Real Madrid v Rayo Vallecano result
Team pages: Real Madrid · Rayo Vallecano · Head-to-head
Real Madrid 2–1 Rayo Vallecano — Real Madrid won this La Liga match.
The result
Real Madrid beat Rayo Vallecano 2–1 at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in La Liga on Sunday 9 March. Real Madrid have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Real Madrid led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Real Madrid: Kylian Mbappé (30’) and Vinícius Júnior (34’, assisted by Luka Modrić); Rayo Vallecano: Pedro Díaz (45’, assisted by Álvaro García).
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Real Madrid 1.60, Rayo Vallecano 1.02, from 10 shots to 20 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
The bookings — Real Madrid: Vinícius Júnior (79’), Aurélien Tchouaméni (85’) and Luka Modrić (90+2’); Rayo Vallecano: Gumbau (63’).
What it changes
It is Real Madrid’s first win over Rayo Vallecano since 24 May 2023, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds). Rayo Vallecano are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Luka Modrić (Real Madrid) 8.8, Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) 7.8 and Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid) 6.9 led the match.
Next up
Real Madrid next host RB Leipzig on 21 October 2026.
Rayo Vallecano next travel to Getafe on 19 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Real Madrid: Real Madrid v RB Leipzig, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Rayo Vallecano: Getafe v Rayo Vallecano, Monday 19 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Real Madrid 2–1 Rayo Vallecano · La Liga
- Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu · Madrid
- Referee: Francisco Hernández
- Head-to-head (last 6): Real Madrid 2 · draws 3 · Rayo Vallecano 1 · 2.83 goals/game
- Recent form: Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L · Rayo Vallecano 2W 1D 2L
Real Madrid 2–1 Rayo Vallecano (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 May 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 March 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Real Madrid for / against | Line | Rayo Vallecano for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.88 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.88 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.5 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 16.63 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14.38 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6.25 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.88 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 8.5 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
Real Madrid
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Güler n 8 | 39.5 | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| Lucas Vázquez n 8 | 72.1 | 1.6 | 1.6 | — |
| Endrick n 8 | 21.9 | 1.5 | 2.6 | — |
| Brahim Díaz n 8 | 40.8 | 1.4 | 1.9 | — |
| J. Bellingham n 8 | 83.4 | 1.2 | 1.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Endrick n 8 | 21.9 | 4.1 | 2.1 |
| Kylian Mbappé n 8 | 86.5 | 3.4 | 2.7 |
| Vinícius Júnior n 8 | 89 | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| J. Bellingham n 8 | 83.4 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Rodrygo n 8 | 70.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Endrick n 8 | 21.9 | 1 | 0 |
| Kylian Mbappé n 8 | 86.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| Brahim Díaz n 8 | 40.8 | 0.8 | 0 |
| J. Bellingham n 8 | 83.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| A. Güler n 8 | 39.5 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Camavinga n 8 | 50 | 4.3 |
| Dani Ceballos n 8 | 57.1 | 3.2 |
| Lucas Vázquez n 8 | 72.1 | 2.2 |
| J. Bellingham n 8 | 83.4 | 1.9 |
| Fran García n 8 | 60 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Lunin n 8 | 95.1 | 2.6 |
| Thibaut Courtois n 8 | 90 | 1.6 |
Rayo Vallecano
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Nteka n 8 | 40.8 | 3.9 | 1.7 | — |
| Isi Palazón n 8 | 67.3 | 2.8 | 1.8 | — |
| Óscar Valentín n 8 | 42.1 | 2.4 | 0.8 | — |
| P. Ciss n 8 | 75.3 | 2.2 | 1.2 | — |
| Sergi Guardiola n 8 | 30.3 | 2.2 | 1.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sergi Guardiola n 8 | 30.3 | 4.1 | 1.1 |
| Jorge de Frutos n 8 | 73.6 | 2 | 0.8 |
| Sergio Camello n 8 | 45.6 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Álvaro García n 8 | 72 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| R. Nteka n 8 | 40.8 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Álvaro García n 8 | 72 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Sergio Camello n 8 | 45.6 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| R. Nteka n 8 | 40.8 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Jorge de Frutos n 8 | 73.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Ó. Trejo n 8 | 31.5 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Espino n 8 | 70.6 | 4.1 |
| P. Ciss n 8 | 75.3 | 3.1 |
| Óscar Valentín n 8 | 42.1 | 2.9 |
| Pedro Díaz n 8 | 54.4 | 2.5 |
| A. Mumin n 8 | 83.1 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Batalla n 8 | 90 | 3.2 |
| Dani Cárdenas n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
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Match statistics & details
| Real Madrid | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| 46% | Possession | 54% |
| 1.60 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.02 |
| 10 | Shots | 20 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 3 | Shots off target | 8 |
| 2 | Blocked shots | 6 |
| 9 | Shots inside the box | 12 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 5 | Saves | 3 |
| 465 | Passes | 544 |
| 88% | Pass accuracy | 90% |
Real Madrid player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Lunin | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Lucas Vázquez | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Raúl Asencio | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| D. Alaba | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Fran García | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Tchouaméni | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 7.2 |
| L. Modrić | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | Y | 8.2 |
| Vinícius Júnior | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | Y | 7.6 |
| J. Bellingham | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Kylian Mbappé | 79 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Rodrygo | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| F. Valverde sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Eduardo Camavinga sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Brahim Díaz sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Rayo Vallecano player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Batalla | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Rațiu | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.5 |
| F. Lejeune | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Hernandez | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Pep Chavarría | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Álvaro García | 90 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Espino | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6.6 |
| P. Ciss | 85 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Gumbau | 70 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.5 |
| Adri Embarba | 70 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Pedro Díaz | 70 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.5 |
| I. Balliu sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Óscar Valentín sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Ó. Trejo sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Unai López sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Sergi Guardiola sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Real Madrid v Rayo Vallecano — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2024-12-14 Rayo Vallecano 3–3 Real Madrid
- 2024-02-18 Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Real Madrid
- 2023-11-05 Real Madrid 0–0 Rayo Vallecano
- 2023-05-24 Real Madrid 2–1 Rayo Vallecano
- 2022-11-07 Rayo Vallecano 3–2 Real Madrid
- 2022-02-26 Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Real Madrid
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano?
- In their last 6 meetings, Real Madrid won 2, Rayo Vallecano won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano?
- Recent form — Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L; Rayo Vallecano 2W 1D 2L.
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