Real Madrid v Mallorca result

Full-time · Real Madrid 2–1 Mallorca

La Liga · Sat, 30 Aug 2025 20:30 BST · Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Real Madrid · Mallorca · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Real Madrid 2–1 Mallorca — Real Madrid won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick

Home win

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.1% of 215 landed (95% range 72.1–83.1%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 141 of 207 times (68.1%), against an average rating of 68.3%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Real Madrid: 1.84 to 0.55 in expected goals, from 17 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the 36th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Real Madrid beat Mallorca 2–1 at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in La Liga on Saturday 30 August.

The goals

Real Madrid led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Mallorca: Vedat Muriqi (18’, assisted by Pablo Torre); Real Madrid: Arda Güler (37’, assisted by Dean Huijsen) and Vinícius Júnior (38’, assisted by F. Valverde).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Arda Güler’s goal on 37 minutes.

Discipline

José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain showed two yellow cards — against 5.4 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Real Madrid: Dean Huijsen (67’) and Éder Militão (89’).

What it changes

Real Madrid have won their last three matches in all competitions. Mallorca are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid) 7.0, Vedat Muriqi (Mallorca) 7.0 and F. Valverde (Real Madrid) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Real Madrid to win, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Real Madrid next host RB Leipzig on 21 October 2026.

Mallorca next travel to Leganes on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Real Madrid: Real Madrid v RB Leipzig, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Mallorca: Leganes v Mallorca, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Real Madrid 2–1 Mallorca · La Liga
Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu · Madrid
Referee: José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Real Madrid 4 · draws 1 · Mallorca 1 · 1.83 goals/game
Recent form: Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L · Mallorca 0W 2D 3L

Real Madrid 2–1 Mallorca (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 0.63

Goals

against 1 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.33 / 2.5

Corners

against 3.33 / 9.88 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 6 matches

5.33 / 1.88

Shots on target

against 4.83 / 7.5 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 6 matches

1.17 / 2.63

Cards

against 1.17 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 6 matches

5.43 yellows

Referee · José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain

2.14 home / 3.29 away

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Real Madrid for / against	Line	Mallorca for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.33 for · 3.33 against n 6 Last 5	9.5standard	2.5 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15 for · 12.33 against n 6 Last 5	19.5standard	7.63 for · 22.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.33 for · 4.83 against n 6 Last 5	8.5standard	1.88 for · 7.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	8 for · 10.5 against n 6 Last 5	21.5standard	12.5 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.17 for · 1.17 against n 6 Last 5	3.5standard	2.63 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain — 5.43 yellow cards a game, 0.57 red cards, 30.43 fouls over 7 matches (2.14 to the home side, 3.29 to the away side).

Home 2.14Away 3.29

Real Madrid

Real Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Raúl Asencio n 8	55.1	1.8 6/3	0.4 2/0	—
Brahim Díaz n 8	37.3	1.8 5/1	2.1 5/1	—
Éder Militão n 8	65.8	1.7 5/2	1 4/2	Mateu Morey
J. Bellingham n 8	78.4	1.4 6/3	0.9 5/1	—
Jacobo Ramón Naveros n 8	73.9	1.2 4/3	0.8 3/1	—

Real Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Kylian Mbappé n 8	73.5	4.1 7/7	2.9 7/6
Franco Mastantuono n 8	75.6	2.8 8/4	1.3 7/2
F. Valverde n 8	87.9	2.4 7/5	1.4 6/3
Gonzalo García n 8	59.8	1.9 5/3	1.5 5/1
Vinícius Júnior n 8	70.1	1.6 6/3	1 4/2

Real Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Kylian Mbappé n 8	73.5	1.2 6/2	0.3 2/0
Gonzalo García n 8	59.8	0.8 4/0	0.2 1/0
A. Güler n 8	73.3	0.2 1/0	0.5 2/1
Vinícius Júnior n 8	70.1	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
Brahim Díaz n 8	37.3	0 0/0	0.6 2/0

Real Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Fran García n 8	88.4	3.2 8/7
Dani Carvajal n 8	68.3	3 6/5
Jacobo Ramón Naveros n 8	73.9	2.9 7/7
Lucas Vázquez n 8	55.3	2.6 6/2
Dani Ceballos n 8	23	2.4 3/2

Real Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Thibaut Courtois n 8	90	3.1 6/5

Mallorca

Mallorca — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Samú Costa n 8	85.6	2.9 8/5	2.4 8/6	—
Pablo Maffeo n 8	75.9	1.9 7/4	1 5/2	—
Cyle Larin n 8	58.4	1.9 6/3	1.3 5/2	—
Mateu Morey n 8	60.9	1.7 5/2	1.1 5/1	Éder Militão
Pablo Torre n 8	32.8	1.7 3/2	2.1 5/1	—

Mallorca — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Marc Domenech n 8	26.6	2.1 4/1	0.4 1/0
T. Asano n 8	60.5	2 5/3	0.6 3/0
V. Muriqi n 8	60.4	1.7 4/2	0.7 2/1
Pablo Torre n 8	32.8	1.7 4/1	0.7 2/0
M. Joseph n 8	23.5	1.4 2/1	0.5 1/0

Mallorca — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Asano n 8	60.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Cyle Larin n 8	58.4	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
Darder n 8	87	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Omar Mascarell n 8	63.1	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Mateu Morey n 8	60.9	0.2 1/0	0 0/0

Mallorca — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Salas n 6	10.2	4.4 3/0
Samú Costa n 8	85.6	3.3 8/8
Manu Morlanes n 8	42.3	2.9 4/3
Mateu Morey n 8	60.9	2.6 5/4
Toni Lato n 8	35.3	2.6 4/3

Mallorca — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Leo Román n 8	90	4.9 6/5
D. Greif n 8	90	3.6 6/4

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Real Madrid		Mallorca
58%	Possession	42%
1.82	Expected goals (xG)	0.72
17	Shots	9
7	Shots on target	5
6	Shots off target	2
4	Blocked shots	2
7	Shots inside the box	8
4	Corners	5
3	Offsides	1
12	Fouls	7
2	Yellow cards	0
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	5
538	Passes	382
89%	Pass accuracy	79%

Real Madrid player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Thibaut Courtois	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Éder Militão	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	7.2
Dean Huijsen	90	0	1	0	0	1	0	Y	8
Álvaro Fernández	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	7.3
F. Valverde	90	0	1	0	0	3	1	0	7.5
A. Tchouaméni	90	0	0	2	1	0	3	0	7.2
Kylian Mbappé	89	0	0	2	0	7	0	0	6.6
Trent Alexander-Arnold	72	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	7.7
A. Güler	72	1	0	2	2	0	0	0	7.5
Vinícius Júnior	72	1	0	2	2	2	1	0	8.3
Franco Mastantuono	66	0	0	3	1	0	1	0	6.5
Brahim Díaz sub	24	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.7
Dani Carvajal sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
Dani Ceballos sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
Rodrygo sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Gonzalo García sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Mallorca player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
Leo Román	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
M. Valjent	90	0	0	1	1	0	4	6.9
Raíllo	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	7
Marash Kumbulla	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.5
Darder	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	7
V. Muriqi	90	1	0	2	2	0	1	7.3
Manu Morlanes	87	0	0	1	0	0	2	6.9
M. Joseph	87	0	0	1	1	0	0	5.3
Mateu Morey	78	0	0	0	0	0	2	6
Toni Lato	78	0	0	0	0	1	2	6.2
Pablo Torre	64	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.9
Samú Costa sub	26	0	0	1	1	0	2	6.9
J. Mojica sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Antonio Sánchez sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Jan Virgili sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
T. Asano sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Real Madrid v Mallorca — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Real MadridWWLWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

MallorcaLLDLD

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Real Madrid 4 · 1 draw · Mallorca 1 · 1.83 goals/game

2025-05-14 Real Madrid 2–1 Mallorca
2025-01-09 Real Madrid 3–0 Mallorca
2024-08-18 Mallorca 1–1 Real Madrid
2024-04-13 Mallorca 0–1 Real Madrid
2024-01-03 Real Madrid 1–0 Mallorca
2023-02-05 Mallorca 1–0 Real Madrid

League standing · 2025/26

Real Madrid#2 pos86 pts38 pl+42 GD

Mallorca#18 pos42 pts38 pl-10 GD

Goals per game

Real Madrid scored2.03

Mallorca scored1.24

Real Madrid conceded0.92

Mallorca conceded1.5

Shot map and expected goals

Real Madrid 1.84 xG from 17 shots, Mallorca 0.55 from 9. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Real Madrid (attacking right)Mallorca (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Real Madrid	17	2	1.84
Mallorca	9	1	0.55

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Real Madrid v Mallorca?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Real Madrid v Mallorca was Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Real Madrid and Mallorca?: In their last 6 meetings, Real Madrid won 4, Mallorca won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Real Madrid and Mallorca?: Recent form — Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L; Mallorca 0W 2D 3L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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