Celtic v Celta Vigo prediction
Team pages: Celtic · Celta Vigo
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Celtic v Celta Vigo, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.
The match
Celtic host Celta Vigo in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 22 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Celtic or Celta Vigo (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
Form and the table
11 of Celtic’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in seven of Celtic’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Celtic have five wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 2.43 and conceding 0.86.
Five of Celta Vigo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in seven of Celta Vigo’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Celta Vigo have one win, five draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 0.43 and conceding 0.43.
Celtic (33rd) and Celta Vigo (28th) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Celta Vigo the stronger side, 60 rating points above Celtic (Celta Vigo 1643, Celtic 1583, after at least 16 rated matches each).
Team news
Predicted Celtic XI (4-4-2): V. Sinisalo, K. Tierney, C. Donovan, C. Carter-Vickers, A. Trusty, C. McGregor, M. Baur, O. Sørensen, L. Scales, K. Høgh, C. Duran — derived from the last 2 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, C. Duran (5.3 per match over 13 appearances, eight goals and five assists) and Yang Hyun-Jun (5.3 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Celtic’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Celtic (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), C. Duran averages 3.6 shots per 90 over 976 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. Yang Hyun-Jun averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 634 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Celta Vigo XI (4-4-2): I. Radu, M. Alonso, J. Rodríguez, C. Starfelt, Y. Lago, S. Carreira, A. Febas, I. Moriba, M. Román, F. Jutglà, W. Swedberg — derived from the last 2 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Carl Starfelt (3.6 per match over four appearances, one goal) and Ionuț Radu (3.5 per match over 11 appearances) have been Celta Vigo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Celta Vigo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Carl Starfelt averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 528 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last nine appearances. Ionuț Radu averages 3.3 saves per 90 over 1170 minutes, with two or more saves in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · UEFA Europa League · Celtic Park
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Celtic 2W 0D 3L · Celta Vigo 2W 1D 2L
Celtic v Celta Vigo (UEFA Europa League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Celtic for / against | Line | Celta Vigo for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 1.25 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 8 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.25 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.38 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.75 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6.88 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.63 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.75 for · 9 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.13 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Celtic
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Baur n 8 | 63.4 | 1.8 | 0.7 | — |
| Yang Hyun-Jun n 8 | 66.9 | 1.7 | 1.5 | — |
| Colby Donovan n 8 | 86.8 | 1.6 | 0.3 | — |
| L. McCowan n 8 | 28.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | — |
| C. Duran n 8 | 60.8 | 1.3 | 2.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shumaira Mheuka n 8 | 8.9 | 7.6 | 6.3 |
| C. Osmand n 7 | 27.6 | 4.7 | 2.8 |
| J. Forrest n 8 | 24.8 | 4.1 | 2.3 |
| C. Duran n 8 | 60.8 | 3.3 | 1.9 |
| Kasper Høgh n 8 | 28.4 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Osmand n 7 | 27.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| C. Duran n 8 | 60.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| B. Nygren n 8 | 51.8 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Kasper Høgh n 8 | 28.4 | 0 | 0.8 |
| K. Tierney n 8 | 67.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Colby Donovan n 8 | 86.8 | 3.4 |
| M. Baur n 8 | 63.4 | 3.4 |
| Yang Hyun-Jun n 8 | 66.9 | 3 |
| S. Tounekti n 8 | 35.9 | 1.9 |
| C. McGregor n 8 | 86.3 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| V. Sinisalo n 8 | 90 | 3 |
| S. Johnstone n 8 | 90 | 2.9 |
Celta Vigo
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Swedberg n 8 | 33.4 | 3.7 | 1.3 | — |
| H. Burcio n 8 | 38.8 | 2.3 | 1.2 | — |
| Javi Rueda n 8 | 63 | 2 | 1.1 | — |
| Yoel Lago n 8 | 84.4 | 1.9 | 1.6 | — |
| Ferran Jutglà n 8 | 65.1 | 1.9 | 2.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo González n 8 | 45 | 2.5 | 1 |
| C. Driouech n 8 | 31.9 | 2.5 | 0.4 |
| Ferran Jutglà n 8 | 65.1 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| Pablo Durán n 8 | 49.3 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Iago Aspas n 8 | 32.5 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo González n 8 | 45 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Hugo Álvarez n 8 | 60.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Iago Aspas n 8 | 32.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Pablo Durán n 8 | 49.3 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Miguel Román n 8 | 83.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| I. Moriba n 8 | 76.8 | 2.9 |
| H. Burcio n 8 | 38.8 | 2.6 |
| Andrés Antañón n 7 | 46.4 | 2.5 |
| W. Swedberg n 8 | 33.4 | 2.4 |
| Marcos Alonso n 8 | 75.5 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| I. Radu n 8 | 90 | 3.5 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Celtic v Celta Vigo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Celtic v Celta Vigo?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Celtic v Celta Vigo is Home or Away (best price 1.30 at Bet365).
- What is the recent form of Celtic and Celta Vigo?
- Recent form — Celtic 2W 0D 3L; Celta Vigo 2W 1D 2L.
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