Kawasaki Frontale v Vissel Kobe prediction

J1 League · · Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Kawasaki Frontale · Vissel Kobe · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Kawasaki Frontale v Vissel Kobe, J1 League on Wed, 21 Oct 2026 11:00 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 645 landed (95% range 61.8–69.1%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Kawasaki Frontale host Vissel Kobe in the J1 League on Wednesday 21 October (kick-off 11:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

Seven of Kawasaki Frontale’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Kawasaki Frontale’s last 15 results (60%). At home, Kawasaki Frontale have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.29. Kawasaki Frontale have scored 17 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2027 so far). Kawasaki Frontale have conceded 14 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Nine of Vissel Kobe’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Vissel Kobe’s last 15 results (47%). Away from home, Vissel Kobe have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.88. Vissel Kobe have scored 14 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs (2027 so far). Vissel Kobe have conceded nine goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Kawasaki Frontale (eighth) and Vissel Kobe (fifth) are six points apart, 2027 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Vissel Kobe the stronger side, 134 rating points above Kawasaki Frontale (Vissel Kobe 1638, Kawasaki Frontale 1504, after at least 338 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 21 June 2025, finished Kawasaki Frontale 1–2 Vissel Kobe.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · J1 League · Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Kawasaki Frontale 1 · draws 1 · Vissel Kobe 4 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Kawasaki Frontale 2W 0D 3L · Vissel Kobe 4W 0D 1L

Kawasaki Frontale v Vissel Kobe (J1 League): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.25 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 4.88
Corners
against 5 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 5
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.88 / 0.63
Cards
against 0.88 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameKawasaki Frontale for / againstLineVissel Kobe for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
12.13 for · 12.63 against n 8
19.5standard
14.38 for · 11.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.63 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
7.25 for · 11.25 against n 8
Cards shown
0.88 for · 0.88 against n 8
3.5standard
0.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
Kawasaki Frontale
Kawasaki Frontale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Kanda n 814.3
2.42/1
2.43/0
—
A. Sasaki n 850.5
2.27/3
0.42/0
—
L. Romanic n 851.9
26/1
1.33/3
—
T. Ito n 872.6
1.75/4
1.16/1
—
Erison n 854.1
1.75/3
0.84/0
—
Kawasaki Frontale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Kanda n 814.3
3.93/2
1.62/0
Kyosuke Mochiyama n 546.4
3.54/3
1.93/1
Erison n 854.1
2.57/3
0.63/0
Y. Wakizaka n 889
1.97/4
1.15/2
T. Ito n 872.6
1.97/3
0.64/0
Kawasaki Frontale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Kyosuke Mochiyama n 546.4
1.21/1
00/0
S. Kawahara n 837.6
00/0
0.62/0
Y. Wakizaka n 889
0.54/0
00/0
Y. Ozeki n 825.9
0.41/0
00/0
S. Miura n 890
00/0
0.32/0
Kawasaki Frontale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Sasaki n 850.5
2.96/4
Pedro Romano n 578.4
2.15/2
S. Kawahara n 837.6
2.15/2
Y. Yamamoto n 865.4
1.95/3
F. Uremović n 873.1
1.86/4
Kawasaki Frontale — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Thebault-Yamaguchi n 888.9
37/4
S. Brodersen n 890
2.86/4
Vissel Kobe
Vissel Kobe — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Hidaka n 826.8
2.53/1
2.13/2
—
M. Mitsuta n 850.6
26/2
0.72/1
—
R. Komatsu n 827.8
1.64/0
1.23/0
—
Y. Goke n 853.4
1.55/1
1.74/2
—
N. Iino n 838.4
1.55/0
0.62/0
—
Vissel Kobe — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Komatsu n 827.8
4.15/3
24/1
Y. Osako n 879.6
3.27/6
1.46/3
Jean Patrick n 820.5
2.73/1
00/0
Y. Muto n 884.4
1.67/3
0.83/2
Y. Ideguchi n 887.3
1.56/3
0.31/1
Vissel Kobe — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Komatsu n 827.8
1.23/0
00/0
Jean Patrick n 820.5
00/0
1.12/0
Y. Muto n 884.4
0.32/0
0.43/0
Y. Osako n 879.6
0.62/1
0.11/0
Erik n 868.5
0.32/0
00/0
Vissel Kobe — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Sasaki n 871.8
2.78/7
K. Nagato n 848.1
2.67/3
Y. Kuwasaki n 853.8
2.55/4
Y. Ideguchi n 887.3
2.28/4
M. Hidaka n 826.8
2.13/2
Vissel Kobe — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Gonda n 890.9
47/6

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Kawasaki Frontale v Vissel Kobe — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Kawasaki FrontaleWLLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Vissel KobeWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Kawasaki Frontale 1 · 1 draw · Vissel Kobe 4 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2025-06-21 Kawasaki Frontale 1–2 Vissel Kobe
  • 2025-04-16 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Kawasaki Frontale
  • 2024-08-07 Kawasaki Frontale 3–0 Vissel Kobe
  • 2024-06-16 Vissel Kobe 1–0 Kawasaki Frontale
  • 2023-08-12 Kawasaki Frontale 0–1 Vissel Kobe
  • 2023-07-22 Vissel Kobe 2–2 Kawasaki Frontale
League standing · 2027
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Kawasaki Frontale#8 pos13 pts9 pl+3 GD
Vissel Kobe#5 pos19 pts9 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Kawasaki Frontale scored1.89
Vissel Kobe scored1.56
Kawasaki Frontale conceded1.56
Vissel Kobe conceded1

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Kawasaki Frontale v Vissel Kobe?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Kawasaki Frontale v Vissel Kobe is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Kawasaki Frontale and Vissel Kobe?
In their last 6 meetings, Kawasaki Frontale won 1, Vissel Kobe won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kawasaki Frontale and Vissel Kobe?
Recent form — Kawasaki Frontale 2W 0D 3L; Vissel Kobe 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s boards

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