Cerezo Osaka v JEF United Chiba prediction
Team pages: Cerezo Osaka · JEF United Chiba
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Cerezo Osaka v JEF United Chiba, J1 League on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 06:00 GMT.
The match
Cerezo Osaka host JEF United Chiba in the J1 League on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 06:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.
The key numbers
Cerezo Osaka have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. JEF United Chiba are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Nine of Cerezo Osaka’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 11 of Cerezo Osaka’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Cerezo Osaka have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 2.57 and conceding 1.57. Cerezo Osaka have scored seven goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2027 so far). Cerezo Osaka have conceded 12 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Eight of JEF United Chiba’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of JEF United Chiba’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, JEF United Chiba have one win, one draw and five defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.57 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 2.00. JEF United Chiba have scored eight goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2027 so far). JEF United Chiba have conceded 19 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs.
Cerezo Osaka (12th) and JEF United Chiba (19th) are seven points apart, 2027 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Cerezo Osaka the stronger side, 219 rating points above JEF United Chiba (Cerezo Osaka 1588, JEF United Chiba 1369, after at least 23 rated matches each).
Team news
Predicted Cerezo Osaka XI (4-4-2): K. Nakamura, D. Cools, R. Inoue, T. Takahashi, J. Hernández, H. Okuda, S. Tanaka, S. Kagawa, L. Fernandes, P. Sabbag, Y. Komi — derived from the last 2 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered.
Predicted JEF United Chiba XI (4-4-2): J. Suarez, B. Nduka, M. Hidaka, D. Suzuki, T. Mae, T. Yasui, Dudu, T. Tsukui, N. Sugiyama, Erison, K. Yamura — derived from the last 3 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, B. Nduka (5.0 per match over three appearances, one goal) and T. Tsukui (3.5 per match over three appearances, one goal) have been JEF United Chiba’s most influential players 2027, all competitions. In numbers for JEF United Chiba (2027, all competitions, before kick-off), B. Nduka averages 0.7 tackles per 90 over 270 minutes.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · J1 League · Yodoko Sakura Stadium
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Cerezo Osaka 2W 2D 1L · JEF United Chiba 0W 3D 2L
Cerezo Osaka v JEF United Chiba (J1 League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Cerezo Osaka for / against | Line | JEF United Chiba for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.25 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.13 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.5 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.25 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.63 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.38 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.63 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.5 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Cerezo Osaka
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nelson Ishiwatari n 8 | 51.9 | 3.3 | 1.7 | — |
| Thiago Andrade n 8 | 52.8 | 2.8 | 0.6 | — |
| Pablo Sabbag n 8 | 79.6 | 2.1 | 1.7 | — |
| Solomon Sakuragawa n 8 | 37 | 1.8 | 0.9 | — |
| Dion Cools n 8 | 87 | 1.4 | 0.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pablo Sabbag n 8 | 79.6 | 4 | 2.3 |
| Solomon Sakuragawa n 8 | 37 | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| Motohiko Nakajima n 8 | 65.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Satoki Uejo n 8 | 18.5 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Yumeki Yokoyama n 8 | 59.6 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Sakuragawa n 8 | 37 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| Masaya Shibayama n 8 | 72 | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Shion Homma n 8 | 36.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Yumeki Yokoyama n 8 | 59.6 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Lucas Fernandes n 8 | 72.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Nelson Ishiwatari n 8 | 51.9 | 5.6 |
| Ayumu Ohata n 8 | 61.3 | 2.6 |
| K. Noborizato n 8 | 46 | 2 |
| Dion Cools n 8 | 87 | 1.9 |
| Shion Homma n 8 | 36.1 | 1.6 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Kosuke Nakamura n 8 | 90 | 2.8 |
JEF United Chiba
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Goya n 8 | 33.6 | 3.3 | 1.3 | — |
| T. Tsukui n 8 | 66.8 | 2.7 | 1.5 | — |
| Carlinhos Junior n 8 | 61 | 2.2 | 1.1 | — |
| Dudu n 8 | 61.4 | 2 | 1.8 | — |
| Erison n 8 | 56.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Yamura n 8 | 37.6 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| H. Goya n 8 | 33.6 | 2.3 | 1 |
| Erison n 8 | 56.4 | 2.2 | 0.4 |
| Carlinhos Junior n 8 | 61 | 2 | 1.3 |
| M. Hidaka n 8 | 89.6 | 1.3 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| H. Goya n 8 | 33.6 | 0.7 | 0 |
| N. Sugiyama n 8 | 32.5 | 0 | 0.7 |
| T. Tsukui n 8 | 66.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Carlinhos Junior n 8 | 61 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Erison n 8 | 56.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Dudu n 8 | 61.4 | 3.3 |
| Kazuki Tanaka n 8 | 37.4 | 3 |
| T. Tsukui n 8 | 66.8 | 2.4 |
| T. Taguchi n 8 | 47.8 | 2.4 |
| M. Hidaka n 8 | 89.6 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Suarez n 8 | 90 | 2.8 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Cerezo Osaka v JEF United Chiba — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Cerezo Osaka v JEF United Chiba?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Cerezo Osaka v JEF United Chiba is Over 2.5 goals.
- What is the recent form of Cerezo Osaka and JEF United Chiba?
- Recent form — Cerezo Osaka 2W 2D 1L; JEF United Chiba 0W 3D 2L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.