Mallorca v Barcelona result

Full-time · Mallorca 0–3 Barcelona

La Liga · · Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Mallorca 0–3 Barcelona — Barcelona won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.7% of 641 landed (95% range 61.9–69.3%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 406 of 618 times (65.7%), against an average rating of 68.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Barcelona: 2.02 to 0.53 in expected goals, from 24 shots to 4, ahead on xG from the sixth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Barcelona won 3–0 at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix in La Liga on Saturday 16 August. Barcelona have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Barcelona led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Barcelona: Raphinha (7’, assisted by Lamine Yamal), Ferran Torres (23’) and Lamine Yamal (90’, assisted by Gavi). Manu Morlanes (33’) and Vedat Muriqi (39’) were sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Raphinha’s goal on 7 minutes.

Discipline

José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain showed five yellow cards and two reds — against 4.8 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Mallorca: Mateu Morey (9’), Manu Morlanes (24’), Manu Morlanes (33’) and Pablo Torre (42’); Barcelona: Raphinha (45+7’).

What it changes

Barcelona’s three-goal margin was the biggest of round 1, across 10 matches. Mallorca are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) 12.8, Eric García (Barcelona) 5.2 and Ferran Torres (Barcelona) 4.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Mallorca next travel to Leganes on 24 October 2026.

Barcelona next travel to Paris Saint-Germain on 20 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Mallorca: Leganes v Mallorca, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Barcelona: Paris Saint-Germain v Barcelona, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Mallorca 0–3 Barcelona · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix · Palma de Mallorca
  • Referee: José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Mallorca 0 · draws 1 · Barcelona 5 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Mallorca 1W 1D 3L · Barcelona 3W 0D 2L

Mallorca 0–3 Barcelona (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 2.75
Goals
against 0.88 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 7.5
Corners
against 10.13 / 3.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 7.63
Shots on target
against 6.88 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 2
Cards
against 1.13 / 2.71 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.8 yellows
Referee · José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain
2.8 home / 2 away
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 May 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 May 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMallorca for / againstLineBarcelona for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
2.75 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
2.5 for · 10.13 against n 8
9.5standard
7.5 for · 3.5 against n 8
Shots
7.88 for · 21.88 against n 8
19.5standard
19.88 for · 9.25 against n 8
Shots on target
1.75 for · 6.88 against n 8
8.5standard
7.63 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.63 for · 10.38 against n 8
21.5standard
13.63 for · 12.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.71 against n 8

Referee: José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain — 4.8 yellow cards a game, 0.6 red cards, 31.8 fouls over 5 matches (2.8 to the home side, 2 to the away side).

Mallorca
Mallorca — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Samú Costa n 885.6
2.98/5
2.48/6
—
Pablo Maffeo n 875.9
1.97/4
15/2
—
Cyle Larin n 858.4
1.96/3
1.35/2
—
Mateu Morey n 846.9
1.94/2
1.24/1
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
Toni Lato n 846.4
1.73/2
0.52/0
—
Mallorca — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Asano n 862.9
2.16/3
0.74/0
Marc Domenech n 829.4
1.94/1
0.82/0
V. Muriqi n 866.1
1.54/2
0.51/1
Darder n 887.9
1.26/3
0.43/0
Cyle Larin n 858.4
1.26/0
0.63/0
Mallorca — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Asano n 862.9
0.42/0
0.21/0
Darder n 887.9
0.32/0
0.32/0
Cyle Larin n 858.4
0.42/0
00/0
M. Valjent n 890
0.32/0
00/0
V. Muriqi n 866.1
0.21/0
00/0
Mallorca — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Salas n 411
6.13/0
Samú Costa n 885.6
3.38/8
Manu Morlanes n 847.3
3.15/4
Mateu Morey n 846.9
3.14/4
Copete n 886.3
2.68/6
Mallorca — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Leo Román n 890
5.57/6
D. Greif n 890
3.66/4
Barcelona
Barcelona — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Fermín n 852.8
2.85/4
1.54/1
—
Dani Olmo n 850.3
2.26/3
2.27/3
—
Gavi n 838.3
2.13/1
2.43/1
—
A. Christensen n 844
1.85/2
0.52/0
—
Pau Cubarsí Paredes n 883.9
1.77/4
0.11/0
Mateu Morey
Barcelona — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Lamine Yamal n 891.6
4.18/8
2.78/6
Raphinha n 888.6
3.38/6
1.56/4
Ansu Fati n 831.5
2.94/3
1.84/1
R. Lewandowski n 871.3
2.87/6
1.33/2
Ferran Torres n 870.4
2.47/4
0.85/0
Barcelona — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ferran Torres n 870.4
0.53/0
0.51/1
Fermín n 852.8
0.63/0
0.21/0
Lamine Yamal n 891.6
0.64/1
0.11/0
Eric García n 863.8
0.42/0
0.21/0
Dani Olmo n 850.3
0.42/0
0.21/0
Barcelona — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Gavi n 838.3
4.14/3
Eric García n 863.8
2.36/2
Gerard Martín n 862
2.25/3
F. de Jong n 871.8
1.95/4
Pedri n 874.4
1.75/4
Barcelona — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. ter Stegen n 884.4
3.16/4
W. Szczęsny n 897.5
2.85/4
Iñaki Peña n 890
1.96/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MallorcaBarcelona
29%Possession71%
0.21Expected goals (xG)2.13
4Shots24
1Shots on target8
2Shots off target9
1Blocked shots7
3Shots inside the box11
3Corners6
2Offsides3
8Fouls17
4Yellow cards1
2Red cards0
5Saves1
225Passes569
68%Pass accuracy89%

Mallorca player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Leo Román9000000006
M. Valjent9000000106.5
Raíllo9000100106.3
Antonio Sánchez9000100307.2
J. Mojica8900000306.3
Darder8300001006.3
Mateu Morey45000010Y6.2
T. Asano4500000006.2
Pablo Torre45000000Y6.3
V. Muriqi39001100R5.3
Manu Morlanes33000000RY5
Omar Mascarell sub4500001206.6
Dani Rodríguez sub4500000206.5
M. Joseph sub4500000007
J. Salas sub800000006.6
Toni Lato sub10000000–

Barcelona player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Joan García9000000007.7
Eric García9000113407.2
R. Araújo9000100006.9
F. de Jong9000001107.2
Pedri9000214208
Lamine Yamal9011733209.3
Raphinha77103120Y7.3
Pau Cubarsí Paredes6900000007.2
Ferran Torres6910111007.5
Alejandro Balde6800001207
Fermín4500000206.2
Dani Olmo sub4500210106.3
Jofre Torrents sub2200000106.5
Gavi sub2101002007.2
M. Rashford sub2100002006.5
J. Koundé sub1300000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Mallorca v Barcelona — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MallorcaLWLLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
BarcelonaLWWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Mallorca 0 · 1 draw · Barcelona 5 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-04-22 Barcelona 1–0 Mallorca
  • 2024-12-03 Mallorca 1–5 Barcelona
  • 2024-03-08 Barcelona 1–0 Mallorca
  • 2023-09-26 Mallorca 2–2 Barcelona
  • 2023-05-28 Barcelona 3–0 Mallorca
  • 2022-10-01 Mallorca 0–1 Barcelona
League standing · 2025/26
Mallorca#18 pos42 pts38 pl-10 GD
Barcelona#1 pos94 pts38 pl+59 GD
Goals per game
Mallorca scored1.24
Barcelona scored2.5
Mallorca conceded1.5
Barcelona conceded0.95

Shot map and expected goals

Mallorca 0.53 xG from 4 shots, Barcelona 2.02 from 24. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Vedat Muriqi 20' · 0.46 xGFerrán Torres 49' · 0.14 xGDani Olmo 68' · 0.14 xGPedri 57' · 0.12 xGDani Olmo 57' · 0.12 xGRaphinha 58' · 0.08 xGDani Olmo 79' · 0.07 xGFerrán Torres 45' · 0.07 xGLamine Yamal 34' · 0.07 xGRaphinha 70' · 0.07 xGLamine Yamal 48' · 0.06 xGLamine Yamal 50' · 0.05 xGDani Olmo 57' · 0.05 xGLamine Yamal 46' · 0.04 xGPedri 83' · 0.04 xGLamine Yamal 87' · 0.04 xGRonald Araújo 84' · 0.04 xGAntonio Sánchez 49' · 0.04 xGLamine Yamal 88' · 0.04 xGDani Olmo 79' · 0.03 xGLamine Yamal 69' · 0.03 xGLamine Yamal 22' · 0.03 xGDani Rodríguez 81' · 0.02 xGEric Garcia 70' · 0.02 xGRaíllo 56' · 0.01 xGRaphinha 6' · 0.50 xG · goalLamine Yamal 93' · 0.08 xG · goalFerrán Torres 22' · 0.06 xG · goal
Mallorca (attacking right)Barcelona (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Mallorca400.53
Barcelona2432.02

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Mallorca v Barcelona?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Mallorca v Barcelona was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Mallorca and Barcelona?
In their last 6 meetings, Mallorca won 0, Barcelona won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Mallorca and Barcelona?
Recent form — Mallorca 1W 1D 3L; Barcelona 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →