PSV Eindhoven v Feyenoord prediction

Eredivisie · · Philips Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for PSV Eindhoven v Feyenoord, Eredivisie on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 13:30 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 634 landed (95% range 62.2–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 419 of 637 times (65.8%), against an average rating of 68.5%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

PSV Eindhoven host Feyenoord in the Eredivisie on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 13:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Feyenoord have scored 31 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Feyenoord have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Feyenoord have won their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of PSV Eindhoven’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 12 of PSV Eindhoven’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%). At home, PSV Eindhoven have four wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.33 points per game, scoring 3.17 and conceding 1.00. PSV Eindhoven have scored 27 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). PSV Eindhoven have conceded 12 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

11 of Feyenoord’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Feyenoord’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Feyenoord have seven wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 2.63 points per game, scoring 3.13 and conceding 1.50. Feyenoord have conceded 10 goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

PSV Eindhoven (third) and Feyenoord (first) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Feyenoord the stronger side, 40 rating points above PSV Eindhoven (Feyenoord 1936, PSV Eindhoven 1897, after at least 307 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

PSV Eindhoven are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Feyenoord, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 1 February 2026, finished PSV Eindhoven 3–0 Feyenoord.

Team news

Predicted PSV Eindhoven XI (4-3-3): M. Kovář, S. Dest, A. Obispo, M. Júnior, R. Flamingo, K. Sano, G. Til, R. van Bommel, R. Pepi, S. Mijnans, A. Bouhamdi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Sergiño Dest (5.0 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and two assists) and Mauro Júnior (4.4 per match over 11 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been PSV Eindhoven’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for PSV Eindhoven (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Sergiño Dest averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 1512 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. Mauro Júnior averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 1050 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Feyenoord XI (4-3-3): T. Ernst, M. Màrmol, G. Read, T. Watanabe, J. St. Juste, G. Zechiël, C. Vanhoutte, O. Targhalline, A. Hadj-Moussa, N. Ferri, L. Valente — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Anis Hadj-Moussa (6.8 per match over 10 appearances, six goals and one assist) and Gjivai Zechiël (5.8 per match over 11 appearances, six goals and four assists) have been Feyenoord’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Feyenoord (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Anis Hadj-Moussa averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 1013 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Gjivai Zechiël averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 987 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Eredivisie · Philips Stadion
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): PSV Eindhoven 5 · draws 1 · Feyenoord 0 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: PSV Eindhoven 2W 0D 3L · Feyenoord 5W 0D 0L

PSV Eindhoven v Feyenoord (Eredivisie): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 3.38
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.75
over 8 matches
4.88 / 5.63
Corners
against 4 / 3.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 8
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 1.5
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePSV Eindhoven for / againstLineFeyenoord for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.75our book
3.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
5.63 for · 3.75 against n 8
Shots
15.25 for · 14.38 against n 8
19.5standard
18.25 for · 12.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
8 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.75 for · 10.5 against n 8
21.5standard
11 for · 13.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Man n 844
2.86/5
0.52/0
—
A. Obispo n 877.4
2.66/6
0.64/0
—
Ruben van Bommel n 854.3
2.55/3
0.42/0
—
S. Mijnans n 863.8
1.87/3
1.26/1
—
A. Bouhamdi n 728.6
1.33/0
0.51/0
—
PSV Eindhoven — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Mikkel Bro Hansen n 815.1
4.54/1
33/1
S. Mijnans n 863.8
3.56/6
1.45/2
D. Man n 844
3.17/3
14/0
R. Pepi n 864.8
2.86/5
1.25/2
A. Bouhamdi n 728.6
2.73/2
0.51/0
PSV Eindhoven — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Til n 860
0.83/1
0.42/0
S. Mijnans n 863.8
0.72/1
0.42/0
A. Bouhamdi n 728.6
00/0
0.91/1
E. Bajraktarevic n 861.4
00/0
0.72/2
Mikkel Bro Hansen n 815.1
0.71/0
00/0
PSV Eindhoven — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Bouhamdi n 728.6
3.65/2
P. Wanner n 856.5
35/5
Mauro Júnior n 867.8
2.76/4
N. Fernandez n 853.3
2.55/4
Filip Kostić n 859.8
2.46/4
PSV Eindhoven — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Kovář n 890
3.16/4
Feyenoord
Feyenoord — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. van den Elshout n 824.3
3.23/2
1.43/0
—
Gonçalo Borges n 835.9
2.24/2
00/0
—
C. Vanhoutte n 867.4
26/3
1.36/2
—
A. Ueda n 856.6
1.63/2
1.23/3
—
M. Deijl n 856.4
1.64/2
1.44/3
—
Feyenoord — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Steijn n 828.4
5.96/3
4.46/3
T. van den Elshout n 824.3
4.24/3
0.92/0
G. Diarra n 848.4
3.77/6
1.95/3
Nacho Ferri n 864.4
3.36/4
1.95/3
J. Zinhagel n 319
3.22/0
1.61/0
Feyenoord — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Steijn n 828.4
1.22/1
0.41/0
J. Zinhagel n 319
1.61/0
00/0
A. Ueda n 856.6
1.25/1
0.21/0
Nacho Ferri n 864.4
0.94/1
0.21/0
G. Diarra n 848.4
0.52/0
0.52/0
Feyenoord — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Read n 886.9
38/6
O. Targhalline n 871
2.97/6
Gonçalo Borges n 835.9
2.85/3
C. Vanhoutte n 867.4
2.76/5
Mika Màrmol n 886.4
2.58/5
Feyenoord — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Ernst n 890
2.65/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind PSV Eindhoven v Feyenoord — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PSV EindhovenLWLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
FeyenoordWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 4.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
PSV Eindhoven 5 · 1 draw · Feyenoord 0 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2026-02-01 PSV Eindhoven 3–0 Feyenoord
  • 2025-10-26 Feyenoord 2–3 PSV Eindhoven
  • 2025-05-11 Feyenoord 2–3 PSV Eindhoven
  • 2025-02-05 PSV Eindhoven 2–0 Feyenoord
  • 2024-12-22 PSV Eindhoven 3–0 Feyenoord
  • 2024-03-03 PSV Eindhoven 2–2 Feyenoord
League standing · 2026/27
PSV Eindhoven#3 pos19 pts9 pl+15 GD
Feyenoord#1 pos23 pts9 pl+21 GD
Goals per game
PSV Eindhoven scored3
Feyenoord scored3.44
PSV Eindhoven conceded1.33
Feyenoord conceded1.11

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win PSV Eindhoven v Feyenoord?
TACTIX’s free model pick for PSV Eindhoven v Feyenoord is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between PSV Eindhoven and Feyenoord?
In their last 6 meetings, PSV Eindhoven won 5, Feyenoord won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of PSV Eindhoven and Feyenoord?
Recent form — PSV Eindhoven 2W 0D 3L; Feyenoord 5W 0D 0L.

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