Incheon United v Daejeon Citizen result
Team pages: Incheon United · Daejeon Citizen · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Incheon United 1–1 Daejeon Citizen — this K League 1 match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Incheon United and Daejeon Citizen drew 1–1 at Sungui Arena Park in the K League 1 on Sunday 20 September. Daejeon Citizen have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Incheon United led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Incheon United: Morgan Ferrier (35’); Daejeon Citizen: Kang Yun-Sung (90’, assisted by Lee Myung-Jae).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kang Yun-Sung’s goal on 90 minutes.
Discipline
The bookings — Daejeon Citizen: A. Krivotsyuk (32’) and Kang Yun-Sung (42’).
What it changes
Incheon United stay seventh after this result (29 league matches played).
Daejeon Citizen stay sixth after this result (30 league matches played).
Daejeon Citizen are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jae-min Seo (Incheon United) 7.6, Kang Yun-Sung (Daejeon Citizen) 6.2 and Lee Myung-Jae (Daejeon Citizen) 4.9 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Incheon United or Daejeon Citizen (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).
Next up
Incheon United next host Jeju United FC on 24 October 2026.
Daejeon Citizen next travel to Gimcheon Sangmu FC on 24 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Incheon United: Incheon United v Jeju United FC, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Daejeon Citizen: Gimcheon Sangmu FC v Daejeon Citizen, Saturday 24 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Incheon United 1–1 Daejeon Citizen · K League 1
- Venue: Sungui Arena Park · Incheon
- Referee: Hyun Jae Choi, South Korea
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Incheon United 2 · draws 1 · Daejeon Citizen 3 · 2.17 goals/game
- Recent form: Incheon United 1W 1D 3L · Daejeon Citizen 3W 1D 1L
Incheon United 1–1 Daejeon Citizen (K League 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 4 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Incheon United for / against | Line | Daejeon Citizen for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 2.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.33 for · 4 against n 3 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.2 for · 2.8 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Shots | 9.33 for · 13.33 against n 3 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15.2 for · 9.6 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 2 for · 4.67 against n 3 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.8 for · 3.4 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 8.67 for · 8 against n 3 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.2 for · 12.8 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 0.67 for · 0.67 against n 3 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.2 for · 1 against n 5 Last 5 |
Referee: Hyun Jae Choi, South Korea.
Incheon United
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seong-min Kim n 8 | 28.6 | 2.8 | 1.6 | — |
| Lee Min-Hyeok n 6 | 24.5 | 2.4 | 0.6 | — |
| Jeong Chi-In n 8 | 26.5 | 2.1 | 0 | — |
| Gerso Fernandes n 8 | 63.1 | 1.8 | 1.6 | — |
| Kim Myung-Sun n 8 | 80.9 | 1.7 | 0.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stefan Mugoša n 8 | 69.3 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| Morgan Ferrier n 8 | 60.3 | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| Dong-ryul Lee n 8 | 47.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Juan Ibiza n 8 | 90 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Ferrier n 8 | 60.3 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Stefan Mugoša n 8 | 69.3 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Dong-ryul Lee n 8 | 47.4 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Chung-yong Lee n 8 | 72.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Gerso Fernandes n 8 | 63.1 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Lee Min-Hyeok n 6 | 24.5 | 5.5 |
| Kim Myung-Sun n 8 | 80.9 | 3.2 |
| Ju-yong Lee n 8 | 84.4 | 2.5 |
| Jeong Chi-In n 8 | 26.5 | 2.5 |
| Seong-min Kim n 8 | 28.6 | 1.6 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Kim Dong-Heon n 8 | 90 | 3 |
Daejeon Citizen
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo de Oliveira n 8 | 41.4 | 3.8 | 1.9 | — |
| Victor Bobsin n 8 | 48.1 | 2.8 | 0.9 | — |
| Lee Soon-Min n 8 | 60.9 | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| Park Kyu-Hyun n 6 | 73.7 | 1.8 | 0.4 | — |
| Lee Hyun-Sik n 8 | 49.5 | 1.8 | 0.7 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kim Jun-Bum n 8 | 21.8 | 3.6 | 2.1 |
| M. Ishida n 8 | 58.1 | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| Diogo de Oliveira n 8 | 41.4 | 3.3 | 0.5 |
| Jeong Jae-Hee n 8 | 53 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| Yu Kang-Hyun n 8 | 40.3 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Bobsin n 8 | 48.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| M. Ishida n 8 | 58.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Jeong Jae-Hee n 8 | 53 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Diogo de Oliveira n 8 | 41.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Yu Kang-Hyun n 8 | 40.3 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Lee Hyun-Sik n 8 | 49.5 | 2.5 |
| Park Kyu-Hyun n 6 | 73.7 | 2.4 |
| Lee Soon-Min n 8 | 60.9 | 2.2 |
| Kang Yun-Sung n 8 | 79.1 | 2.1 |
| Victor Bobsin n 8 | 48.1 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Lee Chang-Geun n 8 | 90 | 1.9 |
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match statistics & details
| Incheon United | Daejeon Citizen | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% | Possession | 50% |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 5 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 2 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 10 | Shots inside the box | 10 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 515 | Passes | 515 |
Incheon United player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kim Dong-Heon | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 |
| Stefan Mugoša | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Ju-yong Lee | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Chung-yong Lee | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Kim Gun-Hee | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Juan Ibiza | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Jae-min Seo | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6.1 |
| Myung Joo Lee | 84 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Leandro Ribeiro | 84 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kim Myung-Sun | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Morgan Ferrier | 67 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Gerso Fernandes | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Jeong Chi-In | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Choi Seung-Gu | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Lee Min-Hyeok | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 |
| Kim Young-Whan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Daejeon Citizen player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Soon-Min | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Lee Myung-Jae | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| A. Krivotsyuk | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.6 |
| Kang Yun-Sung | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.7 |
| Ha Chang-Rae | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Lee Chang-Geun | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 |
| Victor Bobsin | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Joo Min-Kyu | 78 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.8 |
| Jeong Jae-Hee | 60 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Ishida | 60 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| Seo Jin-Su | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| G. Ludwigson | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| Kim Jun-Bum | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Um Won-Sang | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Diogo de Oliveira | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Lee Hyun-Sik | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Incheon United v Daejeon Citizen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-05 Daejeon Citizen 0–0 Incheon United
- 2026-03-18 Incheon United 1–3 Daejeon Citizen
- 2024-11-10 Incheon United 1–2 Daejeon Citizen
- 2024-08-17 Daejeon Citizen 2–1 Incheon United
- 2024-05-18 Daejeon Citizen 0–1 Incheon United
- 2024-03-30 Incheon United 2–0 Daejeon Citizen
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Incheon United v Daejeon Citizen?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Incheon United v Daejeon Citizen was Home or Away (best price 1.33 at Bet365).
- What is the head-to-head record between Incheon United and Daejeon Citizen?
- In their last 6 meetings, Incheon United won 2, Daejeon Citizen won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Incheon United and Daejeon Citizen?
- Recent form — Incheon United 1W 1D 3L; Daejeon Citizen 3W 1D 1L.
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