Poland v Ukraine result

Full-time · Poland 0–2 Ukraine

Friendlies · · Tarczyński Arena Wrocław

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Poland · Ukraine

The model’s pre-match pick

Poland 0–2 Ukraine — Ukraine won this Friendlies match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Next for Poland: Romania v Poland, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Ukraine: Northern Ireland v Ukraine, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Poland 0–2 Ukraine · Friendlies
  • Venue: Tarczyński Arena Wrocław · Wroclaw
  • Referee: Filip Glova, Slovakia
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Poland 2 · draws 0 · Ukraine 0 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Poland 3W 1D 1L · Ukraine 3W 0D 2L

Poland 0–2 Ukraine (Friendlies): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.63 / 4.86
Corners
against 3.5 / 4.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.63 / 4.57
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 4.43 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.63 / 2.29
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.14 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 March 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePoland for / againstLineUkraine for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5our book
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
6.63 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.86 for · 4.29 against n 7
Shots
13.75 for · 9.13 against n 8
19.5standard
11.14 for · 11.71 against n 7
Shots on target
4.63 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.57 for · 4.43 against n 7
Fouls committed
12.88 for · 12.88 against n 8
21.5standard
11.57 for · 8.57 against n 7
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.29 for · 1.14 against n 7

Referee: Filip Glova, Slovakia.

Poland
Poland — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Ziółkowski n 812.6
2.73/0
00/0
—
J. Kiwior n 873.6
2.46/5
0.84/1
—
J. Piotrowski n 848.1
1.96/2
0.93/1
Oleg Ocheretko
B. Kapustka n 868
1.85/3
0.82/2
—
B. Slisz n 893.8
1.67/3
0.85/2
—
Poland — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Piątek n 882.6
2.57/4
1.56/3
K. Świderski n 852.9
2.15/3
1.34/1
J. Kamiński n 887.5
1.85/4
1.44/3
J. Ziółkowski n 812.6
1.82/0
00/0
K. Grosicki n 832.9
1.74/1
0.72/0
Poland — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Lewandowski n 865.6
0.32/0
0.21/0
K. Piątek n 882.6
0.43/0
00/0
P. Zieliński n 861.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
K. Świderski n 852.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
K. Kozłowski n 889
0.11/0
0.11/0
Poland — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Ziółkowski n 812.6
3.62/1
S. Szymański n 850.9
2.97/3
J. Kiwior n 873.6
2.66/5
O. Pietuszewski n 856.9
2.46/3
B. Slisz n 893.8
2.38/7
Poland — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Grabara n 893.8
3.46/3
Ł. Skorupski n 890
1.96/2
B. Drągowski n 890
1.85/1
Ukraine
Ukraine — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Y. Konoplya n 854.8
1.64/2
0.41/1
—
A. Dovbyk n 828.9
1.63/1
0.81/1
—
I. Kalyuzhnyi n 872.9
1.25/3
0.84/1
—
Oleg Ocheretko n 872.8
1.26/2
0.96/0
J. Piotrowski
Yehor Nazaryna n 856.3
1.22/2
0.63/0
—
Ukraine — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Malinovskyi n 853.9
2.55/3
0.41/1
N. Voloshyn n 863
2.15/4
1.85/2
M. Shaparenko n 858.9
2.16/4
14/1
Yehor Nazaryna n 856.3
26/3
0.82/1
O. Gutsulyak n 863.5
1.86/2
1.25/1
Ukraine — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Dovbyk n 828.9
0.82/0
0.41/0
O. Gutsulyak n 863.5
0.74/0
0.42/0
N. Voloshyn n 863
0.42/0
0.42/0
R. Yaremchuk n 859.6
0.83/1
00/0
M. Shaparenko n 858.9
00/0
0.62/1
Ukraine — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Y. Yarmolyuk n 887.9
2.88/7
I. Kalyuzhnyi n 872.9
2.25/4
V. Mykolenko n 890.8
1.96/5
O. Zubkov n 869
1.86/4
Yehor Nazaryna n 856.3
1.85/3
Ukraine — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Trubin n 890.8
2.75/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Poland v Ukraine — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PolandWDWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
UkraineWWLWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Poland 2 · 0 draws · Ukraine 0 · 3 goals/game
  • 2024-06-07 Poland 3–1 Ukraine
  • 2020-11-11 Poland 2–0 Ukraine
Goals per game
Poland scored2
Ukraine scored2
Poland conceded1.4
Ukraine conceded2.2

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Poland v Ukraine?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Poland v Ukraine was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Poland and Ukraine?
In their last 2 meetings, Poland won 2, Ukraine won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Poland and Ukraine?
Recent form — Poland 3W 1D 1L; Ukraine 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s boards

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