Ajax v Heracles result

Full-time · Ajax 2–0 Heracles

Eredivisie · Sun, 24 Aug 2025 15:45 BST · Johan Cruijff Arena

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Ajax · Heracles · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Ajax 2–0 Heracles — Ajax won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick

Home win

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.1% of 215 landed (95% range 72.1–83.1%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 142 of 208 times (68.3%), against an average rating of 68.3%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Ajax beat Heracles 2–0 at Johan Cruijff Arena in the Eredivisie on Sunday 24 August. Ajax are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Heracles have lost their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

Ajax led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Ajax: Steven Berghuis (31’) and Wout Weghorst (87’, assisted by Davy Klaassen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Steven Berghuis’s goal on 31 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Ajax 2.67, Heracles 0.16, from 27 shots to 4 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Nagtegaal showed two yellow cards — against 2.7 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Heracles: D. Mirani (22’) and Jan Žambůrek (70’).

What it changes

Ajax move up from fourth to third (three league matches played).

Heracles stay 18th after this result (three league matches played).

Ajax have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Steven Berghuis (Ajax) 8.0, Wout Weghorst (Ajax) 6.5 and Youri Baas (Ajax) 5.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Ajax to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78.1% of the time in the last 90 days (168 of 215).

Next up

Ajax next host Atalanta on 22 October 2026.

Heracles next travel to De Treffers on 29 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Ajax: Ajax v Atalanta, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for Heracles: De Treffers v Heracles, Thursday 29 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Ajax 2–0 Heracles · Eredivisie
Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena · Amsterdam
Referee: M. Nagtegaal
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Ajax 5 · draws 1 · Heracles 0 · 4.17 goals/game
Recent form: Ajax 2W 2D 1L · Heracles 0W 0D 5L

Ajax 2–0 Heracles (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1

Goals

against 1.63 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

8.13 / 5.38

Corners

against 4.13 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.25 / 4.13

Shots on target

against 4.38 / 7.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.5 / 2

Cards

against 2.13 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

2.71 yellows

Referee · M. Nagtegaal

1.29 home / 1.43 away

over 14 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Ajax for / against	Line	Heracles for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	8.13 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.38 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	18 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11 for · 16.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.25 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.13 for · 7.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.13 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.88 for · 9 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: M. Nagtegaal — 2.71 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 19 fouls over 14 matches (1.29 to the home side, 1.43 to the away side).

Home 1.29Away 1.43

Ajax

Ajax — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Y. Regeer n 8	32.6	3.1 5/2	1 2/1	—
B. Brobbey n 8	61.6	1.8 7/3	2.9 7/6	—
A. Kaplan n 8	72.5	1.7 5/3	0.6 3/1	—
D. Rugani n 8	61.3	1.7 4/2	0.2 1/0	—
W. Weghorst n 8	54.5	1.7 5/2	1.9 4/3	—

Ajax — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
W. Weghorst n 8	54.5	3.3 8/4	1.7 6/2
O. Edvardsen n 8	34.5	2.9 5/3	1 3/0
S. Berghuis n 8	72.9	2.5 7/4	0.9 3/2
B. Traoré n 8	54.5	1.7 6/1	1 4/1
Y. Regeer n 8	32.6	1.7 4/1	0.3 1/0

Ajax — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
W. Weghorst n 8	54.5	1 4/1	0 0/0
O. Edvardsen n 8	34.5	0.7 2/0	0 0/0
S. Berghuis n 8	72.9	0 0/0	0.6 3/1
Y. Regeer n 8	32.6	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
Raul Moro n 8	75.3	0 0/0	0.4 3/0

Ajax — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Y. Regeer n 8	32.6	2.8 5/2
A. Kaplan n 8	72.5	2.5 6/5
Mika Godts n 8	48.4	1.9 4/2
J. Mokio n 8	31.6	1.8 3/2
J. Šutalo n 8	84.4	1.6 6/4

Ajax — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Pasveer n 8	85.5	3.7 8/6
Matheus n 8	90	1.9 4/3

Heracles

Heracles — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Žambůrek n 8	39.6	2.8 6/3	0.9 2/1	—
J. Hornkamp n 8	66.4	2.4 8/4	0.5 1/1	—
J. Wieckhoff n 8	44.3	2 4/2	0.5 2/0	—
J. Bruijn n 8	39.3	2 6/1	1.7 4/2	—
S. Scheperman n 8	89.8	1.9 7/5	0.5 4/0	—

Heracles — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Kulenović n 8	44.3	3.3 6/4	1.5 5/1
J. Hornkamp n 8	66.4	2.2 8/4	1.2 6/1
Y. Borges Sanches n 8	30.5	2.2 4/2	0.7 2/0
J. Bruijn n 8	39.3	1.4 3/1	0 0/0
T. Bruns n 8	74	1.2 6/2	0.3 2/0

Heracles — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Hornkamp n 8	66.4	0.5 3/0	0.2 1/0
J. Reine-Adélaïde n 8	61.1	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
Daniel Van Kaam n 8	23	0 0/0	0.5 1/0
T. Bruns n 8	74	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
S. Podgoreanu n 8	79.8	0 0/0	0.3 2/0

Heracles — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Žambůrek n 8	39.6	4 7/4
S. Scheperman n 8	89.8	3.8 8/7
M. Rots n 8	84.4	3.5 7/7
D. van der Kust n 8	64.6	3.1 6/4
M. Benita n 8	64.9	2.8 8/3

Heracles — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
F. de Keijzer n 8	90	4.4 8/8

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Ajax		Heracles
66%	Possession	34%
2.67	Expected goals (xG)	0.16
27	Shots	4
10	Shots on target	0
6	Shots off target	2
11	Blocked shots	2
23	Shots inside the box	3
10	Corners	1
4	Offsides	1
10	Fouls	15
0	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
0	Saves	7
647	Passes	337
90%	Pass accuracy	76%

Ajax player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
V. Jaroš	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Lucas Rosa	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
Y. Baas	90	0	0	2	1	0	3	8
O. Wijndal	90	0	0	1	1	4	2	7.3
Kenneth Taylor	90	0	0	1	1	5	3	6.7
W. Weghorst	90	1	0	4	1	3	0	8
A. Gaaei	78	0	0	0	0	1	0	7
K. Fitz-Jim	78	0	0	1	1	0	1	7.3
Raul Moro	78	0	0	1	1	2	0	7.9
O. Gloukh	64	0	0	1	1	0	1	7.7
S. Berghuis	63	1	0	2	2	4	1	9.2
D. Klaassen sub	27	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.9
O. Edvardsen sub	26	0	0	2	1	0	1	6.3
J. Šutalo sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
J. Mokio sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Y. Regeer sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6

Heracles player stats

Player	Min	Sh	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
F. de Keijzer	90	0	0	0	0	8.3
D. Mirani	90	0	0	1	Y	7.2
I. Mesík	90	0	0	2	0	7.5
D. van der Kust	90	0	0	2	0	6.3
B. Limbombe	90	0	2	0	0	6
L. Kulenović	90	1	0	2	0	6.6
J. Žambůrek	85	0	0	2	Y	7.2
S. Scheperman	85	0	0	0	0	7.3
J. Wieckhoff	74	0	1	0	0	5.9
T. van Gilst	73	0	0	0	0	6.2
T. Bruns	61	1	0	1	0	6.5
A. Hrustić sub	29	0	0	2	0	6.7
Y. Borges Sanches sub	17	0	0	1	0	6.7
M. Benita sub	16	0	0	0	0	6.5
M. te Wierik sub	10	0	0	0	0	6.3
A. Satriano sub	10	0	0	0	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Ajax v Heracles — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

AjaxLDWWD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

HeraclesLLLLL

Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.8 scored / 3.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Ajax 5 · 1 draw · Heracles 0 · 4.17 goals/game

2025-02-16 Ajax 4–0 Heracles
2024-10-20 Heracles 3–4 Ajax
2024-01-27 Heracles 2–4 Ajax
2023-08-12 Ajax 4–1 Heracles
2022-02-06 Ajax 3–0 Heracles
2021-10-30 Heracles 0–0 Ajax

League standing · 2025/26

Ajax#5 pos56 pts34 pl+21 GD

Heracles#18 pos19 pts34 pl-50 GD

Goals per game

Ajax scored1.82

Heracles scored1.03

Ajax conceded1.21

Heracles conceded2.5

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Ajax v Heracles?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Ajax v Heracles was Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Ajax and Heracles?: In their last 6 meetings, Ajax won 5, Heracles won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ajax and Heracles?: Recent form — Ajax 2W 2D 1L; Heracles 0W 0D 5L.

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