Tottenham Hotspur W v Arsenal W prediction

FA WSL · · Brisbane Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Tottenham Hotspur W · Arsenal W · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Tottenham Hotspur W v Arsenal W, FA WSL on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 12:45 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 645 landed (95% range 61.8–69.1%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Tottenham Hotspur W host Arsenal W in the FA WSL on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 12:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Tottenham Hotspur W have scored in seven consecutive matches.

Arsenal W are winless in their last four matches.

Arsenal W are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Tottenham Hotspur W.

Form and the table

11 of Tottenham Hotspur W’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Tottenham Hotspur W’s last 15 results (67%). At home, Tottenham Hotspur W have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.71. Tottenham Hotspur W have scored 16 goals, the most (shared) of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far). Tottenham Hotspur W have conceded eight goals, the seventh-most of the 14 clubs.

Seven of Arsenal W’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Arsenal W’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Arsenal W have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.50. Arsenal W have scored five goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far). Arsenal W have conceded seven goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 14 clubs.

Tottenham Hotspur W (fourth) and Arsenal W (eighth) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Arsenal W the stronger side, 163 rating points above Tottenham Hotspur W (Arsenal W 1800, Tottenham Hotspur W 1638, after at least 151 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 28 March 2026, finished Arsenal W 5–2 Tottenham Hotspur W.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, O. Holdt (7.3 per match over four appearances, three goals) and Victoria Pelova (7.2 per match over four appearances, five goals and one assist) have been Tottenham Hotspur W’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Tottenham Hotspur W (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Victoria Pelova averages 2.9 key passes per 90 over 276 minutes.

By TACTIX Impact, L. Baum (4.5 per match over five appearances, one goal) and Alessia Russo (4.4 per match over five appearances, one goal) have been Arsenal W’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Arsenal W (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), L. Baum averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 361 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last five appearances. Alessia Russo averages 3.6 shots per 90 over 445 minutes, with a shot in five of the last five appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · FA WSL · Brisbane Road
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Tottenham Hotspur W 1 · draws 1 · Arsenal W 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Tottenham Hotspur W 3W 1D 1L · Arsenal W 1W 2D 2L

As of 17 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Tottenham Hotspur W v Arsenal W across 246 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →

Key stats

2.5 / 1
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
8 / 9.57
Corners
against 3 / 1.57 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 5 matches
6.8 / 5.57
Shots on target
against 4.4 / 3.14 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 5 matches
1.4 / 0.57
Cards
against 1.2 / 1 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameTottenham Hotspur W for / againstLineArsenal W for / against
Goals scored
2.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
8 for · 3 against n 5
9.5standard
9.57 for · 1.57 against n 7
Shots
25.4 for · 11.8 against n 5
19.5standard
20.43 for · 6.57 against n 7
Shots on target
6.8 for · 4.4 against n 5
8.5standard
5.57 for · 3.14 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.4 for · 7.2 against n 5
21.5standard
8.29 for · 9.43 against n 7
Cards shown
1.4 for · 1.2 against n 5
3.5standard
0.57 for · 1 against n 7
Tottenham Hotspur W
Tottenham Hotspur W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Nildén n 412.5
3.61/1
00/0
—
Lenna Gunning-Williams n 522
2.52/1
2.52/1
—
M. Hamano n 856.6
2.46/4
0.61/1
—
J. Blakstad n 880.5
1.77/3
1.15/2
—
A. Nildén n 585.4
1.54/1
0.21/0
—
Tottenham Hotspur W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Martinez n 857
3.66/4
1.44/2
K. Hanson n 777.9
3.56/5
1.23/3
O. Holdt n 869.4
3.16/5
1.35/2
C. Tandberg n 875.5
2.76/5
0.74/1
Signe Gaupset n 887.6
2.68/6
0.32/0
Tottenham Hotspur W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Ahtinen n 614.5
00/0
2.12/0
Victoria Pelova n 862.4
0.93/2
0.42/0
S. Martinez n 857
0.63/0
0.41/1
M. Hamano n 856.6
0.63/0
0.21/0
O. Holdt n 869.4
0.62/1
00/0
Tottenham Hotspur W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Nildén n 412.5
3.62/0
M. Hamano n 856.6
2.85/4
E. Summanen n 843.6
2.65/3
O. Ahtinen n 614.5
2.12/0
T. Koga n 789.4
1.95/3
Arsenal W
Arsenal W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Georgia Stanway n 880.6
1.74/3
1.35/3
—
G. Reuteler n 426.3
1.72/0
0.91/0
—
Alessia Russo n 885
1.66/3
2.38/6
—
Caitlin Foord n 834.6
1.63/1
0.62/0
—
L. Baum n 572.2
13/1
1.25/0
—
Arsenal W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Cerci n 312.3
7.32/1
7.32/1
G. Reuteler n 426.3
4.34/1
1.72/0
Alessia Russo n 885
3.48/7
1.25/3
L. Baum n 572.2
3.25/4
1.75/2
Stina Blackstenius n 846.3
3.25/3
1.24/1
Arsenal W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Smilla Holmberg n 837
0.92/1
0.62/0
C. Kelly n 842
1.12/1
00/0
G. Reuteler n 426.3
0.91/0
00/0
Frida Maanum n 839.6
0.31/0
0.61/1
Stina Blackstenius n 846.3
0.72/1
00/0
Arsenal W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Reuteler n 426.3
3.42/2
Caitlin Foord n 834.6
2.65/2
Kim Little n 868.9
2.55/2
Élisa de Almeida n 873.6
27/3
L. Baum n 572.2
24/3
Arsenal W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Anneke Borbe n 790.7
22/2
Misa Rodriguez n 390
11/0

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Tottenham Hotspur W v Arsenal W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Tottenham Hotspur WWDWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 3.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Arsenal WWLDLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Tottenham Hotspur W 1 · 1 draw · Arsenal W 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-03-28 Arsenal W 5–2 Tottenham Hotspur W
  • 2025-11-16 Tottenham Hotspur W 0–0 Arsenal W
  • 2025-02-16 Arsenal W 5–0 Tottenham Hotspur W
  • 2024-11-16 Tottenham Hotspur W 0–3 Arsenal W
  • 2024-03-03 Arsenal W 1–0 Tottenham Hotspur W
  • 2023-12-16 Tottenham Hotspur W 1–0 Arsenal W
League standing · 2026/27
Tottenham Hotspur W#4 pos10 pts5 pl+8 GD
Arsenal W#8 pos6 pts6 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Tottenham Hotspur W scored3.2
Arsenal W scored0.83
Tottenham Hotspur W conceded1.6
Arsenal W conceded1.17

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value vs the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Tottenham Hotspur W v Arsenal W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Tottenham Hotspur W v Arsenal W is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Tottenham Hotspur W and Arsenal W?
In their last 6 meetings, Tottenham Hotspur W won 1, Arsenal W won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Tottenham Hotspur W and Arsenal W?
Recent form — Tottenham Hotspur W 3W 1D 1L; Arsenal W 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value vs the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →