Celtic v Dunfermline result
Team pages: Celtic · Dunfermline
The model’s pre-match pick
Celtic 3–1 Dunfermline — Celtic won this FA Cup – Scotland match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.
The result
Celtic beat Dunfermline 3–1 at Hampden Park in FA Cup – Scotland on Saturday 23 May. Celtic have won their last nine matches in all competitions. Dunfermline are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.
The goals
Celtic led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Celtic: Daizen Maeda (19’, assisted by Alistair Johnston), Arne Engels (36’, assisted by Callum McGregor) and K. Ịheanachọ (73’, assisted by B. Nygren); Dunfermline: J. Cooper (80’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Daizen Maeda’s goal on 19 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Celtic 0.00, Dunfermline 0.00, from 0 shots to 0 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
Steven McLean, Scotland showed two yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Celtic: Auston Trusty (53’); Dunfermline: C. Gilmour (40’).
What it changes
Celtic have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 52.3% of the time in the last 90 days (92 of 176).
Next up
Celtic next host Celta Vigo on 22 October 2026.
Dunfermline next host Partick on 20 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Celtic: Celtic v Celta Vigo, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for Dunfermline: Dunfermline v Partick, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Celtic 3–1 Dunfermline · FA Cup – Scotland
- Venue: Hampden Park · Glasgow
- Referee: Steven McLean, Scotland
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 1): Celtic 1 · draws 0 · Dunfermline 0 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Celtic 5W 0D 0L · Dunfermline 1W 3D 1L
Celtic 3–1 Dunfermline (FA Cup – Scotland): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match statistics & details
| Celtic | Dunfermline | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% | Possession | 30% |
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 0 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 2 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 0 | Offsides | 0 |
| 8 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Celtic v Dunfermline — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2019-08-17 Celtic 2–1 Dunfermline
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Celtic v Dunfermline?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Celtic v Dunfermline was Under 2.5 goals.
- What is the head-to-head record between Celtic and Dunfermline?
- In their last 1 meetings, Celtic won 1, Dunfermline won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Celtic and Dunfermline?
- Recent form — Celtic 5W 0D 0L; Dunfermline 1W 3D 1L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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