Barrow v Gloucester City prediction

FA Cup ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Barrow v Gloucester City, FA Cup on Sat, 17 Oct 2026 15:00 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4285 landed (95% range 75.9–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Barrow host Gloucester City in the FA Cup on Saturday 17 October (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Barrow or Gloucester City (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Barrow have won their last five matches. Barrow have scored in five consecutive matches.

Gloucester City have scored in seven consecutive matches.

Form and the table

11 of Barrow’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Barrow’s last 15 results (60%). At home, Barrow have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.00.

Gloucester City are unbeaten in their last four matches. Seven of Gloucester City’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Gloucester City’s last 15 results (47%). Away from home, Gloucester City have six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 8 away matches — 2.38 points per game, scoring 2.25 and conceding 0.75.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Gloucester City the stronger side, 140 rating points above Barrow (Gloucester City 1920, Barrow 1779, after at least 12 rated matches each).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · FA Cup
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Barrow 5W 0D 0L · Gloucester City 3W 1D 1L

TACTIX runs Barrow v Gloucester City (FA Cup) through its calibrated model across 182 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 13 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

182
Markets analysed

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Barrow v Gloucester City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BarrowWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Gloucester CityLDWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Goals per game
Barrow scored2.4
Gloucester City scored2
Barrow conceded0.8
Gloucester City conceded0.8

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Barrow v Gloucester City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Barrow v Gloucester City is Home or Away.
What is the recent form of Barrow and Gloucester City?
Recent form — Barrow 5W 0D 0L; Gloucester City 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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