HNK Rijeka v NK Varazdin prediction

HNL · · Stadion HNK Rijeka

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for HNK Rijeka v NK Varazdin, HNL on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

HNK Rijeka host NK Varazdin in the HNL on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

HNK Rijeka have scored in five consecutive matches.

NK Varazdin have conceded seven goals, the fewest of the 10 clubs (2026/27 so far). NK Varazdin are unbeaten in their last five matches.

Form and the table

Seven of HNK Rijeka’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of HNK Rijeka’s last 15 results (53%). At home, HNK Rijeka have six wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches — 2.57 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 1.14. HNK Rijeka have scored 16 goals, the fifth-most of the 10 clubs (2026/27 so far). HNK Rijeka have conceded 12 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 10 clubs.

Six of NK Varazdin’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of NK Varazdin’s last 15 results (47%). Away from home, NK Varazdin have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.57. NK Varazdin have scored 14 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 10 clubs (2026/27 so far).

HNK Rijeka (third) and NK Varazdin (second) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have NK Varazdin the stronger side, 75 rating points above HNK Rijeka (NK Varazdin 1743, HNK Rijeka 1668, after at least 225 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 16 August 2026, finished NK Varazdin 2–0 HNK Rijeka.

Team news

Predicted HNK Rijeka XI (4-2-3-1): I. Vekič, A. Majstorović, A. Oreč, A. Husic, J. Lasickas, T. Dantas, T. Fruk, S. Vignato, I. Ćubelić, B. Pavić, D. Adu-Adjei — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Toni Fruk (4.9 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and four assists) and B. Pavic (3.9 per match over six appearances) have been HNK Rijeka’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for HNK Rijeka (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Toni Fruk averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 823 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. B. Pavic averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 473 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last six appearances.

Predicted NK Varazdin XI (4-2-3-1): J. Silic, M. Mladenovski, F. Maglica, N. Tepsic, G. Sikošek, I. Canjuga, M. Marina, A. Latkovic, I. Tavares, L. Mamić, I. Mamut — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ivan Canjuga (4.9 per match over nine appearances, three goals and two assists) and Luka Mamić (4.7 per match over five appearances, two goals) have been NK Varazdin’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for NK Varazdin (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ivan Canjuga averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 783 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances. Luka Mamić averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 448 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last five appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · HNL · Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Head-to-head (last 6): HNK Rijeka 2 · draws 0 · NK Varazdin 4 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: HNK Rijeka 3W 1D 1L · NK Varazdin 2W 3D 0L

HNK Rijeka v NK Varazdin (HNL): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across every major market — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.63 / 0.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 5.13
Corners
against 3.5 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 4
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.38
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameHNK Rijeka for / againstLineNK Varazdin for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.75 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.13 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
14.13 for · 10 against n 8
19.5standard
14.63 for · 12.38 against n 8
Shots on target
5.75 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 10.38 against n 8
21.5standard
12.25 for · 13.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 2.63 against n 8
HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Y. Kabadayı n 833.4
35/4
0.31/0
—
J. Puljić n 837
2.16/1
0.93/0
—
A. Oreč n 890
1.96/5
14/3
—
A. Barco n 853.6
1.95/2
0.83/1
—
I. Ćubelić n 855.1
1.85/3
0.83/1
—
HNK Rijeka — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Goran Grulović n 38.3
3.61/0
00/0
T. Fruk n 879.3
3.48/7
1.45/3
A. Jurič n 832.1
3.26/3
1.13/0
N. Janković n 842.9
2.14/3
0.52/0
J. Puljić n 837
2.15/1
1.22/1
HNK Rijeka — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Adu-Adjei n 864.1
0.73/1
0.52/1
T. Fruk n 879.3
0.43/0
0.42/1
S. Vignato n 874.9
0.53/0
0.21/0
Tiago Dantas n 886
0.43/0
0.11/0
Mohammad Mohebi n 842.3
0.52/0
00/0
HNK Rijeka — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Ćubelić n 855.1
3.96/4
B. Pavic n 780.9
3.27/4
Branko Pavić n 876.6
3.17/6
A. Oreč n 890
2.57/6
J. Lasickas n 883
26/4
HNK Rijeka — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. Vekič n 890
2.97/3
A. Todorović n 790.4
2.85/2
NK Varazdin
NK Varazdin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Emma Uchegbu n 621
3.62/2
2.93/1
—
M. Marina n 878.4
2.67/7
0.11/0
—
T. Duvnjak n 819.3
2.33/1
1.22/0
—
L. Posinkovic n 49.8
2.31/0
00/0
—
Aleksa Latkovic n 865.4
1.97/4
1.25/1
—
NK Varazdin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Emma Uchegbu n 621
4.34/2
2.13/0
L. Mamić n 789.6
2.67/5
1.36/2
L. Mamic n 882.6
2.57/5
1.56/2
I. Mamut n 679.7
2.46/4
1.33/3
P. Bočkaj n 830.8
2.26/0
1.54/0
NK Varazdin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Vuk n 848.1
0.21/0
0.73/0
I. Mamut n 679.7
0.41/1
0.42/0
P. Bočkaj n 830.8
0.41/0
0.41/0
S. Jurić n 828.6
0.41/0
0.41/0
I. Canjuga n 886.6
0.42/1
0.11/0
NK Varazdin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Puclin n 843.3
3.66/4
T. Duvnjak n 819.3
2.93/2
N. Tepsic n 884.3
2.76/5
M. Marina n 878.4
2.78/6
F. Maglica n 885.4
2.46/5
NK Varazdin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Silic n 890
3.68/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind HNK Rijeka v NK Varazdin — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
HNK RijekaWDWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
NK VarazdinWDDDW
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
HNK Rijeka 2 · 0 draws · NK Varazdin 4 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-08-16 NK Varazdin 2–0 HNK Rijeka
  • 2026-04-22 NK Varazdin 1–0 HNK Rijeka
  • 2026-02-14 HNK Rijeka 3–1 NK Varazdin
  • 2025-11-09 NK Varazdin 1–0 HNK Rijeka
  • 2025-08-24 HNK Rijeka 1–2 NK Varazdin
  • 2025-04-13 HNK Rijeka 1–0 NK Varazdin
League standing · 2026/27
HNK Rijeka#3 pos17 pts9 pl+4 GD
NK Varazdin#2 pos18 pts9 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
HNK Rijeka scored1.78
NK Varazdin scored1.56
HNK Rijeka conceded1.33
NK Varazdin conceded0.78

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between HNK Rijeka and NK Varazdin?
In their last 6 meetings, HNK Rijeka won 2, NK Varazdin won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of HNK Rijeka and NK Varazdin?
Recent form — HNK Rijeka 3W 1D 1L; NK Varazdin 2W 3D 0L.

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