Genk v Standard Liege prediction

Jupiler Pro League · · Cegeka Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Genk v Standard Liege, Jupiler Pro League on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:30 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.2% of 1485 landed (95% range 72.9–77.3%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Genk host Standard Liege in the Jupiler Pro League on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 12:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Genk or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Seven of Genk’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in four of Genk’s last 15 results (27%). At home, Genk have four wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 6 home matches — 2.33 points per game, scoring 2.33 and conceding 0.50. Genk have scored 16 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Genk have conceded 12 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Eight of Standard Liege’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Standard Liege’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Standard Liege have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.57 points per game, scoring 2.29 and conceding 1.71. Standard Liege have scored 13 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Standard Liege have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Genk (seventh) and Standard Liege (ninth) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Genk the stronger side, 111 rating points above Standard Liege (Genk 1685, Standard Liege 1574, after at least 350 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Standard Liege are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Genk. The most recent meeting, on 16 May 2026, finished Standard Liege 0–0 Genk.

Team news

Predicted Genk XI (4-2-3-1): L. Kiaba Mounganga, J. Kongolo, J. Kayembe, M. Smets, K. Amaro, B. Heynen, J. Ito, J. Erenbjerg, I. Bangoura, A. Yokoyama, R. Durosinmi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, R. Durosinmi (4.9 per match over eight appearances, six goals) and Joris Kayembe (4.8 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Genk’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Genk (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), R. Durosinmi averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 594 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last eight appearances. Joris Kayembe averages 3.1 tackles per 90 over 830 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Standard Liege XI (4-3-3): M. Epolo, I. Karamoko, I. Hautekiet, M. Fossey, G. Mortensen, C. Nielsen, A. Trouillet, R. Touzghar, A. Abid, D. Ayensa, B. Nguene — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Adnane Abid (5.9 per match over eight appearances, three goals and two assists) and Casper Nielsen (5.5 per match over eight appearances, two goals and three assists) have been Standard Liege’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Standard Liege (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Adnane Abid averages 1.8 shots per 90 over 720 minutes, with a shot in six of the last eight appearances. Casper Nielsen averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 695 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Jupiler Pro League · Cegeka Arena
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Genk 2 · draws 2 · Standard Liege 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Genk 2W 2D 1L · Standard Liege 2W 0D 3L

Genk v Standard Liege (Jupiler Pro League): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.13 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.14 / 6
Corners
against 6.14 / 4.29 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.29 / 4.86
Shots on target
against 3.71 / 4.71 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.57 / 1.29
Cards
against 2.29 / 1.43 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameGenk for / againstLineStandard Liege for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.14 for · 6.14 against n 7
9.5standard
6 for · 4.29 against n 7
Shots
14.57 for · 14.29 against n 7
19.5standard
13.43 for · 14.29 against n 7
Shots on target
5.29 for · 3.71 against n 7
8.5standard
4.86 for · 4.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.71 for · 10.14 against n 7
21.5standard
10.29 for · 10.71 against n 7
Cards shown
1.57 for · 2.29 against n 7
3.5standard
1.29 for · 1.43 against n 7
Genk
Genk — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Daan Heymans n 832.3
2.84/3
1.73/2
—
R. Durosinmi n 874.3
2.37/4
1.56/3
—
A. De Wannemacker n 843.8
2.34/3
3.95/4
—
Yaimar Medina n 841.8
2.25/2
0.52/0
—
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura n 881.5
2.16/5
1.14/3
—
Genk — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Daan Heymans n 832.3
3.56/2
1.43/1
R. Durosinmi n 874.3
2.98/6
1.46/2
A. Bibout n 819.9
2.34/0
1.73/0
A. Yokoyama n 859
1.77/2
14/1
Bryan Heynen n 889.1
1.47/2
0.43/0
Genk — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Bibout n 819.9
1.12/0
00/0
R. Durosinmi n 874.3
0.96/0
00/0
Junya Ito n 869.3
0.21/0
0.53/0
A. De Wannemacker n 843.8
0.31/0
0.31/0
Daan Heymans n 832.3
0.31/0
0.31/0
Genk — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Amaro n 859.5
3.66/5
Joris Kayembe n 883.4
2.87/6
A. De Wannemacker n 843.8
2.66/2
Zakaria El Ouahdi n 875.6
2.56/4
Bryan Heynen n 889.1
2.37/5
Genk — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Kiaba Mounganga n 890
2.55/4
Standard Liege
Standard Liege — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Zeqiri n 819.9
5.74/1
1.73/0
—
Ryan Fosso n 817.4
3.24/1
0.61/0
—
Tobias Mohr n 822.4
23/1
00/0
—
R. Touzghar n 869.4
1.66/4
1.14/3
—
Ibrahim Karamoko n 890
1.46/3
0.83/1
—
Standard Liege — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Timothee Nkada n 843.9
3.15/4
1.34/1
Bruny Nsimba n 823.5
2.95/1
1.43/0
A. Zeqiri n 819.9
2.33/1
0.61/0
Bernard Nguene n 860.8
2.25/4
0.63/0
S. Jasper n 850.4
25/4
1.13/2
Standard Liege — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Adnane Abid n 890
0.42/1
0.32/0
Casper Nielsen n 886.9
0.32/0
0.42/1
Salieu Drammeh n 845.9
0.51/1
0.21/0
Dennis Eckert Ayensa n 864.6
0.32/0
0.21/0
Timothee Nkada n 843.9
0.52/0
00/0
Standard Liege — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ryan Fosso n 817.4
3.93/1
A. Trouillet n 880.6
2.87/4
M. Ilaimaharitra n 858.6
2.57/3
Casper Nielsen n 886.9
2.37/4
Gustav Mortensen n 886.6
2.37/4
Standard Liege — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Matthieu Epolo n 890
2.66/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Genk v Standard Liege — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GenkDDLWW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Standard LiegeWLLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Genk 2 · 2 draws · Standard Liege 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-05-16 Standard Liege 0–0 Genk
  • 2026-04-25 Genk 1–1 Standard Liege
  • 2026-02-22 Genk 0–3 Standard Liege
  • 2025-08-10 Standard Liege 2–1 Genk
  • 2025-02-14 Standard Liege 1–2 Genk
  • 2024-12-04 Genk 2–1 Standard Liege
League standing · 2026/27
Genk#7 pos12 pts8 pl+4 GD
Standard Liege#9 pos11 pts8 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Genk scored2
Standard Liege scored1.63
Genk conceded1.5
Standard Liege conceded1.63

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Genk v Standard Liege?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Genk v Standard Liege is Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Genk and Standard Liege?
In their last 6 meetings, Genk won 2, Standard Liege won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Genk and Standard Liege?
Recent form — Genk 2W 2D 1L; Standard Liege 2W 0D 3L.

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