Vissel Kobe v Machida Zelvia prediction

J1 League · · Noevir Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Vissel Kobe v Machida Zelvia, J1 League on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 07:00 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Vissel Kobe host Machida Zelvia in the J1 League on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 07:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Vissel Kobe or Machida Zelvia (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Machida Zelvia have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Vissel Kobe’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in six of Vissel Kobe’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Vissel Kobe have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.00. Vissel Kobe have scored 14 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs (2027 so far). Vissel Kobe have conceded nine goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Four of Machida Zelvia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in five of Machida Zelvia’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Machida Zelvia have two wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.00. Machida Zelvia have scored 22 goals, the most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2027 so far). Machida Zelvia have conceded 10 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Vissel Kobe have won their last three matches in all competitions. Machida Zelvia are unbeaten in their last 12 matches in all competitions. Machida Zelvia have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions. Vissel Kobe (fifth) and Machida Zelvia (third) are one point apart, 2027 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Machida Zelvia the stronger side, 3 rating points above Vissel Kobe (Machida Zelvia 1756, Vissel Kobe 1753, after at least 97 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 10 August 2025, finished Machida Zelvia 2–0 Vissel Kobe.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · J1 League · Noevir Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Vissel Kobe 2 · draws 1 · Machida Zelvia 1 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Vissel Kobe 4W 0D 1L · Machida Zelvia 4W 1D 0L

Vissel Kobe v Machida Zelvia (J1 League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2 / 1.5
Goals
against 0.63 / 0.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 4.43
Corners
against 5.25 / 3.14 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.13 / 5.43
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 3.57 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
0.63 / 1.57
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.14 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameVissel Kobe for / againstLineMachida Zelvia for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 0.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 0.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.43 for · 3.14 against n 7
Shots
14.63 for · 12.38 against n 8
19.5standard
14 for · 11.43 against n 7
Shots on target
5.13 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.43 for · 3.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
7.75 for · 10.88 against n 8
21.5standard
11 for · 8.57 against n 7
Cards shown
0.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.57 for · 1.14 against n 7
Vissel Kobe
Vissel Kobe — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Hidaka n 826.8
2.53/1
2.13/2
—
Y. Goke n 853.4
1.55/1
1.74/2
—
Jean Patrick n 815.5
1.52/0
2.22/1
—
Erik n 871.5
1.45/2
1.16/1
—
R. Komatsu n 823.9
1.43/0
0.92/0
—
Vissel Kobe — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Komatsu n 823.9
3.85/2
1.94/0
Y. Osako n 877.9
3.57/6
1.46/3
Erik n 871.5
1.75/4
0.83/2
Y. Ideguchi n 889.5
1.66/3
0.42/1
Y. Muto n 882.8
1.56/3
0.72/2
Vissel Kobe — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Komatsu n 823.9
1.43/0
00/0
Y. Osako n 877.9
0.93/2
0.11/0
Y. Muto n 882.8
0.32/0
0.54/0
Jean Patrick n 815.5
00/0
0.71/0
Matheus Thuler n 870.3
0.53/0
00/0
Vissel Kobe — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Sasaki n 871.8
2.78/7
K. Nagato n 845.6
2.77/3
Y. Kuwasaki n 862.3
2.56/5
Y. Ideguchi n 889.5
2.18/4
M. Hidaka n 826.8
2.13/2
Vissel Kobe — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Gonda n 890.9
3.87/6
Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Keiya Sento n 837
2.43/3
2.14/2
—
Tete Yengi n 855.1
1.85/3
1.84/2
—
T. Nishimura n 843.4
1.87/0
0.31/0
—
Daihachi Okamura n 883.9
1.76/4
1.16/1
—
Kotaro Hayashi n 860.1
1.75/2
0.42/0
—
Machida Zelvia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Koki Ogawa n 827.8
3.25/3
1.63/1
Tete Yengi n 855.1
2.26/4
1.45/2
Shota Fujio n 846.5
2.25/2
0.73/0
T. Nishimura n 843.4
1.83/2
00/0
Y. Soma n 872
1.77/3
0.96/0
Machida Zelvia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Henry Heroki Mochizuki n 835.3
0.62/0
0.31/0
Hokuto Shimoda n 858.3
0.42/0
0.42/0
Koki Ogawa n 827.8
0.41/0
0.41/0
Tete Yengi n 855.1
0.42/0
0.21/0
Sang-Ho Na n 864.8
0.31/1
0.21/0
Machida Zelvia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Neta Lavi n 869.3
3.78/5
Henry Heroki Mochizuki n 835.3
2.65/2
Gen Shoji n 883.8
2.37/4
Daihachi Okamura n 883.9
27/5
T. Ouwejan n 868.6
26/4
Machida Zelvia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Kosei Tani n 893.8
3.66/5
Tatsuya Morita n 590
0.81/0

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Vissel Kobe v Machida Zelvia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Vissel KobeWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Machida ZelviaDWWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Vissel Kobe 2 · 1 draw · Machida Zelvia 1 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2025-08-10 Machida Zelvia 2–0 Vissel Kobe
  • 2025-04-20 Vissel Kobe 1–0 Machida Zelvia
  • 2024-06-26 Vissel Kobe 0–0 Machida Zelvia
  • 2024-04-13 Machida Zelvia 1–2 Vissel Kobe
League standing · 2027
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Vissel Kobe#5 pos19 pts9 pl+5 GD
Machida Zelvia#3 pos20 pts9 pl+12 GD
Goals per game
Vissel Kobe scored1.56
Machida Zelvia scored2.44
Vissel Kobe conceded1
Machida Zelvia conceded1.11

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Vissel Kobe v Machida Zelvia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Vissel Kobe v Machida Zelvia is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Vissel Kobe and Machida Zelvia?
In their last 4 meetings, Vissel Kobe won 2, Machida Zelvia won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Vissel Kobe and Machida Zelvia?
Recent form — Vissel Kobe 4W 0D 1L; Machida Zelvia 4W 1D 0L.

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