Calibrated track record

FA Cup Predictions

Name: FA Cup prediction track record
Creator: TACTIX

The FA Cup is between seasons — free TACTIX picks for every fixture resume around August. Until then, here’s how accurately the model has called the FA Cup — calibration, not an inflated accuracy headline, losers included.

±0.1%Mean calibration error

FA Cup Track Record by Market

Calibration error and flat-stake ROI on the model’s top pick, losers included. Lower calibration error = more honest probabilities. The complete, filterable record is on the scoreboard.

The full per-market record is on the live scoreboard.

FA Cup predictions: the calibrated track record, losers included

Responsible Gambling

Predictions are probabilities, not certainties, and no model reliably beats the bookmakers’ margin. 18+. Please gamble responsibly — see our responsible-gambling policy.

In Season Now

Coupe de France Friendlies UEFA Nations League Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Copa del Rey League One Segunda División League Two

Be Ready for Kick-Off

Free picks for every FA Cup fixture the moment the season starts — with the full win probability, xG and value on Pro.

Create free account The live record How accurate is TACTIX?

Frequently Asked Questions

When do FA Cup predictions resume?: TACTIX posts a free model pick for every FA Cup fixture once the season is underway (around August). Between seasons this page shows the calibrated track record instead.
How accurate were TACTIX’s FA Cup predictions?: About ±0.1% mean calibration error — when the model says 60%, it happens close to 60% of the time. Losing predictions are included.