Kyrgyzstan v Lebanon result

Full-time · Kyrgyzstan 3–1 Lebanon

Friendlies · · Dolen Omurzakov Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Kyrgyzstan 3–1 Lebanon — Kyrgyzstan won this Friendlies match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away team goals — Away under 2 5.

Free pick
Away team goals — Away under 2 5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away team goals — Away under 2 5 in the last 90 days, 85.6% of 4612 landed (95% range 84.6–86.6%); it had given them 80.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Kyrgyzstan beat Lebanon 3–1 at Dolen Omurzakov Stadium in Friendlies on Sunday 4 October. Kyrgyzstan are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Kyrgyzstan led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Kyrgyzstan: O. Abdurakhmanov (19’) and A. Shukurov (31’, 64’); Lebanon: P. Budib (62’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Shukurov’s goal on 31 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Kyrgyzstan 0.00, Lebanon 0.00, from 0 shots to 0 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Kyrgyzstan had no shots (no on target) to Lebanon’s no (no on target). Kyrgyzstan had 0% of the ball to Lebanon’s 0%, completing 0 passes to 0.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Lebanon team goals — Away under 2 5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 85.6% of the time in the last 90 days (3950 of 4612).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Result: Kyrgyzstan 3–1 Lebanon · Friendlies
  • Venue: Dolen Omurzakov Stadium · Bishkek
  • Model coverage: 232 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Kyrgyzstan 1W 2D 2L · Lebanon 3W 1D 1L

Kyrgyzstan 3–1 Lebanon (Friendlies): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 232 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

232
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Kyrgyzstan v Lebanon — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
KyrgyzstanWDLLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
LebanonDWWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Goals per game
Kyrgyzstan scored0.6
Lebanon scored1.8
Kyrgyzstan conceded1
Lebanon conceded0.4

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Kyrgyzstan v Lebanon?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Kyrgyzstan v Lebanon was Away team goals — Away under 2 5.
What is the recent form of Kyrgyzstan and Lebanon?
Recent form — Kyrgyzstan 1W 2D 2L; Lebanon 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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