PEC Zwolle v Excelsior prediction

Eredivisie ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: PEC Zwolle · Excelsior · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for PEC Zwolle v Excelsior, Eredivisie on Sun, 13 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

PEC Zwolle host Excelsior in the Eredivisie on Sunday 13 December (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

12 of Excelsior’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Excelsior are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of PEC Zwolle’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of PEC Zwolle’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, PEC Zwolle have two wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 2.25. PEC Zwolle have scored 10 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). PEC Zwolle have conceded 22 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Both teams scored in 11 of Excelsior’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Excelsior have three wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 2.13 and conceding 1.88. Excelsior have scored 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Excelsior have conceded 18 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

PEC Zwolle (15th) and Excelsior (10th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Excelsior the stronger side, 22 rating points above PEC Zwolle (Excelsior 1491, PEC Zwolle 1469, after at least 189 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished PEC Zwolle 2–2 Excelsior.

Team news

Predicted PEC Zwolle XI (4-2-3-1): J. Schendelaar, N. Viergever, S. Graves, O. Aertssen, S. Floranus, T. Sommer, D. Mbayo, T. Oosting, R. Thomas, I. Cissoko, K. Kostons — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ryan Thomas (5.3 per match over seven appearances) and Dylan Mbayo (4.0 per match over nine appearances, four assists) have been PEC Zwolle’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for PEC Zwolle (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ryan Thomas averages 0.4 key passes per 90 over 685 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances. Dylan Mbayo averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 684 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Excelsior XI (4-3-3): S. van Gassel, C. Widell, J. Plug, S. Janssen, R. Meissen, I. Yegoian, L. Hartjes, D. van Vianen, D. Garden, A. Sliti, Á. Þorsteinsson — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Irakli Yegoian (7.1 per match over nine appearances, three goals and five assists) and Casper Widell (3.6 per match over nine appearances, one goal) have been Excelsior’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Excelsior (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Irakli Yegoian averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 857 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Casper Widell averages 0.7 tackles per 90 over 736 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Eredivisie
  • Head-to-head (last 6): PEC Zwolle 3 · draws 1 · Excelsior 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: PEC Zwolle 1W 1D 3L · Excelsior 0W 2D 3L

PEC Zwolle v Excelsior (Eredivisie): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1.5
Goals
against 2.5 / 2.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 3.25
Corners
against 6.88 / 5.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 3.38
Shots on target
against 7 / 5.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1.5
Cards
against 0.88 / 0.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gamePEC Zwolle for / againstLineExcelsior for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 2.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 6.88 against n 8
9.5standard
3.25 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
12.5 for · 18.5 against n 8
19.5standard
10.25 for · 16.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 7 against n 8
8.5standard
3.38 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.25 for · 9.88 against n 8
21.5standard
11.63 for · 7.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 0.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 0.88 against n 8
PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Fichtinger n 846.4
2.45/2
0.21/0
—
T. Oosting n 866
26/5
1.25/1
—
G. Reiziger n 830.9
1.85/0
0.72/0
—
S. van Hooijdonk n 834.6
1.64/1
1.64/1
—
R. Thomas n 881.1
1.56/1
1.46/3
—
PEC Zwolle — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Gilles van der Wal n 334
4.42/1
0.91/0
K. Kostons n 872.1
2.37/4
1.67/2
S. van Hooijdonk n 834.6
2.33/1
0.31/0
I. Cissoko n 836.8
2.13/3
0.62/0
T. Oosting n 866
1.75/2
1.25/1
PEC Zwolle — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Mbayo n 877.9
00/0
0.63/1
K. Kostons n 872.1
0.64/0
00/0
I. Cissoko n 836.8
0.31/0
0.31/0
T. Oosting n 866
0.31/1
0.21/0
G. Reiziger n 830.9
0.41/0
00/0
PEC Zwolle — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Fichtinger n 846.4
4.46/6
R. Thomas n 881.1
3.57/6
Gilles van der Wal n 334
3.52/1
O. Aertssen n 887.4
2.47/6
S. Floranus n 875.4
2.47/4
PEC Zwolle — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Schendelaar n 890
4.47/7
Excelsior
Excelsior — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Groen n 620.2
4.55/1
00/0
—
V. Sulzbacher n 831.4
3.26/3
1.13/0
—
Alireza Jahanbakhsh n 818.4
3.14/1
00/0
—
Giulliano Cairo n 39.7
3.11/0
00/0
—
N. Naujoks n 875
1.78/2
0.94/2
—
Excelsior — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Mario Domínguez n 816.6
4.13/2
0.71/0
N. Groen n 620.2
33/1
1.52/0
Alireza Jahanbakhsh n 818.4
2.44/0
0.61/0
N. Naujoks n 875
25/4
0.94/2
A. Sliti n 862.4
25/4
0.93/2
Excelsior — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
V. Sulzbacher n 831.4
0.41/0
0.41/0
A. Sliti n 862.4
0.53/0
0.21/0
N. Groen n 620.2
0.71/0
00/0
Irakli Yegoian n 864
0.21/0
0.42/0
N. Naujoks n 875
0.63/1
00/0
Excelsior — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Giulliano Cairo n 39.7
9.32/1
D. van Vianen n 761.9
3.15/2
K. Bos n 848.5
2.66/3
J. Plug n 890
2.58/7
V. Sulzbacher n 831.4
2.55/2
Excelsior — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. van Gassel n 890
3.66/5

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind PEC Zwolle v Excelsior — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PEC ZwolleDLLLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
ExcelsiorDLDLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.2 scored / 3 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
PEC Zwolle 3 · 1 draw · Excelsior 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-04-12 PEC Zwolle 2–2 Excelsior
  • 2025-12-20 Excelsior 2–1 PEC Zwolle
  • 2024-04-06 PEC Zwolle 2–1 Excelsior
  • 2023-10-22 Excelsior 2–4 PEC Zwolle
  • 2020-12-15 Excelsior 2–0 PEC Zwolle
  • 2019-03-17 Excelsior 0–2 PEC Zwolle
League standing · 2026/27
PEC Zwolle#15 pos7 pts9 pl-12 GD
Excelsior#10 pos11 pts9 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
PEC Zwolle scored1.11
Excelsior scored1.78
PEC Zwolle conceded2.44
Excelsior conceded2

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between PEC Zwolle and Excelsior?
In their last 6 meetings, PEC Zwolle won 3, Excelsior won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of PEC Zwolle and Excelsior?
Recent form — PEC Zwolle 1W 1D 3L; Excelsior 0W 2D 3L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →