Worcester City v Chorley prediction

FA Cup ·

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Worcester City v Chorley, FA Cup on Tue, 20 Oct 2026 19:45 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Worcester City host Chorley in the FA Cup on Tuesday 20 October (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Worcester City or Chorley (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Worcester City have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. Chorley have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Worcester City are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Chorley are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Worcester City’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of Worcester City’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Worcester City have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 0.75.

Seven of Chorley’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Chorley’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Chorley have four wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 10 away matches in all competitions — 1.40 points per game, scoring 1.30 and conceding 1.10.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Chorley the stronger side, 41 rating points above Worcester City (Chorley 1826, Worcester City 1784, after at least 21 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 17 October 2026, finished Chorley 1–1 Worcester City.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · FA Cup
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Worcester City 0 · draws 1 · Chorley 0 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Worcester City 3W 2D 0L · Chorley 3W 1D 1L

Worcester City v Chorley (FA Cup): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

182
Markets analysed

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Worcester City v Chorley — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Worcester CityDWWWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
ChorleyWLWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Worcester City 0 · 1 draw · Chorley 0 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-10-17 Chorley 1–1 Worcester City
Goals per game
Worcester City scored1.6
Chorley scored1.6
Worcester City conceded0.8
Chorley conceded1.2

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Worcester City v Chorley?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Worcester City v Chorley is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Worcester City and Chorley?
In their last 1 meetings, Worcester City won 0, Chorley won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Worcester City and Chorley?
Recent form — Worcester City 3W 2D 0L; Chorley 3W 1D 1L.

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