Yokohama F. Marinos v Tokyo Verdy prediction
Team pages: Yokohama F. Marinos · Tokyo Verdy · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Yokohama F. Marinos v Tokyo Verdy, J1 League on Wed, 21 Oct 2026 11:00 BST.
The match
Yokohama F. Marinos host Tokyo Verdy in the J1 League on Wednesday 21 October (kick-off 11:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Yokohama F. Marinos or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Yokohama F. Marinos are unbeaten in their last four matches.
Tokyo Verdy are winless in their last five matches. Tokyo Verdy have scored four goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2027 so far).
Form and the table
Eight of Yokohama F. Marinos’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Yokohama F. Marinos’s last 15 results (47%). At home, Yokohama F. Marinos have one win, two draws and three defeats in their last 6 home matches — 0.83 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 1.33. Yokohama F. Marinos have scored 13 goals, the ninth-most of the 20 clubs (2027 so far). Yokohama F. Marinos have conceded nine goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Six of Tokyo Verdy’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Tokyo Verdy’s last 15 results (40%). Away from home, Tokyo Verdy have one win, three draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches — 0.86 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.14. Tokyo Verdy have conceded 14 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2027 so far).
Yokohama F. Marinos (seventh) and Tokyo Verdy (20th) are 11 points apart, 2027 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Yokohama F. Marinos the stronger side, 253 rating points above Tokyo Verdy (Yokohama F. Marinos 1603, Tokyo Verdy 1350, after at least 98 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Tokyo Verdy 0–6 Yokohama F. Marinos.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · J1 League · Nissan Stadium
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Yokohama F. Marinos 3 · draws 1 · Tokyo Verdy 2 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Yokohama F. Marinos 2W 2D 1L · Tokyo Verdy 0W 1D 4L
TACTIX runs Yokohama F. Marinos v Tokyo Verdy (J1 League) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 17 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Yokohama F. Marinos for / against | Line | Tokyo Verdy for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 0.63 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.63 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.5 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 8.88 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.38 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 2 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.75 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.13 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
Yokohama F. Marinos
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Miyaichi n 8 | 44.9 | 3 | 0.5 | — |
| Jordy Croux n 8 | 33.3 | 2 | 1.4 | — |
| Jun Amano n 8 | 76.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 | — |
| Kaina Tanimura n 8 | 75.4 | 1.6 | 0.7 | — |
| T. Kimura n 8 | 42.5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kaina Tanimura n 8 | 75.4 | 2.5 | 1 |
| K. Matsumura n 8 | 32 | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| Jun Amano n 8 | 76.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| Jordy Croux n 8 | 33.3 | 1 | 0.7 |
| Ren Kato n 8 | 69.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aruto Higuchi n 7 | 15.9 | 0 | 0.8 |
| Jun Amano n 8 | 76.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Tomoki Kondo n 8 | 70.9 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Kaina Tanimura n 8 | 75.4 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Tevis n 8 | 17.9 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| R. Miyaichi n 8 | 44.9 | 2.8 |
| T. Kimura n 8 | 42.5 | 2.4 |
| T. Deng n 8 | 59.5 | 2.3 |
| Ryotaro Tsunoda n 8 | 89.4 | 2.1 |
| Tomoki Kondo n 8 | 70.9 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Hiroki Ilkura n 8 | 90 | 3.9 |
| Park Il-Kyu n 8 | 90.8 | 2.1 |
Tokyo Verdy
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Fukuda n 8 | 58.5 | 3.1 | 1 | — |
| Itsuki Someno n 8 | 73.1 | 2.5 | 3.5 | — |
| Kai Shibato n 8 | 68.6 | 2.5 | 2.6 | — |
| Rei Hirakawa n 8 | 56.5 | 2.2 | 0.6 | — |
| Shimon Teranuma n 8 | 33.4 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shimon Teranuma n 8 | 33.4 | 3.4 | 1 |
| Issei Kumatoriya n 8 | 49.9 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| Shuto Tanabe n 8 | 43.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Ryosuke Shirai n 8 | 34.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Itsuki Someno n 8 | 73.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryosuke Shirai n 8 | 34.6 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Shimon Teranuma n 8 | 33.4 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Koki Morita n 8 | 72 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Yuta Arai n 8 | 64.8 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Y. Fukuda n 8 | 58.5 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Shion Nakayama n 6 | 42.7 | 2.8 |
| Y. Fukuda n 8 | 58.5 | 2.7 |
| Yuan Matsuhashi n 8 | 53.9 | 2.7 |
| Koki Morita n 8 | 72 | 2.3 |
| Kosuke Saito n 8 | 46.4 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Yuya Nagasawa n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
| Matheus Vidotto n 8 | 84.8 | 2 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Yokohama F. Marinos v Tokyo Verdy — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-24 Tokyo Verdy 0–6 Yokohama F. Marinos
- 2026-02-28 Yokohama F. Marinos 3–2 Tokyo Verdy
- 2025-08-09 Tokyo Verdy 1–0 Yokohama F. Marinos
- 2025-04-05 Yokohama F. Marinos 0–0 Tokyo Verdy
- 2024-06-29 Yokohama F. Marinos 1–2 Tokyo Verdy
- 2024-02-25 Tokyo Verdy 1–2 Yokohama F. Marinos
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Yokohama F. Marinos v Tokyo Verdy?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Yokohama F. Marinos v Tokyo Verdy is Home or Draw.
- What is the head-to-head record between Yokohama F. Marinos and Tokyo Verdy?
- In their last 6 meetings, Yokohama F. Marinos won 3, Tokyo Verdy won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Yokohama F. Marinos and Tokyo Verdy?
- Recent form — Yokohama F. Marinos 2W 2D 1L; Tokyo Verdy 0W 1D 4L.
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