Free model picks
FA WSL predictions: free model picks, graded
7 FA WSL fixtures kick off in the next 10 days, starting with Tottenham Hotspur W v Arsenal W (Sat, 24 Oct 2026 12:45 BST). 7 of them carry a free TACTIX model pick, shown with the best bookmaker price. Manchester City W lead the table on 18 points after 6 games, 2 points clear of Chelsea W.
A free TACTIX model pick for every upcoming FA WSL fixture, with the best bookmaker price. Our model is calibrated to ±0.5% across 8M+ settled predictions — the full win probability, xG and value across 30+ markets are part of Pro.
Updated · picks refresh daily · live track record
Key facts
As of 19 October 2026: After six games Manchester City W top the FA WSL with 18 points, Chelsea W next at 16 (this season so far).
As of 19 October 2026: K. Shaw leads the FA WSL scorers with seven goals, two goals ahead of Victoria Pelova — this season so far.
As of 19 October 2026: Across 42 matches (this season so far), the FA WSL has produced 3.26 goals per game.
This round at a glance
- Strongest favourite among the free picks: Crystal Palace W v Chelsea W (Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:00 GMT) — the free pick is Chelsea W to win.
- Closest call: Liverpool W v London City Lionesses W (Sun, 25 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT) — the smallest gap of the round between the two sides’ chances of winning, by the model.
- Likeliest draw: Birmingham City W v Charlton Athletic W (Sun, 25 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT) — the highest draw chance of the round, by the model.
- Most goals among the free picks: Tottenham Hotspur W v Arsenal W (Sat, 24 Oct 2026 12:45 BST) — the free pick is over 2.5 goals.
Each line ranks the model’s own probabilities for the round’s seven matches (from Sat, 24 Oct 2026 12:45 BST); the favourite and goals lines rank the free picks only. The probabilities themselves, and every market, are on each match page with Pro.
Tottenham Hotspur W have scored in their last 8 (all competitions we cover)
Chelsea W are unbeaten in their last 15 (all competitions we cover)
Charlton Athletic W are winless in their last 7 (all competitions we cover)
London City Lionesses W have scored in their last 11 (all competitions we cover)
Manchester City W have scored in their last 13 (all competitions we cover)
What the data says about FA WSL
TACTIX lists seven upcoming FA WSL fixtures in the next ten days, seven of them with a free model pick — the single strongest lean in the 62–80% probability band — shown with the best bookmaker price at build time. Across the whole estate the model runs at ±0.5% mean calibration error across an 8M+-prediction track record; the record is published live, losing predictions included, on the scoreboard and as a hash-chained pre-commitment ledger, so any pick can be checked against what was written before kick-off. In FA WSL specifically, the last 30 days of settled free picks read 12 from 21, every result kept. Expected goals, venue-adjusted team ratings and market prices feed one calibrated probability per market; a prediction is a probability, never a certainty. This page is regenerated daily (figures as of 19 Oct 2026) and every number in this paragraph is computed at build time, never typed in. Scoreboard · Ledger · How accurate is TACTIX?
This matchweek in numbers
Seven fixtures in the FA WSL fall inside the next 10 days, starting with Tottenham Hotspur W v Arsenal W (Sat, 24 Oct 2026 12:45 BST). TACTIX’s free pick is posted on 7 of the seven fixtures in the next 10 days; the remaining markets on every match are Pro. Recent record: the free FA WSL pick landed 12 of 21 over the last 30 days (every pick graded as shown).
The table so far
Manchester City W lead the FA WSL on 18 points from six games, two points clear of Chelsea W (this season so far). The FA WSL is averaging 3.26 goals a game across 42 matches, this season so far. The scoring race: K. Shaw on seven goals, Victoria Pelova on 5.
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FA WSL at a glance
Long-run averages the model fits for FA WSL — the baseline every FA WSL match starts from before team form.
FA WSL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City W | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 | Chelsea W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 3 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 | London City Lionesses W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | +11 | 15 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | Manchester United W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
| 6 | Everton W | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Liverpool W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 7 |
| 8 | Arsenal W | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | West Ham W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Aston Villa W | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 6 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace W | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 6 |
| 12 | Brighton W | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Birmingham City W | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 3 |
| 14 | Charlton Athletic W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 18 | -15 | 0 |
Current FA WSL standings — tap a club for its form, fixtures and model outlook.
Model record · last 30 days
How the free (Bronze) FA WSL pick shown on each match has settled over the last 30 days — every result, win or lose. 1-unit flat stakes at the price shown.
Season leaders
Top scorers
- K. Shaw7 G
- Victoria Pelova5 G
- L. Hemp4 G
- L. James4 G
- Alexia Putellas3 G
Top assists
- L. Hemp4 A
- D. van de Donk3 A
- J. Blakstad3 A
- K. Walsh3 A
- Kadidiatou Diani3 A
How these picks work
Each card shows the model’s free pick and the best price we can find across UK bookmakers. We surface one pick per match free; the complete forecast — calibrated win probability, expected goals and value vs the market — opens with TACTIX Pro. We lead with calibration, not an inflated accuracy headline, and the live record (losers included) is on the scoreboard. To see the probability a price implies, and its fair odds with the bookmaker’s margin removed, use the odds calculator.
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See the full forecast
Win probability, xG and value across 30+ markets for every fixture.