Real Madrid v Barcelona result

Full-time · Real Madrid 2–1 Barcelona

La Liga · · Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Updated · refreshed continuously

Real Madrid 2–1 Barcelona — Real Madrid won this La Liga match.

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Real Madrid: 3.41 to 1.12 in expected goals, from 23 shots to 15, ahead on xG from the 21st minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Real Madrid beat Barcelona 2–1 at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in La Liga on Sunday 26 October. Real Madrid have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions. Barcelona have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Real Madrid led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Real Madrid: Kylian Mbappé (22’, assisted by Jude Bellingham) and Jude Bellingham (43’, assisted by Éder Militão); Barcelona: Fermín (38’, assisted by Marcus Rashford). Andriy Lunin (-5’) and Pedri (90’) were sent off.

Discipline

César Soto Grado, Spain showed 10 yellow cards and two reds — against 5.3 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Real Madrid: Vinícius Júnior (-5’), F. Valverde (23’), Dean Huijsen (57’), Rodrygo (90+11’) and Éder Militão (90+11’); Barcelona: Ferran Torres (-5’), Alejandro Balde (-5’), Pedri (42’), Fermín (90+9’) and Pedri (90+10’).

What it changes

Real Madrid stay first after this result (10 league matches played).

Barcelona move down from first to second (10 league matches played).

It is Real Madrid’s first win over Barcelona since 21 April 2024, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds). Real Madrid have won their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) 10.2, Wojciech Szczęsny (Barcelona) 8.7 and F. de Jong (Barcelona) 7.4 led the match.

Next up

Real Madrid next travel to Barcelona on 25 October 2026.

Barcelona next host Real Madrid on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Real Madrid: Barcelona v Real Madrid, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Real Madrid 2–1 Barcelona · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu · Madrid
  • Referee: César Soto Grado, Spain
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Real Madrid 2 · draws 0 · Barcelona 4 · 5.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L · Barcelona 3W 0D 2L

Real Madrid 2–1 Barcelona (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.5 / 2.5
Goals
against 1 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.25 / 7
Corners
against 3.25 / 4.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
8.88 / 7.63
Shots on target
against 3.25 / 3.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 2.38
Cards
against 2.63 / 3.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.33 yellows
Referee · César Soto Grado, Spain
2.44 home / 2.89 away
over 9 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 October 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 October 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameReal Madrid for / againstLineBarcelona for / against
Goals scored
2.5 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
2.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
6.25 for · 3.25 against n 8
9.5standard
7 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
21.38 for · 10.88 against n 8
19.5standard
18.63 for · 9 against n 8
Shots on target
8.88 for · 3.25 against n 8
8.5standard
7.63 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.13 for · 16.63 against n 8
21.5standard
8.88 for · 12.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 3.13 against n 8

Referee: César Soto Grado, Spain — 5.33 yellow cards a game, 0.44 red cards, 22.56 fouls over 9 matches (2.44 to the home side, 2.89 to the away side).

Real Madrid
Real Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Franco Mastantuono n 856.8
2.87/5
3.47/6
—
Eduardo Camavinga n 831.4
1.83/1
3.65/3
Fermín
A. Güler n 866.1
1.46/2
2.68/3
Fermín
Brahim Díaz n 841.4
1.43/1
34/3
—
Raúl Asencio n 860.9
1.35/2
1.34/2
—
Real Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Kylian Mbappé n 886
4.88/7
3.18/7
Franco Mastantuono n 856.8
36/4
1.24/1
Vinícius Júnior n 874.4
2.76/6
1.54/2
Rodrygo n 835.1
2.64/2
1.63/1
J. Bellingham n 845.8
25/3
1.54/2
Real Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Kylian Mbappé n 886
1.37/2
0.32/0
A. Güler n 866.1
0.32/0
15/1
Vinícius Júnior n 874.4
0.63/1
0.53/0
Rodrygo n 835.1
0.61/1
0.31/0
Gonzalo García n 815.9
00/0
0.71/0
Real Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Eduardo Camavinga n 831.4
3.95/3
Dani Ceballos n 844.5
3.86/4
J. Bellingham n 845.8
3.47/3
Fran García n 871.8
2.86/5
Trent Alexander-Arnold n 850.4
2.55/3
Real Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Thibaut Courtois n 890
1.83/2
Barcelona
Barcelona — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Fermín n 863.4
2.77/5
0.71/1
A. Güler
Eric García n 864
1.65/3
0.93/2
—
Marc Bernal n 739.3
1.63/2
12/1
—
Marc Casadó n 844.5
1.34/1
1.54/1
—
R. Araújo n 855
1.24/2
0.21/0
—
Barcelona — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Lamine Yamal n 879.5
3.57/7
1.66/4
R. Lewandowski n 861.9
3.37/6
1.86/3
Fermín n 863.4
3.26/4
1.83/3
M. Rashford n 871.6
36/5
1.75/5
Raphinha n 863.1
2.98/4
1.15/1
Barcelona — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Lamine Yamal n 879.5
0.43/0
0.75/0
Fermín n 863.4
0.92/2
0.21/0
M. Rashford n 871.6
0.52/1
0.53/0
R. Lewandowski n 861.9
0.94/1
00/0
Raphinha n 863.1
0.41/1
0.42/0
Barcelona — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Marc Bernal n 739.3
2.94/2
Pau Cubarsí Paredes n 887.4
2.78/6
Eric García n 864
2.37/4
Fermín n 863.4
2.37/3
Marc Casadó n 844.5
2.34/2
Barcelona — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Joan García n 890
2.96/4
W. Szczęsny n 893.8
24/3

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Real MadridBarcelona
32%Possession68%
3.63Expected goals (xG)1.03
23Shots15
10Shots on target6
6Shots off target5
7Blocked shots4
17Shots inside the box6
12Corners4
5Offsides2
12Fouls9
5Yellow cards5
1Red cards1
4Saves9
275Passes640
81%Pass accuracy90%

Real Madrid player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Thibaut Courtois9000000007.2
Éder Militão90012014Y8.3
Dean Huijsen90001102Y7.2
Álvaro Fernández9000001206.5
A. Tchouaméni9000103207.7
Eduardo Camavinga9000002307.3
J. Bellingham8911331307.2
Kylian Mbappé8910434007.2
F. Valverde72001013Y6.7
Vinícius Júnior72002111Y7.2
A. Güler6600002306.6
Brahim Díaz sub2400000006.5
Dani Carvajal sub1800000106.9
Rodrygo sub18002200Y6.3
Gonzalo García sub1100000006.7
Dani Ceballos sub1000001006.2

Barcelona player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
W. Szczęsny9000000009.7
J. Koundé9000101305.9
F. de Jong9000001606.9
Pedri90000037RY6.6
Lamine Yamal9000202106.9
Fermín90104400Y7.3
M. Rashford9001004006.9
Alejandro Balde89000012Y6.2
Pau Cubarsí Paredes8300101006.2
Eric García7400001106.3
Ferran Torres74002210Y6
R. Bardghji sub1800000006.5
R. Araújo sub1600100007
Marc Casadó sub1600000006.7
Gerard Martín sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Real Madrid v Barcelona — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Real MadridLWWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
BarcelonaWLLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Real Madrid 2 · 0 draws · Barcelona 4 · 5.5 goals/game
  • 2025-05-11 Barcelona 4–3 Real Madrid
  • 2025-04-26 Barcelona 3–2 Real Madrid
  • 2025-01-12 Real Madrid 2–5 Barcelona
  • 2024-10-26 Real Madrid 0–4 Barcelona
  • 2024-04-21 Real Madrid 3–2 Barcelona
  • 2024-01-14 Real Madrid 4–1 Barcelona
League standing · 2025/26
Real Madrid#2 pos86 pts38 pl+42 GD
Barcelona#1 pos94 pts38 pl+59 GD
Goals per game
Real Madrid scored2.03
Barcelona scored2.5
Real Madrid conceded0.92
Barcelona conceded0.95

Shot map and expected goals

Real Madrid 3.41 xG from 23 shots, Barcelona 1.12 from 15. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Kylian Mbappe-Lottin 51' · 0.74 xGDean Huijsen 29' · 0.28 xGVinícius Júnior 51' · 0.15 xGJude Bellingham 45' · 0.15 xGAurelien Tchouameni 79' · 0.12 xGJules Koundé 70' · 0.12 xGVinícius Júnior 34' · 0.12 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 79' · 0.09 xGRodrygo 94' · 0.08 xGFerrán Torres 33' · 0.08 xGJude Bellingham 36' · 0.08 xGEder Militão 51' · 0.07 xGFermín López 40' · 0.07 xGRodrygo 97' · 0.07 xGJude Bellingham 66' · 0.06 xGAurelien Tchouameni 47' · 0.06 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 87' · 0.06 xGEder Militão 39' · 0.06 xGFermín López 46' · 0.06 xGMarcus Rashford 0' · 0.05 xGFermín López 52' · 0.05 xGMarc Casadó 94' · 0.05 xGFerrán Torres 49' · 0.04 xGJude Bellingham 24' · 0.04 xGVinícius Júnior 65' · 0.04 xGArda Güler 31' · 0.04 xGEric Garcia 62' · 0.03 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 28' · 0.03 xGLamine Yamal 8' · 0.03 xGMarcus Rashford 54' · 0.02 xGLamine Yamal 63' · 0.02 xGFederico Valverde 25' · 0.02 xGPau Cubarsí 19' · 0.02 xGAurelien Tchouameni 66' · 0.02 xGRonald Araújo 82' · 0.01 xGJude Bellingham 42' · 0.66 xG · goalFermín López 37' · 0.48 xG · goalKylian Mbappe-Lottin 21' · 0.38 xG · goal
Real Madrid (attacking right)Barcelona (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Real Madrid2323.41
Barcelona1511.12

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Real Madrid and Barcelona?
In their last 6 meetings, Real Madrid won 2, Barcelona won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 5.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Real Madrid and Barcelona?
Recent form — Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L; Barcelona 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →