Leganes v Mallorca prediction
Team pages: Leganes · Mallorca · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Leganes vs Mallorca, Segunda División on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 15:15 BST.
The match
Leganes host Mallorca in Segunda División on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 15:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Leganes or Mallorca (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Leganes have lost their last four matches. Leganes have failed to score in their last four matches.
Mallorca are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Leganes.
Form and the table
Six of Leganes’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in four of Leganes’s last 15 results (27%). At home, Leganes have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.00. Leganes have scored six goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far). Leganes have conceded 15 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 22 clubs.
Mallorca are unbeaten in their last three matches. Four of Mallorca’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in four of Mallorca’s last 15 results (27%). Away from home, Mallorca have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.13 points per game, scoring 0.50 and conceding 1.00. Mallorca have scored 12 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far). Mallorca have conceded five goals, the second-fewest of the 22 clubs.
Leganes (17th) and Mallorca (fifth) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Mallorca the stronger side, 347 rating points above Leganes (Mallorca 1718, Leganes 1370, after at least 96 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 19 April 2025, finished Mallorca 0–0 Leganes.
Team news
Predicted Leganes XI (3-4-2-1): L. Zidane, L. Aguilar, Marvel, I. Miquel, Y. Kechta, M. Atienza, Z. Buurmeester, D. Rodríguez, N. García, Á. Sancris, Á. Morata — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ismaël Gharbi (4.5 per match over nine appearances, two goals and one assist) and L. Zidane (4.1 per match over nine appearances) have been Leganes’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Leganes (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ismaël Gharbi averages 1.7 shots per 90 over 956 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. L. Zidane averages 3.5 saves per 90 over 1238 minutes, with two or more saves in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Mallorca XI (4-4-2): A. Tenas, Raíllo, M. Valjent, J. Nwankwo, A. Souhmahoro, Á. Sala, M. Morlanes, A. Liso, Darder, Fuentes, A. Buksa — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Arnau Tenas (3.7 per match over 10 appearances, one assist) and Fuentes (3.7 per match over 10 appearances, six goals and one assist) have been Mallorca’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Mallorca (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Arnau Tenas averages 2.9 saves per 90 over 900 minutes, with two or more saves in seven of the last 10 appearances. Fuentes averages 2.2 shots per 90 over 831 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Segunda División · Estadio Municipal de Butarque
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Leganes 1 · draws 2 · Mallorca 3 · 1 goals/game
- Recent form: Leganes 1W 0D 4L · Mallorca 2W 2D 1L
TACTIX runs Leganes v Mallorca (Segunda División) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Leganes for / against | Line | Mallorca for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.5 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 1.25 for · 0.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.63 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.5 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.88 for · 16.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.25 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.5 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.13 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 16.75 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14.63 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 3 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
Leganes
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Álvaro Morata n 8 | 55.5 | 4.1 | 1.6 | — |
| Y. Kechta n 8 | 80.3 | 3.1 | 1 | — |
| Dani Rodríguez n 8 | 38.4 | 2.9 | 3.2 | — |
| Álex Millán n 8 | 24.8 | 2.7 | 2.3 | — |
| Álvaro Tejero n 8 | 56.9 | 2 | 2.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Álex Millán n 8 | 24.8 | 3.6 | 2.3 |
| P. Soko n 8 | 49.3 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| Sule n 6 | 21.8 | 2.1 | 0 |
| Naim García n 8 | 82.6 | 2 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sule n 6 | 21.8 | 0 | 1.4 |
| Álex Millán n 8 | 24.8 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Ismaël Gharbi n 8 | 79.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| U. del Cura n 8 | 62.1 | 0.4 | 0 |
| P. Soko n 8 | 49.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Rubén Peña n 8 | 44.4 | 3 |
| Enric Franquesa n 8 | 64.9 | 2.8 |
| Marvel n 8 | 80.6 | 2.7 |
| Y. Kechta n 8 | 80.3 | 2.4 |
| Álex Sancris n 8 | 46.4 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Zidane n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
Mallorca
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guille Fernández n 4 | 15.5 | 5.8 | 1.5 | — |
| John Nwankwo n 8 | 54.8 | 2.5 | 0.6 | — |
| Manu Morlanes n 8 | 81 | 2.2 | 0.4 | — |
| Fuentes n 8 | 84 | 2.1 | 1.5 | — |
| Toni Lato n 8 | 62.1 | 2 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Álex Sala n 8 | 82.9 | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| Fuentes n 8 | 84 | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| Antoniu Roca n 8 | 37 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| Zito Luvumbo n 8 | 60.4 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Pablo Torre n 8 | 63.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fuentes n 8 | 84 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| Josep Cerdà n 8 | 48.1 | 0 | 0.5 |
| A. Buksa n 8 | 23.4 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Álex Sala n 8 | 82.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Pablo Torre n 8 | 63.1 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| John Nwankwo n 8 | 54.8 | 3.3 |
| Antoniu Roca n 8 | 37 | 3.3 |
| Manu Morlanes n 8 | 81 | 3.2 |
| Toni Lato n 8 | 62.1 | 2.9 |
| Guille Fernández n 4 | 15.5 | 2.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Arnau Tenas n 8 | 90 | 2.9 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Leganes v Mallorca — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-04-19 Mallorca 0–0 Leganes
- 2024-08-31 Leganes 0–1 Mallorca
- 2021-04-01 Mallorca 1–0 Leganes
- 2020-12-12 Leganes 0–1 Mallorca
- 2020-06-19 Mallorca 1–1 Leganes
- 2019-10-26 Leganes 1–0 Mallorca
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Leganes vs Mallorca?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Leganes v Mallorca is Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Leganes and Mallorca?
- In their last 6 meetings, Leganes won 1, Mallorca won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Leganes and Mallorca?
- Recent form — Leganes 1W 0D 4L; Mallorca 2W 2D 1L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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