaWWLLD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 3 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
MoldeLWDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Valerenga 0 · 1 draw · Molde 5 · 3.83 goals/game
  • 2026-04-26 Molde 5–1 Valerenga
  • 2025-09-28 Molde 4–1 Valerenga
  • 2025-06-22 Valerenga 2–3 Molde
  • 2023-08-19 Molde 0–0 Valerenga
  • 2023-07-15 Valerenga 0–4 Molde
  • 2022-11-13 Valerenga 1–2 Molde
League standing · 2026
Valerenga#11 pos26 pts23 pl-8 GD
Molde#3 pos40 pts23 pl+17 GD
Goals per game
Valerenga scored1.65
Molde scored2.26
Valerenga conceded2
Molde conceded1.52

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Valerenga v Molde?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Valerenga v Molde was Home or Away (best price 1.26 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Valerenga and Molde?
In their last 6 meetings, Valerenga won 0, Molde won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Valerenga and Molde?
Recent form — Valerenga 2W 1D 2L; Molde 2W 1D 2L.

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