Levante v Athletic Club prediction

La Liga · · Estadio Ciudad de Valencia

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Levante v Athletic Club, La Liga on Wed, 21 Oct 2026 19:00 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.75 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 643 landed (95% range 61.9–69.2%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Levante host Athletic Club in La Liga on Wednesday 21 October (kick-off 19:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Levante are winless in their last five matches.

Athletic Club are unbeaten in their last six matches.

Athletic Club are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Levante, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Nine of Levante’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Levante’s last 15 results (60%). At home, Levante have four wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 6 home matches — 2.17 points per game, scoring 2.83 and conceding 1.83. Levante have scored 12 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Levante have conceded 16 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Athletic Club have failed to score in their last three matches. Athletic Club have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches. Five of Athletic Club’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in six of Athletic Club’s last 15 results (40%). Away from home, Athletic Club have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.63. Athletic Club have scored seven goals, the fourth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Athletic Club have conceded six goals, the fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Levante (17th) and Athletic Club (ninth) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Athletic Club the stronger side, 48 rating points above Levante (Athletic Club 1567, Levante 1519, after at least 236 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 8 February 2026, finished Athletic Club 4–2 Levante.

Team news

Levante have three names on the availability list: A. Primo (out, Shoulder Injury), H. Sotelo (out, Knee Injury) and K. Etta Eyong (out, Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-18. Predicted Levante XI (4-4-2): M. Ryan, Dela, M. Sánchez, A. Mandi, N. Pérez, J. Olasagasti, O. Rey, E. Bardeli, Brugui, I. Romero, P. Ratkov — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Manu Sánchez (4.5 per match over eight appearances) and Brugui (4.4 per match over seven appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Levante’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Levante (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Manu Sánchez averages 4.4 tackles per 90 over 701 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances. Brugui averages 0.4 key passes per 90 over 624 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last seven appearances.

Athletic Club have three names on the availability list: D. Vivian (out, Hamstring Injury), P. Canales (out, Muscle Injury) and U. Egiluz (out, Knee Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-18. Predicted Athletic Club XI (4-2-3-1): U. Simón, A. Laporte, A. Paredes, J. Areso, Yuri, O. Sancet, B. Gerenabarrena, R. Navarro, R. de Galarreta, N. Williams, I. Williams — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Robert Navarro (3.4 per match over seven appearances, two goals) and Nico Williams (3.2 per match over six appearances, one goal) have been Athletic Club’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Athletic Club (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Robert Navarro averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 452 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances. Nico Williams averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 562 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

The referee

A. Quintero takes charge; across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition) the referee has shown 4.8 yellow cards a game and 0.38 reds.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · La Liga · Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
  • Referee: A. Quintero
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Levante 0 · draws 2 · Athletic Club 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Levante 0W 3D 2L · Athletic Club 1W 4D 0L

Levante v Athletic Club (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 0.88
Goals
against 2 / 0.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 5.5
Corners
against 5 / 4 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 3.75
Shots on target
against 5.63 / 3.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 2
Cards
against 2.38 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.77 yellows
Referee · A. Quintero
2.08 home / 2.69 away
over 13 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLevante for / againstLineAthletic Club for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 2 against n 8
2.5our book
0.88 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
3.5 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
11.88 for · 15.25 against n 8
19.5standard
13 for · 9.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 5.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3.75 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.88 for · 12.75 against n 8
21.5standard
10 for · 10.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: A. Quintero — 4.77 yellow cards a game, 0.38 red cards, 27.77 fouls over 13 matches (2.08 to the home side, 2.69 to the away side).

Levante
Levante — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Etta Eyong n 816.9
45/1
1.32/0
—
Reque n 862.4
3.85/5
1.65/2
—
Yanis Musuayi n 842.5
2.46/2
1.95/2
—
Paco Cortés n 832.6
1.72/1
1.74/1
—
Hugo Sotelo n 840.1
1.44/1
0.31/0
—
Levante — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Etta Eyong n 816.9
7.37/2
5.34/2
Carlos Álvarez n 838.3
2.66/2
1.53/1
Brugui n 880.5
2.47/5
0.83/2
Iván Romero n 869.9
2.47/5
1.45/3
K. Tunde n 825.8
2.24/1
0.92/0
Levante — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Etta Eyong n 816.9
0.71/0
0.71/0
Carlos Álvarez n 838.3
0.31/0
0.31/0
Brugui n 880.5
0.42/1
0.11/0
Iván Romero n 869.9
0.53/0
00/0
E. Bardeli n 865.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
Levante — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Manu Sánchez n 887.6
4.48/7
Jon Ander Olasagasti n 876.9
2.97/7
Reque n 862.4
2.75/4
K. Tunde n 825.8
2.63/2
Nacho Pérez n 854.9
2.36/3
Levante — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Ryan n 890
3.58/6
Athletic Club
Athletic Club — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Nico Serrano n 814.6
3.84/1
4.65/1
—
Alejandro Rego n 855.3
2.95/4
0.84/0
—
Gorka Guruzeta n 845.8
2.76/2
13/1
—
Ruíz de Galarreta n 857.8
2.55/5
1.44/2
—
Beñat Gerenabarrena n 869.1
2.35/4
1.66/3
—
Athletic Club — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Nico Williams n 855.1
2.77/5
0.63/0
Gorka Guruzeta n 845.8
2.54/4
0.52/0
Oihan Sancet n 878.1
2.38/5
0.95/1
I. Williams n 862.5
2.36/5
1.14/2
Nico Serrano n 814.6
2.33/0
1.52/0
Athletic Club — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Williams n 862.5
0.21/0
0.42/0
Peio Canales n 866.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Nico Williams n 855.1
0.42/0
00/0
Álex Berenguer n 851.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
Oihan Sancet n 878.1
0.32/0
00/0
Athletic Club — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Mikel Jauregizar n 851.5
3.57/4
Nico Serrano n 814.6
3.14/0
Beñat Gerenabarrena n 869.1
2.86/5
A. Boiro n 843.6
2.84/3
Hugo Rincón n 837.1
2.45/2
Athletic Club — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Unai Simón n 884.4
2.34/4

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Levante v Athletic Club — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LevanteDLLDD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Athletic ClubWDDDD
Last 5: 1W 4D 0L · 0.8 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Levante 0 · 2 draws · Athletic Club 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-02-08 Athletic Club 4–2 Levante
  • 2025-11-29 Levante 0–2 Athletic Club
  • 2022-03-07 Athletic Club 3–1 Levante
  • 2021-11-19 Levante 0–0 Athletic Club
  • 2021-03-04 Levante 1–2 Athletic Club
  • 2021-02-26 Levante 1–1 Athletic Club
League standing · 2026/27
Levante#17 pos7 pts8 pl-4 GD
Athletic Club#9 pos9 pts7 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Levante scored1.5
Athletic Club scored1
Levante conceded2
Athletic Club conceded0.86

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value vs the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Levante v Athletic Club?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Levante v Athletic Club is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.75 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Levante and Athletic Club?
In their last 6 meetings, Levante won 0, Athletic Club won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Levante and Athletic Club?
Recent form — Levante 0W 3D 2L; Athletic Club 1W 4D 0L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value vs the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →