Fagiano Okayama v Vissel Kobe prediction

J1 League · · City Light Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Fagiano Okayama · Vissel Kobe

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Fagiano Okayama v Vissel Kobe, J1 League on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 05:55 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.36 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4315 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Fagiano Okayama host Vissel Kobe in the J1 League on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 05:55 UK); the model’s free pick is Fagiano Okayama or Vissel Kobe (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Fagiano Okayama have scored in 12 consecutive matches.

Form and the table

Seven of Fagiano Okayama’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Fagiano Okayama’s last 15 results (60%). At home, Fagiano Okayama have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.29. Fagiano Okayama have scored 12 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2027 so far). Fagiano Okayama have conceded 12 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Nine of Vissel Kobe’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Vissel Kobe’s last 15 results (47%). Away from home, Vissel Kobe have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.88. Vissel Kobe have scored 14 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs (2027 so far). Vissel Kobe have conceded nine goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Fagiano Okayama (ninth) and Vissel Kobe (fifth) are six points apart, 2027 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Fagiano Okayama the stronger side, 21 rating points above Vissel Kobe (Fagiano Okayama 1659, Vissel Kobe 1638, after at least 58 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished Vissel Kobe 0–3 Fagiano Okayama.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · J1 League · City Light Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Fagiano Okayama 1 · draws 0 · Vissel Kobe 3 · 3.25 goals/game
  • Recent form: Fagiano Okayama 3W 1D 1L · Vissel Kobe 4W 0D 1L

Fagiano Okayama v Vissel Kobe (J1 League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1.63
Goals
against 0.88 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 4.88
Corners
against 4.63 / 4.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 5
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 4.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 0.63
Cards
against 1 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFagiano Okayama for / againstLineVissel Kobe for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5our book
1.63 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
13.38 for · 12.63 against n 8
19.5standard
14.38 for · 11.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.25 for · 7.38 against n 8
21.5standard
7.25 for · 11.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 1 against n 8
3.5standard
0.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Léo Gaúcho n 828.6
2.84/3
0.41/0
—
Lucão n 845
2.56/3
0.83/0
—
Noah Kenshin Browne n 826.9
2.55/1
1.73/1
—
Werik Popó n 851.6
2.47/2
25/2
—
Kosei Ogura n 883.8
2.17/6
0.74/1
—
Fagiano Okayama — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Léo Gaúcho n 828.6
3.95/3
2.44/1
Lucão n 845
2.86/3
12/1
Werik Popó n 851.6
26/2
1.14/1
Kota Kawano n 829
1.95/0
0.82/0
Noah Kenshin Browne n 826.9
1.73/1
0.41/0
Fagiano Okayama — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Léo Gaúcho n 828.6
1.63/1
00/0
Lucão n 845
0.31/0
0.52/0
Werik Popó n 851.6
0.21/0
0.42/0
Kosuke Shirai n 876.9
0.32/0
0.32/0
Y. Kamiya n 840.3
00/0
0.62/0
Fagiano Okayama — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Noah Kenshin Browne n 826.9
3.84/3
Kosuke Shirai n 876.9
2.88/5
R. Sueyoshi n 834.1
2.64/2
Haruka Motoyama n 847.6
2.44/2
Kosei Ogura n 883.8
1.78/3
Fagiano Okayama — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Hamada n 890
3.98/6
Lennart Moser n 891.1
2.67/4
Vissel Kobe
Vissel Kobe — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Hidaka n 826.8
2.53/1
2.13/2
—
M. Mitsuta n 850.6
26/2
0.72/1
—
R. Komatsu n 827.8
1.64/0
1.23/0
—
Y. Goke n 853.4
1.55/1
1.74/2
—
N. Iino n 838.4
1.55/0
0.62/0
—
Vissel Kobe — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Komatsu n 827.8
4.15/3
24/1
Y. Osako n 879.6
3.27/6
1.46/3
Jean Patrick n 820.5
2.73/1
00/0
Y. Muto n 884.4
1.67/3
0.83/2
Y. Ideguchi n 887.3
1.56/3
0.31/1
Vissel Kobe — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Komatsu n 827.8
1.23/0
00/0
Jean Patrick n 820.5
00/0
1.12/0
Y. Muto n 884.4
0.32/0
0.43/0
Y. Osako n 879.6
0.62/1
0.11/0
Erik n 868.5
0.32/0
00/0
Vissel Kobe — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Sasaki n 871.8
2.78/7
K. Nagato n 848.1
2.67/3
Y. Kuwasaki n 853.8
2.55/4
Y. Ideguchi n 887.3
2.28/4
M. Hidaka n 826.8
2.13/2
Vissel Kobe — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Gonda n 890.9
47/6

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Fagiano Okayama v Vissel Kobe — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Fagiano OkayamaWWLDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Vissel KobeWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Fagiano Okayama 1 · 0 draws · Vissel Kobe 3 · 3.25 goals/game
  • 2026-05-10 Vissel Kobe 0–3 Fagiano Okayama
  • 2026-04-05 Fagiano Okayama 1–4 Vissel Kobe
  • 2025-07-20 Fagiano Okayama 1–2 Vissel Kobe
  • 2025-05-03 Vissel Kobe 2–0 Fagiano Okayama
League standing · 2027
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Fagiano Okayama#9 pos13 pts9 pl0 GD
Vissel Kobe#5 pos19 pts9 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Fagiano Okayama scored1.33
Vissel Kobe scored1.56
Fagiano Okayama conceded1.33
Vissel Kobe conceded1

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Fagiano Okayama v Vissel Kobe?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Fagiano Okayama v Vissel Kobe is Home or Away (best price 1.36 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Fagiano Okayama and Vissel Kobe?
In their last 4 meetings, Fagiano Okayama won 1, Vissel Kobe won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Fagiano Okayama and Vissel Kobe?
Recent form — Fagiano Okayama 3W 1D 1L; Vissel Kobe 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s boards

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