Kawasaki Frontale v Fagiano Okayama prediction

J1 League · · Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Kawasaki Frontale v Fagiano Okayama, J1 League on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 07:00 GMT.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 1356 landed (95% range 64.9–69.8%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Kawasaki Frontale host Fagiano Okayama in the J1 League on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 07:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Fagiano Okayama, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Seven of Kawasaki Frontale’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Kawasaki Frontale’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Kawasaki Frontale have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.29. Kawasaki Frontale have scored 17 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2027 so far). Kawasaki Frontale have conceded 14 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Eight of Fagiano Okayama’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Fagiano Okayama’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Fagiano Okayama have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.57. Fagiano Okayama have scored 12 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2027 so far). Fagiano Okayama have conceded 12 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Kawasaki Frontale (eighth) and Fagiano Okayama (ninth) are level on points, 2027 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Kawasaki Frontale the stronger side, 58 rating points above Fagiano Okayama (Kawasaki Frontale 1601, Fagiano Okayama 1543, after at least 59 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 8 November 2025, finished Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Fagiano Okayama.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · J1 League · Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Kawasaki Frontale 0 · draws 2 · Fagiano Okayama 0 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: Kawasaki Frontale 2W 0D 3L · Fagiano Okayama 2W 1D 2L

Kawasaki Frontale v Fagiano Okayama (J1 League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 5.75
Corners
against 5 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.88 / 1.63
Cards
against 0.88 / 0.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameKawasaki Frontale for / againstLineFagiano Okayama for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.75 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
12 for · 12.63 against n 8
19.5standard
13.38 for · 14 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.63 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
13.13 for · 7.5 against n 8
Cards shown
0.88 for · 0.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8
Kawasaki Frontale
Kawasaki Frontale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Kanda n 814.3
2.42/1
2.43/0
—
A. Sasaki n 850.5
2.27/3
0.42/0
—
L. Romanic n 851.9
26/1
1.33/3
—
Erison n 854.1
1.95/3
0.84/0
—
T. Ito n 872.6
1.75/4
1.16/1
—
Kawasaki Frontale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Kanda n 814.3
3.93/2
1.62/0
Kyosuke Mochiyama n 546.4
3.54/3
1.93/1
Erison n 854.1
2.57/3
0.63/0
Y. Wakizaka n 889
1.97/4
1.15/2
T. Ito n 872.6
1.76/3
0.64/0
Kawasaki Frontale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Kyosuke Mochiyama n 546.4
1.21/1
00/0
S. Kawahara n 838.6
00/0
0.62/0
Y. Wakizaka n 889
0.54/0
00/0
Y. Ozeki n 825.9
0.41/0
00/0
S. Miura n 890
00/0
0.32/0
Kawasaki Frontale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Sasaki n 850.5
2.96/4
Pedro Romano n 578.2
2.15/2
S. Kawahara n 838.6
25/2
Y. Yamamoto n 865.4
1.95/3
F. Uremović n 873.1
1.86/4
Kawasaki Frontale — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Thebault-Yamaguchi n 888.9
37/4
S. Brodersen n 890
2.86/4
Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Lucão n 845
2.56/3
0.83/0
—
Léo Gaúcho n 831.4
2.54/3
00/0
—
Werik Popó n 853.6
2.37/2
2.36/3
—
Kosei Ogura n 883.8
2.17/6
0.74/1
—
K. Ichimi n 842.4
1.95/2
0.52/0
—
Fagiano Okayama — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Léo Gaúcho n 831.4
3.65/3
2.55/1
Lucão n 845
2.86/3
12/1
Kota Kawano n 824.8
2.75/1
0.92/0
Werik Popó n 853.6
1.75/2
14/1
Ataru Esaka n 872.3
1.46/3
0.53/0
Fagiano Okayama — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Léo Gaúcho n 831.4
1.43/1
00/0
Lucão n 845
0.31/0
0.52/0
Werik Popó n 853.6
0.21/0
0.42/0
Ataru Esaka n 872.3
0.21/0
0.32/0
Sang-Ho Na n 864.8
0.31/1
0.21/0
Fagiano Okayama — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Kosuke Shirai n 879.9
2.78/5
Haruka Motoyama n 847.6
2.44/2
Yoshitake Suzuki n 876.9
2.26/4
Eiji Miyamoto n 890
1.97/4
Soichiro Mori n 830.5
1.82/2
Fagiano Okayama — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Hamada n 890
3.98/6
Lennart Moser n 891.1
2.87/4

The day’s free picks, by email

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Kawasaki Frontale v Fagiano Okayama — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Kawasaki FrontaleWLLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Fagiano OkayamaWLDWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Kawasaki Frontale 0 · 2 draws · Fagiano Okayama 0 · 1 goals/game
  • 2025-11-08 Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Fagiano Okayama
  • 2025-03-16 Fagiano Okayama 0–0 Kawasaki Frontale
League standing · 2027
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Kawasaki Frontale#8 pos13 pts9 pl+3 GD
Fagiano Okayama#9 pos13 pts9 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Kawasaki Frontale scored1.89
Fagiano Okayama scored1.33
Kawasaki Frontale conceded1.56
Fagiano Okayama conceded1.33

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Kawasaki Frontale v Fagiano Okayama?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Kawasaki Frontale v Fagiano Okayama is Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Kawasaki Frontale and Fagiano Okayama?
In their last 2 meetings, Kawasaki Frontale won 0, Fagiano Okayama won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kawasaki Frontale and Fagiano Okayama?
Recent form — Kawasaki Frontale 2W 0D 3L; Fagiano Okayama 2W 1D 2L.

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