Celta Vigo v Real Betis prediction

La Liga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Celta Vigo v Real Betis, La Liga on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 15:15 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4571 landed (95% range 76.1–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Celta Vigo host Real Betis in La Liga on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 15:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Celta Vigo or Real Betis (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Real Betis have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Five of Celta Vigo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in seven of Celta Vigo’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Celta Vigo have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.38. Celta Vigo have scored 10 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Celta Vigo have conceded seven goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs.

10 of Real Betis’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Real Betis’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Real Betis have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 2.00. Real Betis have scored 16 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Real Betis have conceded 14 goals, the 10th-most of the 20 clubs.

Celta Vigo (eighth) and Real Betis (fourth) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Real Betis the stronger side, 133 rating points above Celta Vigo (Real Betis 1707, Celta Vigo 1574, after at least 351 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Celta Vigo are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Real Betis. The most recent meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Real Betis 1–1 Celta Vigo.

Team news

Predicted Celta Vigo XI (3-4-3): I. Radu, Y. Lago, M. Alonso, Á. Núñez, I. Moriba, M. Román, J. Rueda, S. Carreira, F. Jutglà, W. Swedberg, P. Durán — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Carl Starfelt (3.6 per match over four appearances, one goal) and S. Cáceres (3.5 per match over three appearances) have been Celta Vigo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Celta Vigo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Carl Starfelt averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 528 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last nine appearances. S. Cáceres averages 1.2 tackles per 90 over 1696 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Real Betis XI (4-2-3-1): Á. Vallés, H. Bellerín, F. García, Natan, V. Gómez, P. Fornals, M. Roca, F. Bernal, Isco, N. Deossa, C. Hernández — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Abdessamad Ezzalzouli (4.6 per match over seven appearances, four goals) and Marc Bartra (4.6 per match over seven appearances, three goals) have been Real Betis’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Real Betis (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Abdessamad Ezzalzouli averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 692 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Marc Bartra averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 513 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · La Liga
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Celta Vigo 2 · draws 3 · Real Betis 1 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Celta Vigo 2W 1D 2L · Real Betis 3W 1D 1L

Celta Vigo v Real Betis (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 2.25
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
3.25 / 4.88
Corners
against 5.13 / 5.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 6.63
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 5.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.13 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCelta Vigo for / againstLineReal Betis for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.75our book
2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
11.75 for · 14.38 against n 8
19.5standard
16.5 for · 14 against n 8
Shots on target
3.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
6.63 for · 5.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.13 for · 12.88 against n 8
21.5standard
11.13 for · 12.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 3 against n 8
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Swedberg n 833.4
3.77/3
1.33/1
—
H. Burcio n 838.8
2.34/2
1.24/0
—
Javi Rueda n 863
26/3
1.14/2
—
Yoel Lago n 884.4
1.96/4
1.67/4
—
Ferran Jutglà n 865.1
1.98/3
2.16/3
—
Celta Vigo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Hugo González n 845
2.55/3
13/1
C. Driouech n 831.9
2.55/2
0.41/0
Ferran Jutglà n 865.1
1.95/5
0.73/1
Pablo Durán n 849.3
1.85/2
1.44/1
Iago Aspas n 832.5
1.75/0
0.72/0
Celta Vigo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Hugo González n 845
0.31/0
0.52/0
Hugo Álvarez n 860.8
0.21/0
0.41/1
Iago Aspas n 832.5
0.31/0
0.31/0
Pablo Durán n 849.3
0.51/1
00/0
Miguel Román n 883.6
0.11/0
0.32/0
Celta Vigo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Moriba n 876.8
2.97/5
H. Burcio n 838.8
2.66/2
Andrés Antañón n 746.4
2.54/2
W. Swedberg n 833.4
2.43/2
Marcos Alonso n 875.5
2.17/6
Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. Radu n 890
3.57/5
Real Betis
Real Betis — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Facundo Bernal n 836.6
2.52/2
0.62/0
—
Marc Roca n 877
2.26/4
0.93/2
—
Junior Firpo n 867.9
1.87/3
0.53/0
—
N. Deossa n 840.1
1.74/2
2.24/3
—
Ángel Ortiz n 850.6
1.65/2
1.12/2
—
Real Betis — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Antony n 867.3
3.76/6
1.85/3
N. Deossa n 840.1
3.17/3
1.43/2
A. Ezzalzouli n 869.8
2.47/4
1.37/1
Isco n 860.8
1.94/3
1.13/1
C. Hernández n 858.3
1.96/2
1.44/2
Real Betis — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Parrott n 861.3
0.73/1
0.21/0
A. Ezzalzouli n 869.8
0.64/0
0.21/0
Isco n 860.8
0.62/1
0.21/0
C. Hernández n 858.3
0.63/0
0.21/0
Marc Bartra n 868.1
0.52/1
00/0
Real Betis — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ángel Ortiz n 850.6
4.98/6
Fran García n 879.9
3.77/7
Dani Ceballos n 823.3
3.43/2
Facundo Bernal n 836.6
2.85/4
Marc Roca n 877
2.67/6
Real Betis — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Álvaro Vallés n 890
47/6

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Celta Vigo v Real Betis — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Celta VigoLWDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Real BetisWDWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Celta Vigo 2 · 3 draws · Real Betis 1 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-03-15 Real Betis 1–1 Celta Vigo
  • 2025-08-27 Celta Vigo 1–1 Real Betis
  • 2025-02-08 Celta Vigo 3–2 Real Betis
  • 2024-11-10 Real Betis 2–2 Celta Vigo
  • 2024-04-12 Real Betis 2–1 Celta Vigo
  • 2024-01-03 Celta Vigo 2–1 Real Betis
League standing · 2026/27
Celta Vigo#8 pos11 pts9 pl+3 GD
Real Betis#4 pos19 pts9 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Celta Vigo scored1.11
Real Betis scored1.78
Celta Vigo conceded0.78
Real Betis conceded1.56

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Celta Vigo v Real Betis?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Celta Vigo v Real Betis is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Celta Vigo and Real Betis?
In their last 6 meetings, Celta Vigo won 2, Real Betis won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Celta Vigo and Real Betis?
Recent form — Celta Vigo 2W 1D 2L; Real Betis 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →