Real Madrid v Sevilla prediction
Team pages: Real Madrid · Sevilla · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Real Madrid vs Sevilla, La Liga on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.
The match
Real Madrid host Sevilla in La Liga on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Real Madrid to win.
The key numbers
Real Madrid have scored in five consecutive matches.
Sevilla have scored in eight consecutive matches.
Real Madrid are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Sevilla, every meeting checked.
Form and the table
Eight of Real Madrid’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Real Madrid’s last 15 results (53%). At home, Real Madrid have seven wins, no draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches — 3.00 points per game, scoring 3.00 and conceding 0.71. Real Madrid have scored 19 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Real Madrid have conceded eight goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Eight of Sevilla’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Sevilla’s last 15 results (60%). Away from home, Sevilla have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.50. Sevilla have scored 13 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Sevilla have conceded 12 goals, the 10th-most of the 20 clubs.
Real Madrid (fourth) and Sevilla (fifth) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Real Madrid the stronger side, 201 rating points above Sevilla (Real Madrid 1797, Sevilla 1596, after at least 350 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Sevilla 0–1 Real Madrid.
Team news
Predicted Real Madrid XI (4-2-3-1): T. Courtois, I. Konaté, D. Huijsen, M. Cucurella, D. Dumfries, F. Valverde, J. Bellingham, V. Júnior, A. Güler, B. Silva, K. Mbappé — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kylian Mbappé (7.4 per match over nine appearances, eight goals and two assists) and Jude Bellingham (6.1 per match over nine appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Real Madrid’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Real Madrid (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kylian Mbappé averages 4.3 shots per 90 over 1719 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Jude Bellingham averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 1726 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Sevilla XI (4-2-3-1): O. Vlachodimos, G. Suazo, J. Iglesias, A. Castrín, K. Salas, L. Agoumé, M. Sierra, Y. Fofana, J. Guridi, F. Correia, R. Ure — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Youssouf Fofana (5.0 per match over five appearances, one goal and one assist) and M. Sierra (4.7 per match over seven appearances, two goals) have been Sevilla’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sevilla (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Youssouf Fofana averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 366 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last five appearances. M. Sierra averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 496 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · La Liga
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Real Madrid 5 · draws 1 · Sevilla 0 · 2.33 goals/game
- Recent form: Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L · Sevilla 2W 2D 1L
Real Madrid v Sevilla (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 14 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Real Madrid for / against | Line | Sevilla for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.38 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5our book | 1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.63 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.13 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 17.25 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.88 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 7.13 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.25 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14.75 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.38 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3.38 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Real Madrid
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernardo Silva n 8 | 37.6 | 2.1 | 1.2 | — |
| Vinícius Júnior n 8 | 63.8 | 1.8 | 2.3 | — |
| Carlos Espí n 8 | 37.6 | 1.8 | 1.8 | — |
| Dean Huijsen n 8 | 85.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | — |
| I. Konaté n 8 | 90 | 1.3 | 0.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Espí n 8 | 37.6 | 4.2 | 2.1 |
| Kylian Mbappé n 8 | 86 | 3.4 | 2.5 |
| Vinícius Júnior n 8 | 63.8 | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| A. Güler n 8 | 68.9 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| Endrick n 8 | 32.5 | 1.7 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Espí n 8 | 37.6 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Kylian Mbappé n 8 | 86 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| J. Bellingham n 8 | 69.5 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Y. Diomande n 8 | 44.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Brahim Díaz n 8 | 61.4 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Marc Cucurella n 8 | 73.3 | 2.9 |
| A. Tchouaméni n 8 | 68.6 | 2.8 |
| D. Dumfries n 8 | 67.9 | 2.5 |
| Bernardo Silva n 8 | 37.6 | 2.4 |
| Eduardo Camavinga n 8 | 43.1 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Thibaut Courtois n 8 | 90 | 3.8 |
Sevilla
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac n 8 | 37.9 | 3.3 | 1.5 | — |
| Peque Fernández n 8 | 34.5 | 2.9 | 3.9 | — |
| Alfon González n 8 | 36.9 | 2.7 | 0.9 | — |
| Miguel Sierra n 3 | 61.3 | 2.4 | 2 | — |
| L. Agoumé n 8 | 90 | 2.3 | 0.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Sierra n 3 | 61.3 | 2.9 | 1 |
| Isaac n 8 | 37.9 | 2.7 | 0.6 |
| Robbie Ure n 8 | 37.8 | 2.7 | 0.6 |
| L. Stassin n 8 | 65.8 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| M. Sierra n 8 | 65.4 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac n 8 | 37.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| Robbie Ure n 8 | 37.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Y. Fofana n 8 | 66.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Félix Correia n 8 | 65.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| M. Sierra n 8 | 65.4 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Agoumé n 8 | 90 | 3 |
| Giorgi Kochorashvili n 8 | 56.6 | 3 |
| Juan Iglesias n 8 | 90 | 2.9 |
| Kike Salas n 8 | 89.8 | 2.4 |
| Y. Fofana n 8 | 66.8 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| O. Vlachodimos n 8 | 90 | 3.1 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Real Madrid v Sevilla — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-17 Sevilla 0–1 Real Madrid
- 2025-12-20 Real Madrid 2–0 Sevilla
- 2025-05-18 Sevilla 0–2 Real Madrid
- 2024-12-22 Real Madrid 4–2 Sevilla
- 2024-02-25 Real Madrid 1–0 Sevilla
- 2023-10-21 Sevilla 1–1 Real Madrid
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Real Madrid vs Sevilla?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Real Madrid v Sevilla is Home win.
- What is the head-to-head record between Real Madrid and Sevilla?
- In their last 6 meetings, Real Madrid won 5, Sevilla won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Real Madrid and Sevilla?
- Recent form — Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L; Sevilla 2W 2D 1L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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