Nagoya Grampus v Yokohama F. Marinos prediction

J1 League · · Toyota Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Nagoya Grampus v Yokohama F. Marinos, J1 League on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 05:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Nagoya Grampus host Yokohama F. Marinos in the J1 League on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 05:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Nagoya Grampus or Yokohama F. Marinos (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

12 of Nagoya Grampus’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Nagoya Grampus have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Yokohama F. Marinos are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 12 of Nagoya Grampus’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%). At home, Nagoya Grampus have three wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.17 and conceding 1.00. Nagoya Grampus have scored nine goals, the sixth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2027 so far). Nagoya Grampus have conceded 15 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs.

Eight of Yokohama F. Marinos’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Yokohama F. Marinos’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Yokohama F. Marinos have four wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.56 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.22. Yokohama F. Marinos have scored 13 goals, the ninth-most of the 20 clubs (2027 so far). Yokohama F. Marinos have conceded nine goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Nagoya Grampus (15th) and Yokohama F. Marinos (seventh) are six points apart, 2027 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Nagoya Grampus the stronger side, 77 rating points above Yokohama F. Marinos (Nagoya Grampus 1680, Yokohama F. Marinos 1603, after at least 306 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 20 July 2025, finished Yokohama F. Marinos 3–0 Nagoya Grampus.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · J1 League · Toyota Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Nagoya Grampus 3 · draws 2 · Yokohama F. Marinos 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Nagoya Grampus 2W 1D 2L · Yokohama F. Marinos 2W 2D 1L

Nagoya Grampus v Yokohama F. Marinos (J1 League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2 / 1.5
Goals
against 2.13 / 0.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 4
Corners
against 4.38 / 5.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 3.38
Shots on target
against 5.63 / 3.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.88 / 1
Cards
against 2 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNagoya Grampus for / againstLineYokohama F. Marinos for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
13.25 for · 13.63 against n 8
19.5standard
11.5 for · 11.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 5.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3.38 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.5 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
11.75 for · 9.75 against n 8
Cards shown
0.88 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1 for · 1.25 against n 8
Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Yudai Kimura n 885.8
26/4
1.36/4
—
Kensuke Nagai n 839.8
1.74/1
1.43/2
—
Takuya Uchida n 857.1
1.67/1
1.23/2
—
Yota Sato n 846.8
1.24/1
0.72/1
—
Tomoki Takamine n 889.9
15/2
1.56/2
—
Nagoya Grampus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Yuya Yamagishi n 863.5
2.87/5
1.44/2
Mateus Castro n 850.8
2.77/3
1.34/1
Hidemasa Koda n 825.8
2.23/2
0.92/0
Yudai Kimura n 885.8
2.18/4
1.47/3
Kensuke Nagai n 839.8
1.74/1
1.13/1
Nagoya Grampus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Hidemasa Koda n 825.8
00/0
1.33/0
Yuya Yamagishi n 863.5
1.14/1
00/0
Kensuke Nagai n 839.8
0.82/1
0.31/0
Mateus Castro n 850.8
0.41/1
0.21/0
Yudai Kimura n 885.8
0.54/0
0.11/0
Nagoya Grampus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Takuya Uchida n 857.1
2.46/5
Katsuhiro Nakayama n 885.1
2.28/5
Hidemasa Koda n 825.8
2.24/1
Haruya Fujii n 893.8
1.97/5
Soichiro Mori n 830.5
1.82/2
Nagoya Grampus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Alexandre Pisano n 890
3.97/6
Daniel Schmidt n 893.8
3.16/5
Yokohama F. Marinos
Yokohama F. Marinos — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Miyaichi n 844.9
36/3
0.52/0
—
Jordy Croux n 833.3
24/2
1.43/1
—
Jun Amano n 876.1
1.66/2
0.63/1
—
Kaina Tanimura n 875.4
1.65/4
0.73/2
—
T. Kimura n 842.5
1.65/1
1.33/2
—
Yokohama F. Marinos — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Kaina Tanimura n 875.4
2.56/5
14/3
K. Matsumura n 832
2.53/1
0.72/0
Jun Amano n 876.1
1.35/3
0.42/1
Jordy Croux n 833.3
12/1
0.72/0
Ren Kato n 869.9
0.84/1
0.53/0
Yokohama F. Marinos — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Aruto Higuchi n 715.9
00/0
0.81/0
Jun Amano n 876.1
0.31/1
0.42/1
Tomoki Kondo n 870.9
0.21/0
0.51/1
Kaina Tanimura n 875.4
0.63/1
00/0
Tevis n 817.9
0.61/0
00/0
Yokohama F. Marinos — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Miyaichi n 844.9
2.86/2
T. Kimura n 842.5
2.44/1
T. Deng n 859.5
2.36/3
Ryotaro Tsunoda n 889.4
2.17/3
Tomoki Kondo n 870.9
2.17/4
Yokohama F. Marinos — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Hiroki Ilkura n 890
3.97/7
Park Il-Kyu n 890.8
2.15/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Nagoya Grampus v Yokohama F. Marinos — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Nagoya GrampusLDLWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Yokohama F. MarinosLWDWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Nagoya Grampus 3 · 2 draws · Yokohama F. Marinos 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-07-20 Yokohama F. Marinos 3–0 Nagoya Grampus
  • 2025-04-02 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Yokohama F. Marinos
  • 2024-12-08 Yokohama F. Marinos 0–2 Nagoya Grampus
  • 2024-03-30 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Yokohama F. Marinos
  • 2023-07-08 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Yokohama F. Marinos
  • 2023-04-29 Yokohama F. Marinos 1–1 Nagoya Grampus
League standing · 2027
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Nagoya Grampus#15 pos9 pts9 pl-6 GD
Yokohama F. Marinos#7 pos15 pts9 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Nagoya Grampus scored1
Yokohama F. Marinos scored1.44
Nagoya Grampus conceded1.67
Yokohama F. Marinos conceded1

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Nagoya Grampus v Yokohama F. Marinos?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Nagoya Grampus v Yokohama F. Marinos is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Nagoya Grampus and Yokohama F. Marinos?
In their last 6 meetings, Nagoya Grampus won 3, Yokohama F. Marinos won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nagoya Grampus and Yokohama F. Marinos?
Recent form — Nagoya Grampus 2W 1D 2L; Yokohama F. Marinos 2W 2D 1L.

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