HNK Gorica v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb prediction
Team pages: HNK Gorica · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home shots total under 15.5 the free pick for HNK Gorica v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, HNL on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 16:00 BST.
The key numbers
HNK Gorica have scored six goals, the fewest of the 10 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Form and the table
Five of HNK Gorica’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in six of HNK Gorica’s last 15 results (40%). At home, HNK Gorica have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.25. HNK Gorica have conceded 14 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 10 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Six of NK Lokomotiva Zagreb’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of NK Lokomotiva Zagreb’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have one win, three draws and five defeats in their last 9 away matches — 0.67 points per game, scoring 0.89 and conceding 1.67. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have scored 13 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 10 clubs (2026/27 so far). NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have conceded 17 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 10 clubs.
HNK Gorica (10th) and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (seventh) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have NK Lokomotiva Zagreb the stronger side, 62 rating points above HNK Gorica (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1490, HNK Gorica 1428, after at least 298 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are unbeaten in the last three meetings with HNK Gorica. The most recent meeting, on 8 August 2026, finished NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3–1 HNK Gorica.
Team news
Predicted HNK Gorica XI (4-2-3-1): R. Josipović, J. Filipović, D. Stevanović, F. Braut, I. Cvijanović, B. Bogojevic, J. Frigan, D. Pavičić, T. Lacoux, J. Pranjić, P. Mijić — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, B. Bogojevic (4.9 per match over 10 appearances, four goals) and J. Pranjić (4.5 per match over seven appearances, two goals) have been HNK Gorica’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for HNK Gorica (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), B. Bogojevic averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 834 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. J. Pranjić averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 416 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances.
Predicted NK Lokomotiva Zagreb XI (4-2-3-1): J. Posavec, T. Triantafyllou, K. Čabrajić, F. Karačić, M. Čabraja, D. Vuković, M. Subotic, I. Katić, L. Belcar, M. Vesovic, N. Đurković — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, K. Čabrajić (4.0 per match over seven appearances) and T. Triantafyllou (3.9 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and one assist) have been NK Lokomotiva Zagreb’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), K. Čabrajić averages 3.1 tackles per 90 over 611 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last seven appearances. T. Triantafyllou averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 872 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · HNL · Gradski stadion Velika Gorica
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): HNK Gorica 2 · draws 0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 4 · 3.5 goals/game
- Recent form: HNK Gorica 1W 2D 2L · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1W 1D 3L
As of 17 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers HNK Gorica v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb across 246 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | HNK Gorica for / against | Line | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.75 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.5 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4 for · 7.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 9.38 for · 16.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 10.63 for · 19.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 2.88 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 15.5 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.38 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3.25 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
HNK Gorica
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Gashi n 8 | 20.8 | 6 | 1.6 | — |
| B. Kardum n 3 | 6.7 | 4.5 | 0 | — |
| L. Vrzić n 8 | 28.1 | 2.4 | 2 | — |
| K. Čustović n 8 | 35 | 2.3 | 0.3 | — |
| T. Lacoux n 8 | 63.3 | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| B. Kardum n 3 | 6.7 | 4.5 | 0 |
| F. Brodić n 5 | 59 | 3.1 | 1.5 |
| P. Mijić n 8 | 74.5 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| B. Bogojevic n 8 | 85.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| A. Erceg n 8 | 75.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Brodić n 5 | 59 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| B. Bogojevic n 8 | 85.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| J. Pranjić n 8 | 61.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| L. Vrzić n 8 | 28.1 | 0 | 0.4 |
| D. Pavičić n 8 | 64.4 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Juraj Frigan n 8 | 67.6 | 3.2 |
| O. Bakić n 8 | 35.3 | 2.9 |
| T. Lacoux n 8 | 63.3 | 2.7 |
| J. Pranjić n 8 | 61.8 | 2.7 |
| B. Bogojevic n 8 | 85.3 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| R. Josipović n 6 | 90 | 5.2 |
| D. Matijaš n 8 | 91.3 | 3.3 |
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lovre Kulušić n 4 | 36 | 4.4 | 0.6 | — |
| Dominik Thaqi n 8 | 36.9 | 3.1 | 0.3 | — |
| P. Smiljanic n 8 | 33.4 | 3 | 1 | — |
| I. Katić n 8 | 63.1 | 2.7 | 0.9 | — |
| T. Triantafyllou n 8 | 86.5 | 2.1 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lovre Kulušić n 4 | 36 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| M. Marić n 8 | 54.5 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| Dušan Vuković n 8 | 55.5 | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| P. Smiljanic n 8 | 33.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| L. Belcar n 8 | 58.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Durkovic n 4 | 32.3 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Lovre Kulušić n 4 | 36 | 0.6 | 0 |
| L. Belcar n 8 | 58.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Dušan Vuković n 8 | 55.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| M. Marić n 8 | 54.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| K. Čabrajić n 8 | 86.4 | 3.3 |
| M. Lorber n 8 | 63.1 | 3.2 |
| Feta Fetai n 8 | 43.9 | 3.1 |
| P. Smiljanic n 8 | 33.4 | 2.4 |
| L. Belcar n 8 | 58.4 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Posavec n 8 | 90 | 4.5 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind HNK Gorica v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-08-08 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3–1 HNK Gorica
- 2026-04-17 HNK Gorica 0–2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
- 2026-02-06 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3–0 HNK Gorica
- 2025-11-03 HNK Gorica 4–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
- 2025-08-16 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–3 HNK Gorica
- 2025-05-24 HNK Gorica 0–3 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win HNK Gorica v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for HNK Gorica v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb is Home shots total under 15.5.
- What is the head-to-head record between HNK Gorica and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
- In their last 6 meetings, HNK Gorica won 2, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of HNK Gorica and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
- Recent form — HNK Gorica 1W 2D 2L; NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1W 1D 3L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.