Gent v Anderlecht prediction

Jupiler Pro League · · Planet Group Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Gent · Anderlecht · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home shots on over 2.5 the free pick for Gent v Anderlecht, Jupiler Pro League on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 17:30 GMT.

Free pick
Home shots on over 2.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Gent host Anderlecht in the Jupiler Pro League on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 17:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Gent shots on over 2.5, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Gent are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Gent have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Gent’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Gent’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Gent have five wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.25 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 0.38. Gent have scored 15 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Gent have conceded four goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Nine of Anderlecht’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in five of Anderlecht’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Anderlecht have four wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.00. Anderlecht have scored nine goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Anderlecht have conceded six goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Gent (first) and Anderlecht (fifth) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Gent the stronger side, 137 rating points above Anderlecht (Gent 1835, Anderlecht 1698, after at least 350 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished Gent 1–1 Anderlecht.

Team news

Predicted Gent XI (3-4-2-1): D. Roef, S. Van der Heyden, C. Burgess, M. Ngom, T. Araújo, L. Lopes, M. Delorge-Knieper, T. De Vlieger, M. Volckaert, K. Wilson, M. Sonko — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Tiago Araújo (4.6 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and four assists) and Tibe De Vlieger (4.2 per match over nine appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Gent’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Gent (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Tiago Araújo averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 899 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Tibe De Vlieger averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 591 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Anderlecht XI (4-4-2): C. Coosemans, L. Pétrot, A. Maamar, L. Augustinsson, G. Biancone, M. Kana, L. Ambros, I. Koutsoupias, E. Llansana, D. Sikan, T. Bentayeb — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ali Maamar (5.0 per match over nine appearances, three assists) and Giulian Biancone (3.8 per match over six appearances) have been Anderlecht’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Anderlecht (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ali Maamar averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 830 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Giulian Biancone averages 2.6 tackles per 90 over 487 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last six appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Jupiler Pro League · Planet Group Arena
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Gent 1 · draws 1 · Anderlecht 4 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Gent 3W 2D 0L · Anderlecht 2W 0D 3L

Gent v Anderlecht (Jupiler Pro League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 1.13
Goals
against 0.75 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.71 / 5.29
Corners
against 4.14 / 4.29 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.86 / 5.29
Shots on target
against 2.71 / 4.43 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.14 / 2
Cards
against 1.71 / 1.43 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameGent for / againstLineAnderlecht for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.71 for · 4.14 against n 7
9.5standard
5.29 for · 4.29 against n 7
Shots
14 for · 10.43 against n 7
19.5standard
13 for · 11.14 against n 7
Shots on target
4.86 for · 2.71 against n 7
8.5standard
5.29 for · 4.43 against n 7
Fouls committed
11 for · 10.14 against n 7
21.5standard
12.86 for · 13.43 against n 7
Cards shown
2.14 for · 1.71 against n 7
3.5standard
2 for · 1.43 against n 7
Gent
Gent — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ibrahima Cisse n 833.5
2.75/2
0.72/0
—
T. De Vlieger n 865
2.15/4
2.68/3
—
M. Paskotši n 875.5
1.96/3
0.11/0
—
M. Ngom n 882.1
1.85/5
0.53/1
—
Leonardo Lopes n 844
1.84/3
1.34/1
—
Gent — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Ibrahima Cisse n 833.5
2.75/1
1.34/0
J. Y. Vergara Ortega n 877.6
2.57/5
1.45/4
B. Goore n 833.5
2.45/1
1.73/1
M. Dean n 854.3
2.35/4
1.24/2
L. Bénes n 857.5
2.24/3
1.43/2
Gent — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ibrahima Cisse n 833.5
13/0
00/0
L. Bénes n 857.5
0.42/0
0.21/0
Tiago Araújo n 889.9
0.11/0
0.54/0
J. Y. Vergara Ortega n 877.6
0.64/0
00/0
B. Goore n 833.5
0.31/0
0.31/0
Gent — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Balikwisha n 860.5
3.76/6
Kyrell Wilson n 840.4
2.86/2
T. De Vlieger n 865
2.65/3
A. Kadri n 843.5
2.34/4
A. Omgba n 824.5
2.34/1
Gent — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Roef n 890
2.45/4
Anderlecht
Anderlecht — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Llansana n 865
3.58/6
0.95/0
—
T. Aasgaard n 835.6
1.95/1
1.32/1
—
A. Maamar n 890
1.88/4
0.96/1
—
M. Winkler n 869.5
1.85/2
1.96/5
—
Oleg Reabciuk n 883.8
1.75/5
2.18/4
—
Anderlecht — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Danylo Sikan n 845.1
2.54/4
0.73/0
T. Bentayeb n 846
2.45/3
1.75/1
K. Nga n 734.6
2.24/2
0.71/1
Mihajlo Cvetković n 853.1
1.93/3
1.12/2
M. Winkler n 869.5
1.54/3
1.14/2
Anderlecht — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Bentayeb n 846
0.73/0
0.21/0
M. Winkler n 869.5
0.52/1
0.31/1
I. Koutsoupias n 855.3
0.21/0
0.42/0
Mihajlo Cvetković n 853.1
0.42/0
00/0
K. Nga n 734.6
0.41/0
00/0
Anderlecht — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Llansana n 865
3.36/5
N. Cobiella n 620
33/1
G. Biancone n 863.8
2.56/5
Joshua-Williame Bethume n 461.8
2.24/2
A. Maamar n 890
2.18/5
Anderlecht — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Coosemans n 890
3.97/5

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Gent v Anderlecht — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GentDWWWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
AnderlechtLWWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Gent 1 · 1 draw · Anderlecht 4 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-05-10 Gent 1–1 Anderlecht
  • 2026-04-12 Anderlecht 3–1 Gent
  • 2026-01-18 Gent 4–2 Anderlecht
  • 2026-01-15 Anderlecht 1–0 Gent
  • 2025-09-23 Anderlecht 1–0 Gent
  • 2025-04-27 Gent 0–1 Anderlecht
League standing · 2026/27
Gent#1 pos22 pts8 pl+11 GD
Anderlecht#5 pos16 pts8 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Gent scored1.88
Anderlecht scored1.13
Gent conceded0.5
Anderlecht conceded0.75

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Gent v Anderlecht?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Gent v Anderlecht is Home shots on over 2.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Gent and Anderlecht?
In their last 6 meetings, Gent won 1, Anderlecht won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Gent and Anderlecht?
Recent form — Gent 3W 2D 0L; Anderlecht 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →