St. Truiden v KV Mechelen prediction

Jupiler Pro League · · Daio Wasabi Stayen

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: St. Truiden · KV Mechelen · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for St. Truiden v KV Mechelen, Jupiler Pro League on Sat, 30 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

St. Truiden host KV Mechelen in the Jupiler Pro League on Saturday 30 January (kick-off 16:00 UK).

Form and the table

Nine of St. Truiden’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of St. Truiden’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, St. Truiden have five wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.89 points per game, scoring 1.78 and conceding 0.89. St. Truiden have scored 15 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). St. Truiden have conceded 16 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

10 of KV Mechelen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of KV Mechelen’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, KV Mechelen have no wins, three draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.43 points per game, scoring 0.57 and conceding 2.00. KV Mechelen have scored nine goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). KV Mechelen have conceded 17 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

KV Mechelen are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. St. Truiden (12th) and KV Mechelen (14th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have St. Truiden the stronger side, 49 rating points above KV Mechelen (St. Truiden 1482, KV Mechelen 1433, after at least 300 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 11 October 2026, finished KV Mechelen 4–3 St. Truiden.

Team news

Predicted St. Truiden XI (4-4-2): L. Kokubo, T. Hata, V. Musliu, R. Vanwesemael, S. Taniguchi, I. Sebaoui, A. Sissako, R. Merlen, R. Araki, S. Baždar, N. Mbuku — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ilias Sebaoui (5.3 per match over nine appearances, three goals and three assists) and Ryan Merlen (4.6 per match over nine appearances, three goals and four assists) have been St. Truiden’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for St. Truiden (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ilias Sebaoui averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 798 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances. Ryan Merlen averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 704 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances.

Predicted KV Mechelen XI (3-4-2-1): N. Mirás, J. Marsà, L. Marijnissen, M. Eerdhuijzen, F. Hammar, T. Koudou, D. Praet, S. Michez, B. Bafdili, D. Salifou, M. van Brederode — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. van Brederode (4.8 per match over eight appearances, three goals) and F. Hammar (4.1 per match over eight appearances) have been KV Mechelen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for KV Mechelen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. van Brederode averages 0.6 shots per 90 over 720 minutes, with a shot in three of the last eight appearances. F. Hammar averages 0.3 key passes per 90 over 672 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Jupiler Pro League · Daio Wasabi Stayen
  • Head-to-head (last 6): St. Truiden 4 · draws 1 · KV Mechelen 1 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: St. Truiden 2W 0D 3L · KV Mechelen 2W 1D 2L

St. Truiden v KV Mechelen (Jupiler Pro League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.13 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.63 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.43 / 5.14
Corners
against 2.57 / 4.29 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.43 / 3.29
Shots on target
against 4.43 / 4.57 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.86 / 1.71
Cards
against 1.43 / 2.43 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSt. Truiden for / againstLineKV Mechelen for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
5.43 for · 2.57 against n 7
9.5standard
5.14 for · 4.29 against n 7
Shots
16.14 for · 11.57 against n 7
19.5standard
12.29 for · 14.57 against n 7
Shots on target
4.43 for · 4.43 against n 7
8.5standard
3.29 for · 4.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
12.57 for · 10.86 against n 7
21.5standard
12.43 for · 14.29 against n 7
Cards shown
1.86 for · 1.43 against n 7
3.5standard
1.71 for · 2.43 against n 7
St. Truiden
St. Truiden — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Nelson Ishiwatari n 851.9
3.36/5
1.75/2
—
N. Mbuku n 843.3
2.34/2
2.96/3
—
Samed Baždar n 860.5
26/4
0.94/1
—
S. Taniguchi n 869.4
1.56/2
0.32/0
—
K. Matsuzawa n 843.9
1.54/2
1.33/1
—
St. Truiden — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Samed Baždar n 860.5
3.37/6
1.35/2
N. Mbuku n 843.3
3.15/3
1.35/0
I. Sebaoui n 888.5
2.58/6
0.64/1
Oumar Diouf n 824.4
2.34/1
0.92/0
Frederic Soelle Soelle n 862.3
1.86/3
0.94/1
St. Truiden — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Samed Baždar n 860.5
0.93/2
0.21/0
R. Merlen n 879.5
0.42/1
0.63/1
I. Sebaoui n 888.5
0.32/0
0.42/1
Frederic Soelle Soelle n 862.3
0.42/0
0.21/0
K. Matsuzawa n 843.9
0.31/0
0.31/0
St. Truiden — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Nelson Ishiwatari n 851.9
5.68/5
W. Janssens n 831.1
3.37/2
N. Mbuku n 843.3
2.65/3
V. Musliu n 881.1
2.57/6
K. Takai n 853.6
2.37/3
St. Truiden — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Kokubo n 884.4
3.14/4
KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Hammar n 884
2.47/4
1.36/2
—
S. Michez n 847.1
2.13/2
2.65/4
—
Marco Decherf n 842.5
2.15/2
0.31/0
—
M. Lohunanu-Mbasi n 738.7
24/2
3.36/3
—
K. Corbanie n 832.9
1.74/1
12/1
—
KV Mechelen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Adeshina Ayodele n 427.3
4.13/1
3.32/1
B. Antonio n 823.8
2.45/0
0.92/0
K. Van Rafelghem n 833.9
24/1
0.31/0
Marco Decherf n 842.5
1.63/2
0.83/0
B. Raman n 840.1
1.44/1
0.82/1
KV Mechelen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Marco Decherf n 842.5
0.31/0
0.52/0
Adeshina Ayodele n 427.3
0.81/0
00/0
M. van Brederode n 890
0.42/1
00/0
B. Bafdili n 831.3
00/0
0.41/0
B. Raman n 840.1
0.31/0
00/0
KV Mechelen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Hammar n 884
4.67/7
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne n 843.9
3.35/3
Dennis Praet n 873.5
2.98/7
D. Salifou n 853.4
2.76/3
S. Michez n 847.1
2.65/3
KV Mechelen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Nacho Mirás n 890
2.96/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind St. Truiden v KV Mechelen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
St. TruidenLLLWW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
KV MechelenLLDWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
St. Truiden 4 · 1 draw · KV Mechelen 1 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2026-10-11 KV Mechelen 4–3 St. Truiden
  • 2026-05-24 St. Truiden 3–0 KV Mechelen
  • 2026-04-26 KV Mechelen 1–4 St. Truiden
  • 2025-12-21 St. Truiden 1–0 KV Mechelen
  • 2025-10-04 KV Mechelen 1–3 St. Truiden
  • 2025-02-21 KV Mechelen 1–1 St. Truiden
League standing · 2026/27
St. Truiden#12 pos8 pts8 pl-1 GD
KV Mechelen#14 pos6 pts8 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
St. Truiden scored1.88
KV Mechelen scored1.13
St. Truiden conceded2
KV Mechelen conceded2.13

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between St. Truiden and KV Mechelen?
In their last 6 meetings, St. Truiden won 4, KV Mechelen won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of St. Truiden and KV Mechelen?
Recent form — St. Truiden 2W 0D 3L; KV Mechelen 2W 1D 2L.

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