Rudes v HNK Rijeka result

Full-time · Rudes 1–2 HNK Rijeka

HNL · Fri, 16 Oct 2026 17:00 BST · ŠRC Velika Gorica

Updated 17 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Rudes · HNK Rijeka · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Rudes 1–2 HNK Rijeka — HNK Rijeka won this HNL match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.

Free pick

Away win

Best price: 1.40 at Betano

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 84.6% of 91 landed (95% range 75.8–90.6%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

HNK Rijeka won 2–1 at ŠRC Velika Gorica in the HNL on Friday 16 October.

HNK Rijeka have scored in five consecutive matches.

The goals

HNK Rijeka led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — HNK Rijeka: Samuele Vignato (5’, assisted by Toni Fruk) and Toni Fruk (74’); Rudes: N. Skoko (90’, assisted by J. Poldrugač). V. Celjak (71’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Samuele Vignato’s goal on 5 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Rudes 0.71, HNK Rijeka 1.10, from 6 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Rudes: L. Rogić (45+2’) and K. Lovrić (89’); HNK Rijeka: Branko Pavić (36’) and Niko Janković (90+2’).

What it changes

Rudes stay ninth after this result (10 league matches played).

HNK Rijeka move up from fifth to third (nine league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Toni Fruk (HNK Rijeka) 9.8, Samuele Vignato (HNK Rijeka) 7.1 and N. Skoko (Rudes) 6.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, HNK Rijeka to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 84.6% of the time in the last 90 days (77 of 91).

Next up

Rudes next travel to NK Osijek on 24 October 2026.

HNK Rijeka next host NK Varazdin on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Rudes: NK Osijek v Rudes, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for HNK Rijeka: HNK Rijeka v NK Varazdin, Saturday 31 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Rudes 1–2 HNK Rijeka · HNL
Venue: ŠRC Velika Gorica · Velika Gorica
Referee: Antonio Skobic
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Rudes 0 · draws 0 · HNK Rijeka 6 · 3.33 goals/game
Recent form: Rudes 1W 1D 3L · HNK Rijeka 2W 2D 1L

Rudes 1–2 HNK Rijeka (HNL): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.63

Goals

against 2.88 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

3.75 / 5.75

Corners

against 6.63 / 3.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3 / 5.38

Shots on target

against 5.63 / 5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.38 / 1.88

Cards

against 1 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Rudes for / against	Line	HNK Rijeka for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.75 for · 6.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.75 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	9.75 for · 15.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.13 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.38 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.25 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.63 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.38 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Antonio Skobic.

Rudes

Rudes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Cherno Saho n 4	76.5	2.4 3/3	1.5 2/1	—
I. Đorić n 6	62.3	2.4 5/3	1 2/2	—
Lenny Ilečić n 7	43.1	2.1 6/1	0.6 2/0	—
J. Fernandes n 3	29.3	2 1/1	1 1/0	—
F. Taraba n 8	59.4	1.7 6/2	0.4 1/1	—

Rudes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Fernandes n 3	29.3	2 1/1	1 1/0
Cherno Saho n 4	76.5	1.8 4/2	0.9 2/1
Lenny Ilečić n 7	43.1	1.8 3/1	0.6 1/1
S. El Haddad n 6	34.5	1.7 2/2	0.4 1/0
L. Ilecic n 5	55	1.6 4/1	0.7 2/0

Rudes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Ilecic n 5	55	0.3 1/0	0.7 2/0
J. Fernandes n 3	29.3	1 1/0	0 0/0
S. Vukić n 3	41.7	0.7 1/0	0 0/0
S. El Haddad n 6	34.5	0.4 1/0	0 0/0
V. Seitz n 7	30.3	0 0/0	0.4 1/0

Rudes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Skoko n 8	77.6	3.6 7/7
Bruno Unušić n 8	82	3.2 8/5
F. Taraba n 8	59.4	3 6/5
V. Seitz n 7	30.3	2.5 5/1
M. Zebic n 7	77.6	2.2 6/4

Rudes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
L. Rogić n 8	90	2.9 5/3

HNK Rijeka

HNK Rijeka — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Y. Kabadayı n 8	33.4	3 5/4	0.3 1/0	—
A. Oreč n 8	90	2 6/5	1.1 4/3	—
J. Puljić n 8	40.4	2 6/1	1.4 4/1	—
A. Barco n 8	53.6	1.9 5/2	0.8 3/1	—
I. Ćubelić n 8	61	1.8 6/3	1.3 4/2	—

HNK Rijeka — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Goran Grulović n 3	8.3	3.6 1/0	0 0/0
A. Jurič n 8	32.1	3.2 6/3	1.1 3/0
T. Fruk n 8	79	2.8 7/6	1 4/2
J. Puljić n 8	40.4	2.5 5/2	1.4 3/1
N. Janković n 8	54	2.3 5/4	0.6 3/0

HNK Rijeka — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Adu-Adjei n 8	71.6	0.6 3/1	0.5 2/1
T. Fruk n 8	79	0.3 2/0	0.3 1/1
J. Puljić n 8	40.4	0.6 2/0	0 0/0
Tiago Dantas n 8	83.1	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
S. Vignato n 8	66.8	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0

HNK Rijeka — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
I. Ćubelić n 8	61	3.5 6/4
B. Pavic n 7	80.9	3.2 7/4
A. Oreč n 8	90	3 7/6
Branko Pavić n 8	77.6	2.9 7/6
J. Lasickas n 8	83.5	2.2 7/4

HNK Rijeka — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
I. Vekič n 8	90	3.2 7/4
A. Todorović n 7	90.4	2.8 5/2

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Rudes		HNK Rijeka
30%	Possession	70%
0.71	Expected goals (xG)	1.10
6	Shots	9
3	Shots on target	4
2	Shots off target	1
1	Blocked shots	4
4	Shots inside the box	5
3	Corners	4
2	Offsides	1
8	Fouls	10
2	Yellow cards	2
1	Red cards	0
2	Saves	2
311	Passes	736

Rudes player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
L. Rogić	90	0	0	0	0	0	Y	5.5
Bruno Unušić	90	0	0	0	0	4	0	6.2
M. Zebic	90	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.4
N. Skoko	90	1	1	1	0	2	0	7.4
S. Bralić	90	0	0	0	0	5	0	6.8
Felipe Curcio	84	0	1	0	0	0	0	5.7
J. Fernándes	84	0	3	1	1	0	0	6.4
V. Celjak	71	0	0	0	0	0	R	5.4
I. Đorić	67	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.1
S. El Haddad	67	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
Xavi	46	0	0	0	0	1	0	5.8
V. Seitz	44	0	0	0	0	2	0	6
K. Lovrić	23	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6.2
Lenny Ilečić	23	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.5
J. Poldrugač	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
F. Taraba	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.1

HNK Rijeka player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
I. Vekič	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
A. Oreč	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.9
A. Majstorović	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.4
A. Husic	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7.2
M. Devetak	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.7
Tiago Dantas	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	7.2
T. Fruk	89	1	1	4	3	1	0	0	8.5
S. Vignato	89	1	0	1	1	2	2	0	8.2
Branko Pavić	79	0	0	0	0	1	3	Y	7.5
J. Lasickas	63	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	6.3
J. Puljić	63	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.1
D. Adu-Adjei	27	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
I. Ćubelić	27	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.1
A. Gojak	11	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7
N. Bodetić	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
N. Janković	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Rudes v HNK Rijeka — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

RudesLLLDW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

HNK RijekaDWDWL

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Rudes 0 · 0 draws · HNK Rijeka 6 · 3.33 goals/game

2026-08-02 HNK Rijeka 2–1 Rudes
2024-03-30 Rudes 0–3 HNK Rijeka
2023-12-16 HNK Rijeka 3–0 Rudes
2023-10-01 Rudes 1–2 HNK Rijeka
2023-07-22 HNK Rijeka 4–0 Rudes
2019-04-28 HNK Rijeka 3–1 Rudes

League standing · 2026/27

Rudes#9 pos7 pts10 pl-14 GD

HNK Rijeka#3 pos17 pts9 pl+4 GD

Goals per game

Rudes scored1.3

HNK Rijeka scored1.78

Rudes conceded2.7

HNK Rijeka conceded1.33

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Rudes v HNK Rijeka?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Rudes v HNK Rijeka was Away win (best price 1.40 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Rudes and HNK Rijeka?: In their last 6 meetings, Rudes won 0, HNK Rijeka won 6 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rudes and HNK Rijeka?: Recent form — Rudes 1W 1D 3L; HNK Rijeka 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 17 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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