Harrogate Town v Bury prediction

FA Cup ·

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Harrogate Town v Bury, FA Cup on Tue, 20 Oct 2026 19:45 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Harrogate Town host Bury in the FA Cup on Tuesday 20 October (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Harrogate Town or Bury (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Harrogate Town have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Harrogate Town are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Bury are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Harrogate Town’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of Harrogate Town’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Harrogate Town have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.63 and conceding 1.38.

Eight of Bury’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Bury’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Bury have five wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 2.13 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.00.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bury the stronger side, 40 rating points above Harrogate Town (Bury 1770, Harrogate Town 1730, after at least 16 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 17 October 2026, finished Bury 1–1 Harrogate Town.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · FA Cup
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Harrogate Town 0 · draws 1 · Bury 0 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Harrogate Town 4W 1D 0L · Bury 3W 1D 1L

Harrogate Town v Bury (FA Cup): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

182
Markets analysed

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Harrogate Town v Bury — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Harrogate TownWWWWD
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
BuryLWWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 3.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Harrogate Town 0 · 1 draw · Bury 0 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-10-17 Bury 1–1 Harrogate Town
Goals per game
Harrogate Town scored2
Bury scored3.2
Harrogate Town conceded0.4
Bury conceded1

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Harrogate Town v Bury?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Harrogate Town v Bury is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Harrogate Town and Bury?
In their last 1 meetings, Harrogate Town won 0, Bury won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Harrogate Town and Bury?
Recent form — Harrogate Town 4W 1D 0L; Bury 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s boards

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