Urawa v JEF United Chiba prediction

J1 League · Wed, 21 Oct 2026 11:30 BST · Saitama Stadium

Updated 17 Oct 2026, 16:30 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Urawa v JEF United Chiba, J1 League on Wed, 21 Oct 2026 11:30 BST.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4315 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Urawa host JEF United Chiba in the J1 League on Wednesday 21 October (kick-off 11:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Urawa or JEF United Chiba (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Urawa have conceded 21 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2027 so far).

JEF United Chiba are winless in their last seven matches.

Form and the table

Four of Urawa’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in seven of Urawa’s last 15 results (47%). At home, Urawa have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.13. Urawa have scored 16 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs (2027 so far).

Eight of JEF United Chiba’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of JEF United Chiba’s last 15 results (60%). Away from home, JEF United Chiba have one win, one draw and five defeats in their last 7 away matches — 0.57 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.86. JEF United Chiba have scored eight goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2027 so far). JEF United Chiba have conceded 19 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs.

Urawa (11th) and JEF United Chiba (19th) are seven points apart, 2027 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Urawa the stronger side, 142 rating points above JEF United Chiba (Urawa 1532, JEF United Chiba 1389, after at least 22 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished Urawa 2–0 JEF United Chiba.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

Kick-off: Wed, 21 Oct 2026 11:30 BST · J1 League · Saitama Stadium
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Urawa 2 · draws 0 · JEF United Chiba 0 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Urawa 1W 2D 2L · JEF United Chiba 0W 3D 2L

Urawa v JEF United Chiba (J1 League): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 1.13

Goals

against 0.63 / 1.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.63 / 6.13

Corners

against 4.88 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 3.75

Shots on target

against 3.38 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

0.63 / 1.88

Cards

against 1 / 0.88 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Urawa for / against	Line	JEF United Chiba for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.63 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.13 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.88 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.5 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.5 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.75 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	8 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.88 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	0.63 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5

Urawa

Urawa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Takahiro Sekine n 8	46.9	2.2 5/2	1 4/0	—
Kotaro Hayashi n 8	60.1	1.7 5/2	0.4 2/0	—
Kaito Yasui n 8	86.1	1.6 6/3	0.8 4/2	—
H. Abe n 4	30.5	1.5 2/0	0.7 1/0	—
T. Seko n 8	67.3	1.3 5/2	2.2 5/4	—

Urawa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Matheus Sávio n 8	60.5	2.2 5/3	1.5 5/2
Shoya Nakajima n 8	50.8	2 6/3	0.9 3/1
Hiiro Komori n 8	50.5	2 6/2	0.4 2/0
Renji Hidano n 8	39	1.7 4/1	0.9 3/0
Danilo Boza n 8	79.6	1.6 4/2	0.7 3/2

Urawa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Hayakawa n 8	30.6	0 0/0	0.7 1/1
Shoya Nakajima n 8	50.8	0 0/0	0.4 2/0
Hiiro Komori n 8	50.5	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
Kaito Yasui n 8	86.1	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Y. Naganuma n 8	73.9	0 0/0	0.2 1/0

Urawa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Takahiro Sekine n 8	46.9	3.1 5/4
Ueki Hayate n 6	47	2.6 4/3
Hiiro Komori n 8	50.5	1.8 5/2
J. Hayakawa n 8	30.6	1.8 4/1
Yusuke Matsuo n 8	21.1	1.6 3/0

Urawa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Shusaku Nishikawa n 8	90	2.4 4/4

JEF United Chiba

JEF United Chiba — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
H. Goya n 8	33.6	3.3 5/3	1.3 3/1	—
T. Tsukui n 8	73.4	2.8 8/6	1.7 5/4	—
Carlinhos Junior n 8	61	2.2 6/4	1.1 4/2	—
N. Sugiyama n 8	33.9	2 4/1	1.3 4/0	—
Dudu n 8	59.3	1.7 6/3	1.9 5/4	—

JEF United Chiba — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
K. Yamura n 8	30.4	2.6 3/2	0.7 2/0
Erison n 8	54.1	2.5 7/3	0.6 3/0
H. Goya n 8	33.6	2.3 4/3	1 3/0
Carlinhos Junior n 8	61	2 5/4	1.3 5/2
T. Taguchi n 8	55.6	1.6 5/2	0.2 1/0

JEF United Chiba — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Sugiyama n 8	33.9	0 0/0	0.7 2/0
H. Goya n 8	33.6	0.7 2/0	0 0/0
Carlinhos Junior n 8	61	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
M. Himeno n 8	43	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
I. Takahashi n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0

JEF United Chiba — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Dudu n 8	59.3	3.4 7/4
Kazuki Tanaka n 8	33.9	3.3 5/4
T. Tsukui n 8	73.4	2.3 7/4
T. Yasui n 8	55	2 7/3
M. Hidaka n 8	89.6	1.9 8/6

JEF United Chiba — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Suarez n 8	90	3 8/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Urawa v JEF United Chiba — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

UrawaDLDLW

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

JEF United ChibaLDLDD

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Urawa 2 · 0 draws · JEF United Chiba 0 · 2 goals/game

2026-05-02 Urawa 2–0 JEF United Chiba
2026-02-07 JEF United Chiba 0–2 Urawa

League standing · 2027

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Urawa#11 pos12 pts9 pl-5 GD

JEF United Chiba#19 pos5 pts9 pl-11 GD

Goals per game

Urawa scored1.78

JEF United Chiba scored0.89

Urawa conceded2.33

JEF United Chiba conceded2.11

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Urawa v JEF United Chiba?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Urawa v JEF United Chiba is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Urawa and JEF United Chiba?: In their last 2 meetings, Urawa won 2, JEF United Chiba won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Urawa and JEF United Chiba?: Recent form — Urawa 1W 2D 2L; JEF United Chiba 0W 3D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 17 Oct 2026, 16:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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