Athletic Club v Real Madrid prediction
Team pages: Athletic Club · Real Madrid · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Athletic Club v Real Madrid, La Liga on Sun, 06 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Athletic Club host Real Madrid in La Liga on Sunday 6 December (kick-off 16:00 UK).
The key numbers
Athletic Club have conceded six goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Real Madrid have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Athletic Club are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Real Madrid have won their last three matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Six of Athletic Club’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Athletic Club’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Athletic Club have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.00. Athletic Club have scored seven goals, the fourth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).
10 of Real Madrid’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of Real Madrid’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Real Madrid have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.57. Real Madrid have scored 23 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Real Madrid have conceded nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Athletic Club (11th) and Real Madrid (third) are 12 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Real Madrid the stronger side, 258 rating points above Athletic Club (Real Madrid 1825, Athletic Club 1567, after at least 350 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Real Madrid are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Athletic Club. The most recent meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Real Madrid 4–2 Athletic Club.
Team news
Predicted Athletic Club XI (4-2-3-1): U. Simón, A. Laporte, A. Paredes, J. Areso, Yuri, B. Gerenabarrena, R. Navarro, R. de Galarreta, P. Canales, Á. Berenguer, I. Williams — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Robert Navarro (3.4 per match over seven appearances, two goals) and Nico Williams (3.2 per match over six appearances, one goal) have been Athletic Club’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Athletic Club (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Robert Navarro averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 452 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances. Nico Williams averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 562 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Real Madrid XI (4-2-3-1): T. Courtois, I. Konaté, M. Cucurella, D. Huijsen, D. Dumfries, J. Bellingham, F. Valverde, V. Júnior, A. Güler, A. Tchouaméni, K. Mbappé — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kylian Mbappé (7.9 per match over 11 appearances, 11 goals and two assists) and Jude Bellingham (5.7 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and three assists) have been Real Madrid’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Real Madrid (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kylian Mbappé averages 4.3 shots per 90 over 1893 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Jude Bellingham averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 1885 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · La Liga
- Head-to-head (last 6): Athletic Club 1 · draws 0 · Real Madrid 5 · 2.83 goals/game
- Recent form: Athletic Club 2W 3D 0L · Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L
Athletic Club v Real Madrid (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Athletic Club for / against | Line | Real Madrid for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.88 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 2.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.63 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.25 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 16.25 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.75 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.75 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.25 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.38 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Athletic Club
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Serrano n 8 | 14.6 | 3.8 | 4.6 | — |
| Alejandro Rego n 8 | 55.3 | 2.9 | 0.8 | — |
| Gorka Guruzeta n 8 | 45.8 | 2.7 | 1 | — |
| Ruíz de Galarreta n 8 | 57.8 | 2.5 | 1.4 | — |
| Beñat Gerenabarrena n 8 | 69 | 2.3 | 1.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Williams n 8 | 55.1 | 2.7 | 0.6 |
| Gorka Guruzeta n 8 | 45.8 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| Oihan Sancet n 8 | 78.1 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| I. Williams n 8 | 62.5 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Nico Serrano n 8 | 14.6 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| I. Williams n 8 | 62.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Peio Canales n 8 | 66.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Nico Williams n 8 | 55.1 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Álex Berenguer n 8 | 51.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Oihan Sancet n 8 | 78.1 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Mikel Jauregizar n 8 | 51.6 | 3.5 |
| Nico Serrano n 8 | 14.6 | 3.1 |
| Beñat Gerenabarrena n 8 | 69 | 2.8 |
| A. Boiro n 8 | 43.6 | 2.8 |
| Alejandro Rego n 8 | 55.3 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Unai Simón n 8 | 84.4 | 2.3 |
Real Madrid
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernardo Silva n 8 | 22 | 2 | 2.6 | — |
| I. Konaté n 8 | 90 | 1.5 | 0.4 | — |
| Dean Huijsen n 8 | 85.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | — |
| Y. Diomande n 8 | 61 | 1.3 | 3 | — |
| Éder Militão n 8 | 46.1 | 1.2 | 1.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Espí n 8 | 18.5 | 6.1 | 3.6 |
| Kylian Mbappé n 8 | 85.3 | 3.2 | 2.4 |
| Vinícius Júnior n 8 | 60.3 | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| Endrick n 8 | 40.8 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| A. Güler n 8 | 72.3 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Espí n 8 | 18.5 | 2.4 | 0 |
| Kylian Mbappé n 8 | 85.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| Y. Diomande n 8 | 61 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| J. Bellingham n 8 | 75.4 | 0.1 | 0.7 |
| Brahim Díaz n 8 | 55.3 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Marc Cucurella n 8 | 82.9 | 3.3 |
| Eduardo Camavinga n 8 | 36.6 | 2.8 |
| Bernardo Silva n 8 | 22 | 2.6 |
| D. Dumfries n 8 | 64 | 2.3 |
| Y. Diomande n 8 | 61 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Thibaut Courtois n 8 | 90 | 4.4 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Athletic Club v Real Madrid — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-23 Real Madrid 4–2 Athletic Club
- 2025-12-03 Athletic Club 0–3 Real Madrid
- 2025-04-20 Real Madrid 1–0 Athletic Club
- 2024-12-04 Athletic Club 2–1 Real Madrid
- 2024-03-31 Real Madrid 2–0 Athletic Club
- 2023-08-12 Athletic Club 0–2 Real Madrid
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Athletic Club and Real Madrid?
- In their last 6 meetings, Athletic Club won 1, Real Madrid won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Athletic Club and Real Madrid?
- Recent form — Athletic Club 2W 3D 0L; Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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